Regatas vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 May 2014

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 86-77

14-16 28-17 20-26 24-18

Position#1

Record43-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game75.1

Regatas 🏆

Penarol

Position#2

Record39-12

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game77.3

Liga ALiga A - Final

Other2013-14

Meetings · Regatas v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

85-64

+21

H01/04

Liga A

Atenas

86-75

+11

H04/04

Liga A

Quimsa

78-73

H06/04

Liga A

Quimsa

92-83

H24/04

Liga A

Quimsa

92-78

+14

H26/04

Liga A

Quimsa

77-79

-2

A30/04

Liga A

Quimsa

80-78

A02/05

Liga A

Argentino

77-69

H08/05

Liga A

Argentino

74-68

H10/05

Liga A

Argentino

72-68

A13/05

Liga A

19-18

21-16

22-19

23-11

23-15

24-18

17-23

22-19

21-17

16-21

20-20

21-15

27-13

21-20

15-18

29-32

28-25

24-16

16-17

24-20

14-19

23-20

18-15

22-25

22-19

10-20

18-16

30-23

21-18

18-24

18-13

20-14

21-20

17-15

17-19

19-14

14-18

18-18

24-17

16-15

154.8Avg total

81.3Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (51)	84.3	75.1	159.4	+9.1	84%
Season at home (26)	84.1	71.2	155.3	+13.0	96%
Season away (25)	84.4	79.2	163.6	+5.2	72%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	73.5	154.8	+7.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	72.4	148.4	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	80.0	76.0	156.0	+4.0	100%
vs Weaker (29)	84.9	76.8	161.7	+8.1	83%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#11

90-93

-3

A22/03

Liga A

Quilmes

86-59

+27

H02/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

93-91

H03/04

Liga A

Quilmes

82-85 OT

-3

H25/04

Liga A

Quilmes

88-68

+20

H27/04

Liga A

Quilmes

80-68

+12

A30/04

Liga A

Quilmes

80-70

+10

A02/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

81-79

H09/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

81-67

+14

H11/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

83-73

+10

A13/05

Liga A

21-23

14-19

21-31

34-20

15-17

12-15

25-12

34-15

24-25

15-23

26-16

28-27

16-21

16-28

24-6

16-17

27-14

21-16

18-17

22-21

19-19

18-20

19-16

24-13

19-18

18-23

23-17

20-12

14-19

11-14

30-25

26-21

16-19

19-20

34-11

12-17

21-7

17-19

15-30

30-17

159.7Avg total

84.4Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (51)	84.6	77.3	161.9	+7.3	76%
Season at home (26)	87.3	75.9	163.3	+11.4	88%
Season away (25)	81.8	78.7	160.5	+3.1	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	75.3	159.7	+9.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	71.4	152.4	+9.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	78.6	75.2	153.8	+3.4	60%
vs Weaker (25)	88.6	79.6	168.2	+9.0	84%

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RegatasPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	17.9	40.9	+5.2	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.7	40.3	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (29)	21.8	18.8	40.7	+3.0	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.6	42.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (25)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.4	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.0	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	10.0	26.0	36.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (29)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.2	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.1	38.9	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	19.7	35.8	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.0	15.6	32.6	+1.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (25)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	40%	-

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

40-34

H01/04

Liga A

Atenas

47-33

+14

H04/04

Liga A

Quimsa

37-38

-1

H06/04

Liga A

Quimsa

48-33

+15

H24/04

Liga A

Quimsa

52-41

+11

H26/04

Liga A

Quimsa

37-39

-2

A30/04

Liga A

Quimsa

32-39

-7

A02/05

Liga A

Argentino

39-42

-3

H08/05

Liga A

Argentino

38-35

H10/05

Liga A

Argentino

32-36

-4

A13/05

Liga A

77.2Avg total

40.2Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.5	79.6	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	38.0	80.7	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	38.9	78.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.0	77.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	38.2	73.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	31.0	44.0	75.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (29)	41.5	38.3	79.8	+3.2	55%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#11

35-42

-7

A22/03

Liga A

Quilmes

27-32

-5

H02/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

39-48

-9

H03/04

Liga A

Quilmes

32-49

-17

H25/04

Liga A

Quilmes

48-30

+18

H27/04

Liga A

Quilmes

37-39

-2

A30/04

Liga A

Quilmes

37-41

-4

A02/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

25-33

-8

H09/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-39

-4

H11/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

38-26

+12

A13/05

Liga A

73.2Avg total

35.3Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.7	79.8	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	39.7	81.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	37.7	77.9	+2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	37.9	73.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	35.6	70.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	35.4	33.8	69.2	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	42.2	39.7	81.9	+2.5	56%	-

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.4	37.0	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.1	36.5	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	17.7	37.5	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (29)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.4	19.7	45.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.1	41.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.8	44.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.2	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.3	43.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	18.9	41.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	21.7	44.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	28.0	15.0	43.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (29)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.7	42.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.0	38.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (25)	23.2	19.9	43.1	+3.4	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	37.6	80.4	+5.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	35.9	78.4	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.0	39.3	82.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	36.5	77.6	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	34.2	74.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	49.0	32.0	81.0	+17.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (29)	42.5	37.8	80.3	+4.7	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	39.7	85.3	+5.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.1	39.5	87.6	+8.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	40.0	82.9	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.1	36.1	84.2	+12.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	35.8	82.4	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	46.0	39.4	85.4	+6.6	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Regatas wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
21/02/14	Regatas v Penarol	80-76
21/12/13	Regatas v Penarol	89-96
07/12/13	Penarol v Regatas	90-86
02/02/13	Penarol v Regatas	90-77
06/12/12	Penarol v Regatas	58-65
20/11/12	Penarol v Regatas	88-85
16/11/12	Regatas v Penarol	75-57
13/02/12	Regatas v Penarol	79-85
05/12/11	Penarol v Regatas	95-79
08/05/11	Penarol v Regatas	99-59

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/14	A	Argentino	72-68
10/05/14	H	Argentino	74-68
08/05/14	H	Argentino	77-69
02/05/14	A	Quimsa	80-78
30/04/14	A	Quimsa	77-79
26/04/14	H	Quimsa	92-78
24/04/14	H	Quimsa	92-83
06/04/14	H	Quimsa	78-73
04/04/14	H	Atenas	86-75
01/04/14	H	Sionista	85-64

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/14	A	Boca Juniors	83-73
11/05/14	H	Boca Juniors	81-67
09/05/14	H	Boca Juniors	81-79
02/05/14	A	Quilmes	80-70
30/04/14	A	Quilmes	80-68
27/04/14	H	Quilmes	88-68
25/04/14	H	Quilmes	82-85 OT
03/04/14	H	Weber Bahia	93-91
02/04/14	H	Quilmes	86-59
22/03/14	A	Estudiantes	90-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	84%
Home	WWWWW	96%
Away	LWLWW	72%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	51	26	25
Win %	84%	96%	72%
Points / game	84.3	84.1	84.4
Allowed / game	75.1	71.2	79.2
Point differential	+9.1	+13.0	+5.2
Avg total	159.4	155.3	163.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	54%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (16)	100% (5)	64% (11)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Penarol

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	76%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	LLWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	51	26	25
Win %	76%	88%	64%
Points / game	84.6	87.3	81.8
Allowed / game	77.3	75.9	78.7
Point differential	+7.3	+11.4	+3.1
Avg total	161.9	163.3	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	54%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	69% (16)	71% (7)	67% (9)
Overtime %	2%	4%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	51	43	8	84%	84.3	75.1	+9.1
2	Penarol	51	39	12	76%	84.6	77.3	+7.3
3	Boca Juniors	52	32	20	62%	76.5	72.9	+3.6
4	Gimnasia	53	29	24	55%	77.9	76.1	+1.8
5	Atenas	48	25	23	52%	80.4	80.8	-0.4
6	Libertad	48	25	23	52%	77.6	78.3	-0.7
7	Argentino	54	28	26	52%	76.5	75.5	+1.0
8	Quilmes	51	26	25	51%	78.4	80.6	-2.2
9	Quimsa	52	25	27	48%	79.1	80.0	-0.9
10	Obras Sanitarias	48	23	25	48%	73.6	74.4	-0.7
11	Estudiantes	44	20	24	45%	73.8	74.7	-0.9
12	Sionista	47	21	26	45%	75.9	76.6	-0.7
13	Olimpico	47	19	28	40%	79.6	81.4	-1.9
14	Weber Bahia	44	16	28	36%	76.1	79.5	-3.5
15	Lanus	44	9	35	20%	74.4	81.3	-6.9
16	La Union	44	9	35	20%	77.6	84.7	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Regatas	14	28	20	24	86
Penarol	16	17	26	18	77

← all games of the day

Regatas vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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