Regatas vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 80-76

21-18 10-26 21-17 28-15

Position#1

Record27-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game73.4

Regatas 🏆

Penarol

Position#2

Record27-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game77.7

Liga ARound 21

Other2013-14

Meetings · Regatas v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

92-82

+10

A11/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

82-74

H14/01

Liga A

Quilmes

96-68

+28

H16/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

98-68

+30

H21/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

77-74

A23/01

Liga A

Atenas

90-82

A27/01

Liga A

Quimsa

90-74

+16

A29/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

77-65

+12

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

80-78 OT

A13/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

76-82

-6

A16/02

Liga A

17-25

25-17

27-17

23-23

21-13

20-15

12-12

29-34

28-21

21-18

22-16

25-13

30-23

22-27

18-8

28-10

24-20

14-18

23-11

16-25

22-17

19-24

13-19

36-22

26-16

20-25

23-14

21-19

22-17

15-22

21-14

19-12

19-19

23-22

18-13

12-18

19-20

20-11

12-25

25-26

160.5Avg total

85.8Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	84.3	73.4	157.7	+10.9	87%
Season at home (15)	84.1	67.7	151.9	+16.4	100%
Season away (16)	84.4	78.7	163.1	+5.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	74.7	160.5	+11.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	76.2	158.8	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	87.5	93.0	180.5	-5.5	0%
vs Weaker (27)	84.2	71.6	155.9	+12.6	93%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

108-86

108

+22

H20/01

Liga A

Argentino

78-75

A23/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

90-80

+10

A27/01

Liga A

Quilmes

85-82

A30/01

Liga A

Atenas

83-93

-10

H01/02

Liga A

Quimsa

97-85

+12

H04/02

Liga A

Atenas

86-83

A07/02

Liga A

Quimsa

93-69

+24

A10/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

107-95

107

+12

H15/02

Liga A

Lanus

#15

93-88

H17/02

Liga A

23-16

28-32

26-25

31-13

32-17

24-16

12-23

10-19

20-27

16-19

30-18

24-16

20-20

12-21

29-20

24-21

29-26

17-15

22-23

15-29

20-12

23-15

35-29

19-29

16-30

24-18

23-19

23-16

20-24

26-8

22-19

25-18

26-14

23-22

28-33

30-26

37-26

19-25

21-16

16-21

175.6Avg total

92.0Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	84.9	77.7	162.6	+7.2	79%
Season at home (18)	86.9	75.7	162.6	+11.3	89%
Season away (16)	82.6	80.0	162.6	+2.6	69%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	83.6	175.6	+8.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	84.0	179.2	+11.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	88.0	149.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	83.3	78.3	161.6	+5.0	86%
vs Weaker (21)	88.4	79.0	167.4	+9.3	90%

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RegatasPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.1	41.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	20.0	27.5	47.5	-7.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (27)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	19.1	42.8	+4.5	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.4	43.1	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (27)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	17.4	38.1	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.4	15.9	38.3	+6.6	86%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.1	17.6	37.8	+2.5	62%	-

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

42-42

A11/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

41-28

+13

H14/01

Liga A

Quilmes

49-39

+10

H16/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

52-50

H21/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

38-38

A23/01

Liga A

Atenas

41-41

A27/01

Liga A

Quimsa

46-41

A29/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-39

-2

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

42-41

A13/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

39-31

A16/02

Liga A

81.7Avg total

42.7Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	35.4	75.8	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.7	33.1	73.8	+7.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	38.1	78.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.6	79.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	38.5	51.0	89.5	-12.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (27)	40.4	34.6	75.0	+5.9	70%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

51-48

H20/01

Liga A

Argentino

56-33

+23

A23/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

36-46

-10

A27/01

Liga A

Quilmes

32-41

-9

A30/01

Liga A

Atenas

46-41

H01/02

Liga A

Quimsa

43-27

+16

H04/02

Liga A

Atenas

40-48

-8

A07/02

Liga A

Quimsa

46-32

+14

A10/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

49-36

+13

H15/02

Liga A

Lanus

#15

56-51

H17/02

Liga A

85.8Avg total

45.5Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	37.7	81.1	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	36.7	80.9	+7.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	38.8	81.2	+3.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	40.3	85.8	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	38.8	85.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	45.0	76.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	45.1	36.1	81.3	+9.0	86%	-
vs Weaker (21)	43.5	37.9	81.4	+5.6	71%	-

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.9	39.1	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	16.7	38.4	+5.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	14.9	33.8	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (27)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.4	41.1	+0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	22.5	47.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	23.2	49.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.6	21.0	43.5	+1.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.1	41.5	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	19.3	42.1	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	28.5	19.0	47.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.1	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	36.9	80.7	+6.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	35.6	79.4	+8.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	38.5	82.1	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	35.1	77.4	+7.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.4	76.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	49.0	42.0	91.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (27)	43.5	36.9	80.4	+6.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	41.4	84.1	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	41.2	83.9	+1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	41.7	84.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	43.3	89.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	45.2	93.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.1	42.1	80.3	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (21)	44.9	41.1	86.0	+3.7	52%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Regatas wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/13	Regatas v Penarol	89-96
07/12/13	Penarol v Regatas	90-86
02/02/13	Penarol v Regatas	90-77
06/12/12	Penarol v Regatas	58-65
20/11/12	Penarol v Regatas	88-85
16/11/12	Regatas v Penarol	75-57
13/02/12	Regatas v Penarol	79-85
05/12/11	Penarol v Regatas	95-79
08/05/11	Penarol v Regatas	99-59
05/05/11	Regatas v Penarol	96-93 OT

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/14	A	Boca Juniors	76-82
13/02/14	A	Obras Sanitarias	80-78 OT
01/02/14	H	Gimnasia	77-65
29/01/14	A	Quimsa	90-74
27/01/14	A	Atenas	90-82
23/01/14	A	La Union	77-74
21/01/14	H	La Union	98-68
16/01/14	H	Quilmes	96-68
14/01/14	H	Weber Bahia	82-74
11/01/14	A	Sionista	92-82

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/14	H	Lanus	93-88
15/02/14	H	Gimnasia	107-95
10/02/14	A	Quimsa	93-69
07/02/14	A	Atenas	86-83
04/02/14	H	Quimsa	97-85
01/02/14	H	Atenas	83-93
30/01/14	A	Quilmes	85-82
27/01/14	A	Weber Bahia	90-80
23/01/14	A	Argentino	78-75
20/01/14	H	Argentino	108-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	87%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	87%	100%	75%
Points / game	84.3	84.1	84.4
Allowed / game	73.4	67.7	78.7
Point differential	+10.9	+16.4	+5.8
Avg total	157.7	151.9	163.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	67%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (2)	80% (5)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Penarol

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	79%
Home	WLWWW	89%
Away	WWWWW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	18	16
Win %	79%	89%	69%
Points / game	84.9	86.9	82.6
Allowed / game	77.7	75.7	80.0
Point differential	+7.2	+11.3	+2.6
Avg total	162.6	162.6	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	56%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	90% (10)	75% (4)	100% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	31	27	4	87%	84.3	73.4	+10.9
2	Penarol	34	27	7	79%	84.9	77.7	+7.2
3	Boca Juniors	35	22	13	63%	75.8	70.7	+5.1
4	Gimnasia	33	19	14	58%	76.7	76.2	+0.6
5	Libertad	34	19	15	56%	78.5	76.9	+1.6
6	Quilmes	34	19	15	56%	79.1	80.1	-1.0
7	Atenas	33	17	16	52%	78.9	80.0	-1.1
8	Sionista	34	17	17	50%	75.2	74.3	+0.9
9	Obras Sanitarias	34	16	18	47%	73.1	73.5	-0.4
10	Olimpico	34	15	19	44%	77.2	78.0	-0.7
11	Argentino	34	15	19	44%	73.8	76.4	-2.6
12	Quimsa	34	15	19	44%	77.6	80.2	-2.6
13	Estudiantes	33	14	19	42%	71.9	73.7	-1.8
14	Weber Bahia	35	11	24	31%	75.2	78.6	-3.4
15	Lanus	31	8	23	26%	71.8	76.4	-4.6
16	La Union	33	7	26	21%	75.5	83.4	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Regatas	21	10	21	28	80
Penarol	18	26	17	15	76

← all games of the day

Regatas vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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