Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Oct 2012

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 65-73

22-14 19-17 13-19 11-23

Position#4

Record5-4

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game74.1

Boca Juniors

Penarol 🏆

Position#2

Record9-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game75.3

Liga ARound 11

Other2012-13

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

78-83

-5

H16/04

Liga A

Penarol

70-58

+12

A14/09

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

84-91 OT

-7

A16/09

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

76-71

H20/09

Liga A

Argentino

59-75

-16

H22/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

77-68

H27/09

Liga A

Lanus

75-70

H29/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

78-82

-4

A06/10

Liga A

Lanus

66-72

-6

A07/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

98-80

+18

A14/10

Liga A

18-18

24-23

20-25

16-17

–

24-23

20-17

13-21

17-13

16-14

20-17

14-14

26-26

19-14

14-15

18-24

8-22

22-18

19-10

16-18

20-22

10-19

20-12

24-23

21-16

16-19

22-23

17-18

23-22

17-12

12-16

12-15

25-29

26-24

17-19

24-19

31-18

151.1Avg total

76.1Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.9	74.1	150.0	+1.8	56%
Season at home (4)	71.8	71.0	142.8	+0.8	75%
Season away (5)	79.2	76.6	155.8	+2.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	75.0	151.1	+1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	74.4	153.2	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	73.6	78.0	151.6	-4.4	35%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	68.4	70.6	139.0	-2.1	43%
vs Weaker (6)	78.7	77.8	156.5	+0.8	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

71-85

-14

H17/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

89-83

A22/09

Liga A

Lanus

91-90

A24/09

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

89-81

A29/09

Liga A

Argentino

75-67

A01/10

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

101-69

101

+32

H06/10

Liga A

Argentino

81-72

H08/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

76-65

+11

H10/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

79-63

+16

A14/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

85-83

H17/10

Liga A

12-32

22-19

23-16

14-18

21-13

17-22

31-25

20-23

20-12

19-29

20-28

32-21

24-16

25-20

20-26

20-19

18-15

17-17

25-16

15-19

27-15

20-13

27-22

27-19

19-17

27-19

17-20

18-16

21-17

18-19

12-16

25-13

20-18

15-12

24-14

20-19

18-17

26-14

21-32

20-20

159.5Avg total

83.7Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	81.4	75.3	156.6	+6.1	82%
Season at home (6)	78.7	74.0	152.7	+4.7	67%
Season away (5)	84.6	76.8	161.4	+7.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	75.8	159.5	+7.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	70.4	154.8	+14.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	82.8	76.8	159.7	+6.0	75%
vs Weaker (10)	85.0	77.3	162.3	+7.7	70%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.4	40.1	-2.8	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.7	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.9	19.2	39.2	+0.7	79%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	19.2	42.5	+4.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	19.9	38.1	-1.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.4	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	14.5	20.2	34.7	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	15.7	38.5	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.4	36.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.3	18.3	39.5	+3.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	60%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

42-41

H16/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

44-40

A16/09

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

36-31

H20/09

Liga A

Argentino

33-29

H22/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

41-28

+13

H27/09

Liga A

Lanus

30-31

-1

H29/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

38-42

-4

A06/10

Liga A

Lanus

29-28

A07/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

43-43

A14/10

Liga A

72.1Avg total

37.3Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.1	39.6	75.7	-3.5	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.3	38.1	72.5	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	41.1	79.1	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.3	34.8	72.1	+2.6	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	34.4	70.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	36.7	41.2	77.9	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	31.2	39.2	70.3	-8.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.2	35.5	74.7	+3.7	67%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

34-51

-17

H17/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

38-35

A22/09

Liga A

Lanus

39-41

-2

A24/09

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

49-36

+13

A29/09

Liga A

Argentino

35-32

A01/10

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

47-28

+19

H06/10

Liga A

Argentino

46-36

+10

H08/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

39-36

H10/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

35-30

A14/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

44-31

+13

H17/10

Liga A

76.2Avg total

40.6Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	37.8	79.8	+4.3	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	35.7	79.1	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	40.0	80.5	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	35.6	76.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	32.2	74.4	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.2	37.5	78.7	+3.7	68%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.6	38.3	81.9	+5.3	70%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.1	36.5	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	17.0	34.3	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	19.7	37.2	-2.1	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	59%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.5	16.7	33.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	17%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	18.1	39.9	+3.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.3	68%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.7	38.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.6	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.5	16.8	37.3	+3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.4	39.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.9	36.2	73.1	+0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	36.9	74.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	35.5	71.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.3	40.2	78.6	-1.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	36.5	36.0	72.5	+0.5	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.0	33.5	70.5	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.8	39.5	77.3	-1.7	17%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.6	38.7	80.3	+3.0	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	41.0	84.4	+2.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	40.2	83.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.2	80.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.7	38.5	80.2	+3.3	74%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.4	39.0	80.4	+2.4	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
14/09/12	Penarol v Boca Juniors	58-70
29/01/12	Boca Juniors v Penarol	86-91
21/01/12	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-69
14/11/11	Penarol v Boca Juniors	93-88 OT
06/10/11	Boca Juniors v Penarol	65-73
03/03/11	Boca Juniors v Penarol	59-72
08/01/11	Penarol v Boca Juniors	68-73
04/12/10	Penarol v Boca Juniors	120-76
14/10/10	Boca Juniors v Penarol	61-87

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	98-80
07/10/12	A	Lanus	66-72
06/10/12	A	Gimnasia	78-82
29/09/12	H	Lanus	75-70
27/09/12	H	Gimnasia	77-68
22/09/12	H	Argentino	59-75
20/09/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	76-71
16/09/12	A	Weber Bahia	84-91 OT
14/09/12	A	Penarol	70-58
16/04/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-83

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/12	H	Weber Bahia	85-83
14/10/12	A	Weber Bahia	79-63
10/10/12	H	Gimnasia	76-65
08/10/12	H	Argentino	81-72
06/10/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	101-69
01/10/12	A	Argentino	75-67
29/09/12	A	de Julio de Morteros	89-81
24/09/12	A	Lanus	91-90
22/09/12	A	Gimnasia	89-83
17/09/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	56%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WLLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	75%	40%
Points / game	75.9	71.8	79.2
Allowed / game	74.1	71.0	76.6
Point differential	+1.8	+0.8	+2.6
Avg total	150.0	142.8	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	0%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	82%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	82%	67%	100%
Points / game	81.4	78.7	84.6
Allowed / game	75.3	74.0	76.8
Point differential	+6.1	+4.7	+7.8
Avg total	156.6	152.7	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Libertad	10	9	1	90%	78.1	71.6	+6.5
2	Penarol	11	9	2	82%	81.4	75.3	+6.1
3	Olimpico	11	8	3	73%	73.7	71.4	+2.4
4	Argentino	10	7	3	70%	76.3	71.5	+4.8
5	Regatas	11	7	4	64%	73.9	68.6	+5.3
6	Lanus	10	6	4	60%	77.2	73.6	+3.6
7	Boca Juniors	9	5	4	56%	75.9	74.1	+1.8
8	Sionista	10	5	5	50%	77.6	80.6	-3.0
9	Quimsa	11	5	6	45%	74.8	73.5	+1.3
10	Obras Sanitarias	10	4	6	40%	80.0	79.9	+0.1
11	Atenas	10	4	6	40%	73.5	77.9	-4.4
12	Weber Bahia	11	4	7	36%	82.1	83.5	-1.5
13	Gimnasia	11	4	7	36%	75.3	80.7	-5.5
14	Progresista	11	3	8	27%	71.5	73.5	-2.1
15	de Julio de Morteros	10	2	8	20%	73.8	83.0	-9.2
16	La Union	10	1	9	10%	70.5	77.1	-6.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	22	19	13	11	65
Penarol	14	17	19	23	73

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature