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Rhode Island vs Princeton Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 75-64
Projected total 139.4
Scheduled
Position#43
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game59.2
Rhode Island
USA
Vs
84%
16%
■ RHOD 84%■ PRIN 16%
Pythia win probability
Princeton
USA
Position#132
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game61.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Rhode Island hosts Princeton on 15 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model naming the Providence Friars the clear favourite at 84% versus Princeton's 16%, a rating driven by Rhode Island's undefeated 4-0 record, 81.2 points scored per game and only 59.2 allowed, placing them 45th in the league, while Princeton sits 131st with 68.8 points scored and 61.2 allowed from 3-1. Rhode Island has won every game at home, 4-0, and has won four of its last five, including a 71-65 victory over Maine and an 84-66 win over Monmouth, whereas Princeton's road record is 0-1, having lost 68-82 to Siena, but they have won three of five recent games, notably a 69-59 win over Stony Brook. The teams have not met this season, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 75-64 score, 139.4 total points, and a 56% chance that Rhode Island will cover the -9.5 spread, with a 52% probability of the over on the 138.5 line; the game has a 3% overtime likelihood.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rhode Island win
83.9%fair 1.19
Best odds1.30
Implied74.6%
Edge+9.4pp
Princeton win
16.1%fair 6.22
Best odds3.78
Implied25.4%
Edge-9.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rhode IslandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#346
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
103-59
103
59
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H11/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
21-20
30-39
46-55
27-30
28-31
19-24
45-28
28-25
21-36
28-35
33-32
58-27
45-32
36-22
48-44
23-28
48-37
32-28
35-19
130.7Avg total
67.6Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.259.2140.5+22.0100%
Season at home (4)81.259.2140.5+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.663.1130.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)77.260.8138.0+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.071.2140.2-2.233%
vs Similar (15)69.468.9138.3+0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)71.962.0133.9+9.967%
This opponent (Princeton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrincetonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H14/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Carnegie Mellon
#423
W
78-46
78
46
+32
H02/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#209
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H06/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#273
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-44
38-45
31-30
34-45
37-42
34-38
33-21
23-37
43-28
39-33
30-32
23-46
38-19
40-27
23-30
37-28
29-39
39-43
39-21
30-38
135.3Avg total
66.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.861.2130.0+7.575%
Season at home (3)69.054.3123.3+14.7100%
Season away (1)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)66.768.6135.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)65.664.6130.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.273.3139.5-7.120%
vs Similar (8)69.065.1134.1+3.962%
vs Weaker (1)68.073.0141.0-5.00%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 132.5
Over 132.5
66.0%
@ 1.44+1.7pp
Under 132.5
34.0%
@ 2.62-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Over/Under 137.5 · main line
Over 137.5
54.2%
@ 1.91+4.2pp
Under 137.5
45.8%
@ 1.95-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.89
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.81
Under
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Over/Under 142.5
Over 142.5
42.0%
@ 2.60+4.2pp
Under 142.5
58.0%
@ 1.53-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.32
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Rhode Island total 69
Over 69
74.6%
Under 69
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhode Island total 73 · main line
Over 73
59.7%
@ 1.87+10.0pp
Under 73
40.3%
@ 1.85-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Rhode Island total 77
Over 77
43.1%
Under 77
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Princeton total 61
Over 61
61.8%
Under 61
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Princeton total 65 · main line
Over 65
45.5%
@ 1.85-4.5pp
Under 65
54.5%
@ 1.85+4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Princeton total 69
Over 69
30.3%
Under 69
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rhode Island -10.5
RHOD -10.5
52.7%
@ 2.40+11.5pp
PRIN +10.5
47.3%
@ 1.71-11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.31
PRIN
Marathon Be
1.71
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
Spread Rhode Island -7.5 · main line
RHOD -7.5
63.5%
@ 1.94+13.9pp
PRIN +7.5
36.5%
@ 1.91-13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
PRIN
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.85
Spread Rhode Island -4.5
RHOD -4.5
73.5%
@ 1.54+13.2pp
PRIN +4.5
26.5%
@ 2.35-13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
PRIN
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.32

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -4.3-4.3
Rhode IslandPrinceton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Rhode IslandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#346
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H13/11
NCAA
60.3Avg total
30.6Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 66.5
Last 30 (30)32.332.564.8-0.337%37%
Last 30 at home (17)33.531.264.8+2.341%41%
Last 30 away (13)30.634.264.8-3.631%31%
Last 10 (10)30.629.760.3+0.940%20%
Last 5 (5)35.428.063.4+7.460%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.035.366.3-4.317%50%
vs Similar (15)31.332.163.5-0.840%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.731.366.0+3.344%33%
This opponent (Princeton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrincetonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H14/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Carnegie Mellon
#423
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H02/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#209
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H06/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#273
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H12/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
33.0Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 66.5
Last 30 (30)31.332.463.8-1.137%47%
Last 30 at home (15)31.128.960.0+2.353%33%
Last 30 away (15)31.536.067.5-4.520%60%
Last 10 (10)33.030.663.6+2.450%40%
Last 5 (5)31.828.260.0+3.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.234.364.5-4.030%50%
vs Similar (8)33.629.863.4+3.950%50%
vs Weaker (1)28.030.058.0-2.00%0%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
RHOD win
no forecast
@ 1.38
PRIN win
no forecast
@ 3.10
1st half Spread Rhode Island -4 · main line
RHOD -4
no forecast
@ 1.83
PRIN +4
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 66.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Rhode Island 1st half total 35.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Princeton 1st half total 31 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Rhode Island -5
RHOD -5
no forecast
@ 1.87
PRIN +5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Rhode Island -2.5
RHOD -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
PRIN +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Over/Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Rhode Island -6.5
RHOD -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
PRIN +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Rhode Island -1.5
RHOD -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
PRIN +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Rhode Island -7.5
RHOD -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
PRIN +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Rhode Island -8.5
RHOD -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.85
PRIN +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
RHOD
no forecast
@ 1.43
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
PRIN
no forecast
@ 3.15

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
RHOD win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
PRIN win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RHOD leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PRIN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Rhode Island -572.6%1.57
Bet365
1.57		----+13.7pp
Rhode Island (regulation)82.0%1.30
Marathon Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30		---+12.8pp
Rhode Island win83.9%1.28
1xBet
1.30
WilliamHill
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28		+9.4pp
Rhode Island over 68.575.4%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+9.3pp
Princeton under 69.570.8%1.39
Betano
1.39		----+5.6pp
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rhode Island wins
0
Princeton wins
No previous meetings.
Rhode Islandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HMd.-East. Shore67-47
11/11/26HMaine Black Bears71-65
07/11/26HMonmouth84-66
04/11/26HHoly Cross103-59
12/03/26ADuquesne61-67
07/03/26AFordham49-61
05/03/26HDuquesne64-52
28/02/26HSaint Josephs Hawks55-61
26/02/26ASt. Bonaventure76-94
21/02/26ALa Salle46-59
Princetonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HStony Brook69-59
08/11/26ASiena68-82
06/11/26HHofstra60-58
02/11/26HCarnegie Mellon78-46
07/03/26AYale53-78
28/02/26HDartmouth82-61
28/02/26HHarvard56-58
21/02/26ABrown71-80
14/02/26HColumbia65-75
14/02/26HCornell65-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rhode Island
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.281.2-
Allowed / game59.259.2-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total140.5140.5-
Over 137.550%50%-
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Princeton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game68.869.068.0
Allowed / game61.254.382.0
Point differential+7.5+14.7-14.0
Avg total130.0123.3150.0
Over 137.525%0%100%
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington440100%80.051.8+28.2
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason440100%72.058.5+13.5
5 Duquesne440100%72.264.5+7.8
6 Saint Josephs Hawks440100%78.871.8+7.0
7 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
8 St. Bonaventure43175%82.062.5+19.5
9 Loyola Chicago43175%79.867.5+12.2
10 Davidson43175%71.061.5+9.5
11 Fordham43175%76.572.0+4.5
12 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
13 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
14 Dayton41325%81.583.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Columbia43175%85.864.0+21.8
2 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
3 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
4 Harvard42250%65.862.8+3.0
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Penn41325%75.285.2-10.0
7 Yale41325%70.280.8-10.5
8 Brown51420%68.470.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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