Real Valladolid vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 73-76

16-14 17-19 16-27 24-16

Position#9

Record10-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game77.9

Real Valladolid

Melilla 🏆

Position#16

Record5-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game77.8

Primera FEBRound 14

Other2023-24

Meetings · Real Valladolid v Melilla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melilla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValladolid

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

94-111

111

-17

85avg 69

H28/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

69-94

-25

59avg 69

A31/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

72-66

70avg 69

H04/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

82-81

74avg 69

A12/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

80-74

69avg 69

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

92-91 OT

no box

A26/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

71-65

55avg 69

H29/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

89-71

+18

85avg 69

H02/12

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

77-69

66avg 69

A10/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

87-79

54avg 69

A15/12

Primera FEB

30-32

23-26

19-20

22-33

25-29

7-18

18-23

19-24

23-14

16-19

12-17

21-16

15-20

25-27

24-18

18-16

19-24

27-13

15-18

19-19

18-28

31-28

16-17

15-7

22-17

22-16

12-18

15-14

25-19

23-17

20-20

21-15

17-23

29-11

18-12

13-23

21-23

29-20

16-11

21-25

161.4Avg total

81.3Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.3	77.9	158.2	+2.4	77%
Season at home (6)	79.3	75.5	154.8	+3.8	83%
Season away (7)	81.1	80.0	161.1	+1.1	71%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	80.1	161.4	+1.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	75.0	158.2	+8.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.3	81.8	159.1	-4.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	79.7	78.1	157.8	+1.6	80%
vs Weaker (10)	80.3	74.9	155.2	+5.4	70%

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelilla

Date

Competition

Real Betis

83-87

-4

79avg 69

H27/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

62-96

-34

59avg 69

A01/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

69-73

-4

62avg 69

H05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

79-71

80avg 69

A11/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

79-92

-13

79avg 69

H17/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

64-62

60avg 69

A24/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

69-75

-6

63avg 69

A29/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-73

+10

81avg 69

H03/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

65-59

55avg 69

A09/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

80-81

-1

77avg 69

H15/12

Primera FEB

19-29

16-19

23-19

25-20

21-19

14-20

21-31

6-26

14-17

17-15

17-25

21-16

19-23

26-15

21-17

13-16

14-28

20-28

21-23

24-13

23-19

8-11

19-18

14-14

20-23

18-18

12-19

19-15

17-13

22-26

21-11

23-23

24-14

13-24

15-8

13-13

17-23

18-22

24-16

21-20

150.2Avg total

73.3Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	73.6	77.8	151.5	-4.2	38%
Season at home (6)	76.5	82.2	158.7	-5.7	17%
Season away (7)	71.1	74.1	145.3	-3.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	76.9	150.2	-3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	70.0	142.2	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	74.0	87.3	161.3	-13.3	11%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	79.3	78.2	157.5	+1.1	60%
vs Weaker (2)	70.0	76.0	146.0	-6.0	50%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real ValladolidMelilla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.2	39.7	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	21.9	40.4	-3.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.6	39.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.7	21.5	38.2	-4.8	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	18.4	38.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.5	42.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	18.4	45.2	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	21.9	40.4	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.2	36.0	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.3	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	0%	-

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

53-58

-5

H28/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

32-47

-15

A31/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

39-33

H04/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

40-47

-7

A12/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

46-37

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

49-56

-7

A26/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

44-33

+11

H29/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

48-36

+12

H02/12

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

46-34

+12

A10/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

50-43

A15/12

Primera FEB

87.1Avg total

44.7Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.0	79.2	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	38.2	80.6	+4.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.4	39.7	78.1	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	42.4	87.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.4	87.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.2	40.3	81.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.2	39.5	77.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.0	37.3	78.3	+3.7	80%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

35-48

-13

H27/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

35-39

-4

A01/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

31-32

-1

H05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

45-38

A11/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

34-56

-22

H17/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

31-30

A24/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

38-41

-3

A29/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

39-39

H03/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

37-38

-1

A09/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

35-45

-10

H15/12

Primera FEB

76.6Avg total

36.0Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	42.2	79.6	-4.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	43.9	80.8	-6.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	40.8	78.6	-3.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	40.6	76.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	38.6	74.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	35.5	43.6	79.1	-8.1	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	42.5	79.5	-5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	15.6	32.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.4	32.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.3	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.8	33.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.6	39.8	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	38.8	77.1	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.5	36.5	74.9	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.3	40.5	78.8	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	36.6	72.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	32.4	65.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.9	40.4	75.3	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.9	38.3	79.2	+2.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.3	37.6	76.9	+1.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	41.3	79.4	-3.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	41.4	77.4	-5.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	36.3	73.6	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	31.4	67.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.5	43.7	82.2	-5.2	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.4	38.5	76.9	-0.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (2)	33.0	33.5	66.5	-0.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Valladolid wins

Melilla wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/23	Real Valladolid v Melilla	85-66
20/11/22	Melilla v Real Valladolid	80-75
25/03/22	Melilla v Real Valladolid	60-79
19/11/21	Real Valladolid v Melilla	68-72
28/02/21	Melilla v Real Valladolid	77-80
13/12/20	Real Valladolid v Melilla	89-84 OT

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/23	A	Caceres	87-79
10/12/23	A	Clavijo	77-69
02/12/23	H	Castello	89-71
29/11/23	H	Gipuzkoa	71-65
26/11/23	A	Estudiantes	92-91 OT
18/11/23	H	Forca Lleida	80-74
12/11/23	A	Estela	82-81
04/11/23	H	Real Betis	72-66
31/10/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	69-94
28/10/23	H	Leyma Coruna	94-111

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/23	H	Estudiantes	80-81
09/12/23	A	Ourense	65-59
03/12/23	H	Tizona Burgos	83-73
29/11/23	A	Estela	69-75
24/11/23	A	Clavijo	64-62
17/11/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	79-92
11/11/23	A	Oviedo	79-71
05/11/23	H	Alicante	69-73
01/11/23	A	Forca Lleida	62-96
27/10/23	H	Real Betis	83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	77%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	77%	83%	71%
Points / game	80.3	79.3	81.1
Allowed / game	77.9	75.5	80.0
Point differential	+2.4	+3.8	+1.1
Avg total	158.2	154.8	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	17%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Melilla

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	38%
Home	LLLWL	17%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	38%	17%	57%
Points / game	73.6	76.5	71.1
Allowed / game	77.8	82.2	74.1
Point differential	-4.2	-5.7	-3.0
Avg total	151.5	158.7	145.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	17%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	13	12	1	92%	86.2	72.2	+13.9
2	Estudiantes	14	11	3	79%	84.8	72.8	+12.0
3	Real Valladolid	13	10	3	77%	80.3	77.9	+2.4
4	Leyma Coruna	14	10	4	71%	88.4	80.4	+8.0
5	Gipuzkoa	13	9	4	69%	81.0	73.7	+7.3
6	Tizona Burgos	13	9	4	69%	89.0	83.9	+5.1
7	Alicante	13	8	5	62%	78.7	75.5	+3.2
8	Forca Lleida	13	7	6	54%	78.6	75.5	+3.2
9	Oviedo	13	6	7	46%	79.8	80.1	-0.2
10	Ourense	13	6	7	46%	71.1	77.4	-6.3
11	Melilla	13	5	8	38%	73.6	77.8	-4.2
12	Estela	13	5	8	38%	79.0	83.7	-4.7
13	Real Betis	13	4	9	31%	79.9	79.5	+0.5
14	Fuenlabrada	13	4	9	31%	75.6	80.8	-5.2
15	Castello	13	4	9	31%	80.4	86.7	-6.3
16	Hestia Menorca	13	3	10	23%	66.9	75.8	-8.8
17	Caceres	13	3	10	23%	74.8	84.8	-9.9
18	Clavijo	13	2	11	15%	65.0	76.3	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Valladolid	16	17	16	24	73
Melilla	14	19	27	16	76

← all games of the day

Real Valladolid vs Melilla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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