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Palencia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 94-101
32-27 25-21 15-28 22-25
Position#18
Record5-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game87.0
Palencia
Spain
vs
Baskonia 🏆
Spain
Position#8
Record16-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game87.6
SpainACBRound 31· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
50avg 71
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
83avg 71
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
87avg 71
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 71
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 71
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 71
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 71
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 71
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 71
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 71
H20/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
16-19
17-25
20-26
20-20
25-12
21-11
16-15
25-25
31-28
20-27
17-31
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
17-30
25-16
23-31
31-26
13-17
17-26
26-23
22-20
17-29
15-11
22-19
14-30
16-16
19-17
12-15
18-25
11-19
19-20
29-22
18-29
14-21
20-26
21-19
28-25
165.6Avg total
79.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.287.0165.3-8.817%
Season at home (15)76.780.7157.4-3.927%
Season away (15)79.793.4173.1-13.77%
Last 10 (10)79.686.0165.6-6.420%
Last 5 (5)74.285.8160.0-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.086.8164.8-8.817%
vs Similar (6)79.388.0167.3-8.717%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
99avg 79
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 79
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
101-111
101
111
-10
95avg 79
A07/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 79
A12/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 79
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
85-113
85
113
-28
81avg 79
A16/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 79
H19/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
92avg 79
A21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 79
A23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
90-101
90
101
-11
83avg 79
A25/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
28-22
23-26
21-28
17-27
25-21
23-16
30-27
14-31
20-31
31-25
36-24
21-22
23-31
31-21
20-17
13-27
20-12
18-19
25-16
15-28
21-27
25-31
24-27
21-22
20-19
31-16
17-20
35-27
19-21
17-18
20-29
17-26
20-22
16-22
21-20
21-23
19-23
23-28
27-27
183.5Avg total
89.8Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.487.6175.0-0.353%
Season at home (15)91.586.7178.2+4.773%
Season away (15)83.388.5171.8-5.333%
Last 10 (10)89.893.7183.5-3.950%
Last 5 (5)85.895.2181.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)91.597.3188.8-5.833%
vs Similar (19)88.191.0179.1-2.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.078.8166.8+9.280%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
PalenciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/04
ACB
78.3Avg total
38.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.079.5-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.738.375.0-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.445.684.0-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.978.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.472.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.041.879.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (6)35.742.878.5-7.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A07/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A16/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/04
Euroleague
89.9Avg total
41.9Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.445.789.1-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.241.686.8+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)41.949.291.1-7.412%-
Last 10 (10)41.948.089.9-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.689.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.247.894.0-1.733%-
vs Similar (19)42.746.589.2-3.832%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.039.882.8+3.260%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.5
51.6%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.414.4
74.2%
75.6%14.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.2
56.3%
53.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.312.4
39.6%
34.9%37.2
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
75.6%13.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LLLLLLWLWL
Baskonia
LLLWLWWLWW
#18
League position
#8
-8.9
Net rating
-6.2
106.0
Offensive rating
117.2
114.9
Defensive rating
123.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
57.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
39.6%
57.7%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 117.2Defence114.9 · 123.4Shooting51.8% · 57.8%3-point %34.7% · 39.6%Ball care17.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Palencia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
1
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
12/12/23Baskonia v Palencia94-82
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HGranada83-91
13/04/24AMurcia77-90
06/04/24ABreogan65-73
30/03/24HTenerife68-89
24/03/24HReal Madrid78-86
17/03/24ABasket Zaragoza96-103
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70
03/03/24AValencia93-111
10/02/24HGran Canaria82-58
03/02/24AJoventut Badalona77-89
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24AReal Madrid90-101
23/04/24AReal Madrid74-90
21/04/24AUnicaja91-95
19/04/24HVirtus Bologna89-77
16/04/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-113
14/04/24HBreogan76-74
12/04/24AVirtus Bologna95-91
07/04/24AValencia101-111
05/04/24AReal Madrid95-91
30/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWWLLL27%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %17%27%7%
Points / game78.276.779.7
Allowed / game87.080.793.4
Point differential-8.8-3.9-13.7
Avg total165.3157.4173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%73%33%
Points / game87.491.583.3
Allowed / game87.686.788.5
Point differential-0.3+4.7-5.3
Avg total175.0178.2171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja3025583%88.377.0+11.3
2 Real Madrid3025583%87.678.6+9.0
3 Barcelona3021970%87.880.4+7.4
4 Murcia30191163%84.380.2+4.1
5 Tenerife30191163%84.480.7+3.7
6 Gran Canaria30191163%84.381.2+3.0
7 Valencia30191163%83.680.7+2.8
8 Manresa30171357%84.384.1+0.2
9 Baskonia30161453%87.487.6-0.3
10 Joventut Badalona30151550%81.885.8-4.0
11 Bilbao30131743%79.381.2-1.9
12 MoraBanc Andorra30111937%83.284.4-1.2
13 Basket Zaragoza30111937%82.285.6-3.4
14 Basquet Girona30102033%80.486.2-5.8
15 Breogan3192229%74.179.4-5.3
16 Granada3192229%81.186.8-5.7
17 Obradoiro CAB3082227%80.485.1-4.7
18 Palencia3052517%78.287.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia3225152294
Baskonia27212825101
← all games of the day
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