Melilla vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 80-81

17-23 18-22 24-16 21-20

Position#16

Record5-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game77.6

Melilla

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#4

Record10-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game85.8

Allowed / game71.8

Primera FEBRound 13

Other2023-24

Meetings · Melilla v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelilla

Date

Competition

Caceres

#17

76-90

-14

68avg 68

A20/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

83-87

-4

79avg 68

H27/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

62-96

-34

59avg 68

A01/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

69-73

-4

62avg 68

H05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

79-71

80avg 68

A11/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

79-92

-13

79avg 68

H17/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

64-62

60avg 68

A24/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

69-75

-6

63avg 68

A29/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-73

+10

81avg 68

H03/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

65-59

55avg 68

A09/12

Primera FEB

19-27

24-28

19-19

14-16

19-29

16-19

23-19

25-20

21-19

14-20

21-31

6-26

14-17

17-15

17-25

21-16

19-23

26-15

21-17

13-16

14-28

20-28

21-23

24-13

23-19

8-11

19-18

14-14

20-23

18-18

12-19

19-15

17-13

22-26

21-11

23-23

24-14

13-24

15-8

13-13

150.7Avg total

72.9Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	73.1	77.6	150.7	-4.5	42%
Season at home (5)	75.8	82.4	158.2	-6.6	20%
Season away (7)	71.1	74.1	145.3	-3.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	77.8	150.7	-4.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	72.2	144.2	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	73.9	87.8	161.7	-13.9	11%
vs Similar (10)	79.3	78.2	157.5	+1.1	60%
vs Weaker (2)	70.0	76.0	146.0	-6.0	50%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Real Betis

86-77

84avg 82

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

93-75

+18

89avg 82

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

103-85

103

+18

103avg 82

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

77-73

70avg 82

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

80-55

+25

75avg 82

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

81-56

+25

85avg 82

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

91-92 OT

-1

no box

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

84-68

+16

83avg 82

A29/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

101-61

101

+40

107avg 82

H03/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

75-72

71avg 82

H10/12

Primera FEB

27-13

10-14

24-23

25-27

24-21

29-21

32-21

8-12

30-22

27-19

22-19

24-25

22-16

18-15

21-22

16-20

20-14

17-7

22-19

21-15

17-15

15-10

26-15

23-16

28-18

28-31

17-16

7-15

20-21

23-19

22-19

19-9

31-10

29-20

21-14

20-17

14-19

14-12

24-16

23-25

158.5Avg total

87.1Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	85.8	71.8	157.6	+14.1	83%
Season at home (7)	88.6	75.4	164.0	+13.1	71%
Season away (5)	82.0	66.6	148.6	+15.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.1	71.4	158.5	+15.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	69.8	156.2	+16.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	58.5	79.5	138.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	84.8	82.8	167.6	+2.0	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	82.7	71.6	154.3	+11.1	68%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MelillaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.6	39.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.2	21.7	38.8	-4.5	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	16.9	40.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.6	38.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.0	17.0	26.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.9	16.9	38.9	+5.0	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	21.9	40.1	-3.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	17.9	36.1	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	63%	-

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

#17

43-55

-12

A20/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

35-48

-13

H27/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

35-39

-4

A01/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

31-32

-1

H05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

45-38

A11/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

34-56

-22

H17/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

31-30

A24/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

38-41

-3

A29/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

39-39

H03/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

37-38

-1

A09/12

Primera FEB

78.4Avg total

36.8Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	42.3	79.8	-4.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.1	44.1	81.2	-6.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	40.8	78.6	-3.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	41.6	78.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.8	76.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.7	43.8	79.4	-8.1	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	42.5	79.5	-5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

37-27

+10

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

53-42

+11

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

57-41

+16

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

40-31

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

37-21

+16

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

32-25

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

56-49

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

43-40

A29/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

60-30

+30

H03/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

28-31

-3

H10/12

Primera FEB

78.0Avg total

44.3Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	36.7	77.2	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	38.1	81.0	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	35.1	72.9	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	33.7	78.0	+10.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	35.0	78.8	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	39.5	66.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.7	34.5	76.3	+7.2	84%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.4	40.1	-2.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	15.8	33.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.3	22.6	40.9	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.8	38.3	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	20.9	39.6	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.1	41.6	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.6	39.8	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.6	34.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.5	17.1	36.5	+2.4	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	41.5	79.4	-3.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	41.6	81.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	41.4	77.4	-5.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	36.2	72.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	31.4	67.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.2	44.0	82.2	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	38.5	76.9	-0.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (2)	33.0	33.5	66.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.2	76.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	35.7	75.9	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	39.0	77.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.5	78.2	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	32.4	72.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.5	40.0	71.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.9	39.8	80.7	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.9	35.7	75.6	+4.2	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melilla wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
17/02/23	Estudiantes v Melilla	75-64
23/10/22	Melilla v Estudiantes	79-97
03/02/22	Estudiantes v Melilla	76-66
13/10/21	Melilla v Estudiantes	63-76

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/23	A	Ourense	65-59
03/12/23	H	Tizona Burgos	83-73
29/11/23	A	Estela	69-75
24/11/23	A	Clavijo	64-62
17/11/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	79-92
11/11/23	A	Oviedo	79-71
05/11/23	H	Alicante	69-73
01/11/23	A	Forca Lleida	62-96
27/10/23	H	Real Betis	83-87
20/10/23	A	Caceres	76-90

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/23	H	Forca Lleida	75-72
03/12/23	H	Estela	101-61
29/11/23	A	Castello	84-68
26/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
19/11/23	H	Hestia Menorca	81-56
11/11/23	A	Fuenlabrada	80-55
05/11/23	A	Clavijo	77-73
01/11/23	H	Tizona Burgos	103-85
29/10/23	H	Alicante	93-75
20/10/23	A	Real Betis	86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	42%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	42%	20%	57%
Points / game	73.1	75.8	71.1
Allowed / game	77.6	82.4	74.1
Point differential	-4.5	-6.6	-3.0
Avg total	150.7	158.2	145.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	20%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	83%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	83%	71%	100%
Points / game	85.8	88.6	82.0
Allowed / game	71.8	75.4	66.6
Point differential	+14.1	+13.1	+15.4
Avg total	157.6	164.0	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	57%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	12	11	1	92%	84.6	73.7	+10.9
2	Estudiantes	12	10	2	83%	85.8	71.8	+14.1
3	Real Valladolid	12	9	3	75%	79.8	77.8	+1.9
4	Leyma Coruna	12	8	4	67%	88.2	81.0	+7.2
5	Gipuzkoa	12	8	4	67%	80.2	73.2	+7.1
6	Tizona Burgos	12	8	4	67%	89.9	84.5	+5.4
7	Alicante	12	7	5	58%	78.3	75.8	+2.6
8	Forca Lleida	12	6	6	50%	78.9	75.7	+3.2
9	Oviedo	12	6	6	50%	80.4	79.8	+0.6
10	Ourense	12	6	6	50%	72.4	75.1	-2.7
11	Melilla	12	5	7	42%	73.1	77.6	-4.5
12	Estela	13	5	8	38%	79.0	83.7	-4.7
13	Fuenlabrada	12	4	8	33%	75.8	81.2	-5.4
14	Castello	12	4	8	33%	80.4	86.4	-6.0
15	Real Betis	13	4	9	31%	79.9	79.5	+0.5
16	Hestia Menorca	12	3	9	25%	66.1	75.6	-9.5
17	Caceres	12	3	9	25%	74.5	84.6	-10.1
18	Clavijo	12	2	10	17%	64.0	74.3	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melilla	17	18	24	21	80
Estudiantes	23	22	16	20	81

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Melilla vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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