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Real Esteli vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:40
Final 85-81
10-18 20-20 29-21 26-22
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeChampions League Americas· Ivan de Bedout
Other2024-25
Meetings · Real Esteli v Toros del Valle
07 Feb 2025
REAL85
TORO81
17 Jan 2025
REAL87
TORO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Esteli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 74
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 74
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 74
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 74
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
no box
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
87-68
87
68
+19
57avg 74
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 74
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
100-101
100
101
-1
85avg 74
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 74
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
85avg 74
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
25-24
26-26
22-20
22-24
21-28
25-23
11-21
12-27
29-9
26-27
18-16
14-16
20-17
22-12
19-20
18-21
29-30
28-31
28-24
15-16
13-32
20-17
17-13
22-20
20-12
23-23
27-23
22-29
170.9Avg total
82.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.081.6167.6+4.460%
Season at home (2)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season away (3)88.090.0178.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)82.688.3170.9-5.750%
Last 5 (5)86.081.6167.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.990.7171.6-9.831%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.080.4165.4+4.660%
vs Weaker (9)91.385.7177.0+5.767%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
76avg 77
A01/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 77
A03/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 77
A04/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 77
H07/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
85-66
85
66
+19
79avg 77
H08/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 77
H09/12
LBP
Real Esteli
#5
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 77
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
102-68
102
68
+34
104avg 77
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
87-99
87
99
-12
52avg 77
H01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 77
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
27-31
18-13
11-23
27-22
14-17
21-20
14-31
27-17
19-18
30-17
21-19
20-27
21-13
29-20
12-24
16-20
17-17
24-13
28-16
19-17
21-32
13-23
17-16
9-29
27-26
16-18
16-14
28-18
23-17
28-16
23-17
24-29
18-15
21-27
24-28
32-13
17-20
13-17
20-22
165.1Avg total
83.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.881.5166.2+3.250%
Season at home (3)90.379.7170.0+10.767%
Season away (1)68.087.0155.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)83.681.5165.1+2.140%
Last 5 (5)81.882.8164.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.5103.5191.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.378.4162.7+5.960%
vs Weaker (13)97.284.8182.1+12.462%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
Real EsteliToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/02
Champions League Americas
89.8Avg total
45.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.387.4-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.743.986.6-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)41.746.488.1-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.389.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.246.887.1-6.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)45.043.488.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker (9)44.043.687.6+0.444%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A01/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A03/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A04/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H08/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H09/12
LBP
Real Esteli
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H02/02
Champions League Americas
85.8Avg total
43.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.887.8+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.043.190.1+3.950%-
Last 30 away (14)44.940.285.1+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.185.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.054.5102.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.340.082.3+2.353%-
vs Weaker (13)50.041.891.8+8.262%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.9
52.6%
49.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
71.9%13.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.9
48.6%
49.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.210.1
62.3%
71.9%10.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Esteli
WLLWWLWLLW
Toros del Valle
WLWLLWLWLL
#5
League position
#8
-8.6
Net rating
-2.1
103.7
Offensive rating
101.7
112.3
Defensive rating
103.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.5%
3-point %
34.1%
58.2%
Assist %
57.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 101.7Defence112.3 · 103.7Shooting51.7% · 49.7%3-point %33.5% · 34.1%Ball care16.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds22.1% · 29.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Real Esteli   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Esteli wins
1
Toros del Valle wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Toros del Valle v Real Esteli82-72
17/01/25Real Esteli v Toros del Valle87-68
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25APaisas92-87
02/02/25AToros del Valle72-82
02/02/25APaisas100-101
19/01/25HPaisas79-70
17/01/25HToros del Valle87-68
12/03/24AQuimsa69-99
10/03/24AQuimsa95-94
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HReal Esteli82-72
01/02/25HPaisas87-99
18/01/25HPaisas102-68
17/01/25AReal Esteli68-87
09/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands70-88
08/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands85-66
07/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands82-84
04/12/24ACaribbean Storm Islands97-71
03/12/24ACaribbean Storm Islands76-90
01/12/24AMotilones del Norte87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game86.083.088.0
Allowed / game81.669.090.0
Point differential+4.4+14.0-2.0
Avg total167.6152.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toros del Valle
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game84.890.368.0
Allowed / game81.579.787.0
Point differential+3.2+10.7-19.0
Avg total166.2170.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo440100%90.263.0+27.2
2 Franca550100%86.073.8+12.2
3 Minas440100%80.569.8+10.8
4 Real Esteli53260%86.081.6+4.4
5 Instituto de Cordoba53260%80.277.8+2.4
6 Toros del Valle42250%84.881.5+3.2
7 Boca Juniors42250%76.275.0+1.2
8 Paisas52340%85.092.0-7.0
9 Quimsa41325%72.875.5-2.8
10 Bigua41325%68.876.8-8.0
11 Leones Quilpue6060%71.283.3-12.2
12 Toros del Chiriqui4040%64.092.5-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Esteli1020292685
Toros del Valle1820212281
← all games of the day
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