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Rice vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-76
33-35 44-41
Position#268
Record4-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game73.2
Rice 🏆
USA
vs
Position#98
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game79.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rice winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
109-38
109
38
+71
H05/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H12/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
66-91
66
91
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H21/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
63-78 OT
63
78
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H26/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
65-18
44-20
32-27
31-40
31-36
38-45
26-25
45-39
26-39
40-52
38-37
36-53
41-40
42-43
24-17
35-42
44-32
37-30
40-28
37-44
148.9Avg total
75.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.773.2148.9+2.540%
Season at home (6)80.267.8148.0+12.367%
Season away (4)69.081.2150.2-12.20%
Last 10 (10)75.773.2148.9+2.540%
Last 5 (5)75.878.2154.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.283.2156.4-10.00%
vs Similar (18)69.669.9139.5-0.339%
vs Weaker (2)86.542.0128.5+44.5100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H28/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H03/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
57-46
31-46
34-44
33-46
53-39
45-28
50-39
39-47
33-38
30-50
39-50
38-32
36-31
39-35
31-35
39-21
44-42
46-39
44-39
160.4Avg total
80.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.879.6160.4+1.270%
Season at home (4)84.268.2152.5+16.0100%
Season away (6)78.587.2165.7-8.750%
Last 10 (10)80.879.6160.4+1.270%
Last 5 (5)80.276.8157.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.0159.0-11.033%
vs Similar (9)74.075.1149.1-1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.169.8152.8+13.388%
This opponent (Rice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +1.8+1.8
RiceArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
65-18
65
18
+47
H05/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H12/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H15/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
24-17
24
17
+7
A26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/12
NCAA
66.6Avg total
36.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.967.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.432.468.8+4.153%-
Last 30 away (13)32.533.566.0-1.154%-
Last 10 (10)36.729.966.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.868.2+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.739.272.9-5.520%-
vs Similar (18)34.230.564.7+3.772%-
vs Weaker (2)44.022.566.5+21.550%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H03/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A07/12
NCAA
75.5Avg total
37.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.272.7+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.329.469.6+10.993%-
Last 30 away (16)37.138.475.4-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.375.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.473.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.342.779.0-6.333%-
vs Similar (9)35.034.769.7+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.932.572.4+7.475%-
This opponent (Rice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rice wins
0
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Arkansas State v Rice67-75
Ricelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HTexas State77-72
26/11/25HOral Roberts81-62
26/11/25AFlorida Gulf Coast63-78 OT
24/11/25AKennesaw State84-89 OT
21/11/25HTarleton74-90
18/11/25ATennessee66-91
15/11/25HEast Texas A&M71-64
12/11/25HStephen F. Austin69-81
08/11/25AOregon63-67
05/11/25HCBS Ambassadors109-38
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AUALR90-78
03/12/25HUT Arlington83-63
28/11/25HNorth Dakota St85-80 OT
25/11/25HJacksonville State74-63
22/11/25ASMU Mustangs69-100
20/11/25ASt. Marys (CA)72-85
16/11/25HChristian Brothers Buccaneers95-67
12/11/25AMissouri State86-85
08/11/25AStephen F. Austin65-90
04/11/25AOhio89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rice
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.780.269.0
Allowed / game73.267.881.2
Point differential+2.5+12.3-12.2
Avg total148.9148.0150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%100%50%
Points / game80.884.278.5
Allowed / game79.668.287.2
Point differential+1.2+16.0-8.7
Avg total160.4152.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%75%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa109190%90.769.7+21.0
2 Florida Atlantic118373%83.971.3+12.6
3 UAB107370%82.470.5+11.9
4 North Texas107370%70.265.1+5.1
5 Tulane107370%76.377.1-0.8
6 South Florida106460%88.679.6+9.0
7 Wichita State116555%76.566.7+9.7
8 Temple105550%78.373.7+4.6
9 Memphis84450%76.074.1+1.9
10 UTSA Roadrunners94544%72.671.1+1.4
11 Rice104640%75.773.2+2.5
12 Charlotte104640%70.171.7-1.6
13 East Carolina103730%67.476.9-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State107370%80.879.6+1.2
2 James Madison117464%75.174.2+0.9
3 Coastal Carolina106460%76.570.5+6.0
4 Southern Miss106460%77.972.5+5.4
5 South Alabama106460%74.470.1+4.3
6 Marshall106460%79.877.7+2.1
7 Texas State127558%74.666.9+7.7
8 Georgia Southern127558%81.978.2+3.8
9 Troy116555%89.379.5+9.7
10 Appalachian State116555%73.866.0+7.8
11 Old Dominion113827%74.078.1-4.1
12 Louisiana Monroe113827%72.581.4-8.9
13 Georgia State112918%65.376.5-11.3
14 Louisiana Lafayette101910%57.471.7-14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Rice334477
Arkansas State354176
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