PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rice vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-72
40-28 37-44
Position#268
Record3-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game73.3
Rice 🏆
USA
vs
Position#125
Record6-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rice v Texas State
03 Dec 2025
RICE77
TEXA72
30 Nov 2021
RICE69
TEXA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rice winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H12/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
109-38
109
38
+71
H05/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H12/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
66-91
66
91
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H21/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
63-78 OT
63
78
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-23
27-41
65-18
44-20
32-27
31-40
31-36
38-45
26-25
45-39
26-39
40-52
38-37
36-53
41-40
42-43
24-17
35-42
44-32
37-30
146.5Avg total
74.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.673.3148.9+2.233%
Season at home (5)80.867.0147.8+13.860%
Season away (4)69.081.2150.2-12.20%
Last 10 (10)74.172.4146.5+1.730%
Last 5 (5)73.682.0155.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.283.2156.4-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)69.269.8138.9-0.635%
vs Weaker (3)80.351.0131.3+29.367%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
93-41
93
41
+52
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A28/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
19-43
53-25
61-30
39-26
32-53
38-26
42-43
47-30
30-37
32-22
31-27
28-26
37-30
51-27
42-14
33-33
19-33
34-34
32-32
138.0Avg total
73.7Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.764.3138.0+9.460%
Season at home (7)80.959.3140.1+21.686%
Season away (3)57.076.0133.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)73.764.3138.0+9.460%
Last 5 (5)69.458.0127.4+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.6149.3-9.929%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.778.7150.4-7.014%
vs Weaker (16)78.667.2145.8+11.369%
This opponent (Rice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
RiceTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H12/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
65-18
65
18
+47
H05/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H12/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H15/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
24-17
24
17
+7
A26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H26/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
36.1Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.867.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.232.268.5+4.053%-
Last 30 away (13)32.533.566.0-1.154%-
Last 10 (10)36.129.465.5+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.067.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.739.272.9-5.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.930.664.5+3.271%-
vs Weaker (3)41.723.765.3+18.067%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H29/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
38.4Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.168.3+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.831.469.1+6.465%-
Last 30 away (13)31.835.367.2-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)38.428.967.3+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.628.464.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.937.170.0-4.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.435.466.9-4.014%-
vs Weaker (16)37.930.268.1+7.675%-
This opponent (Rice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rice wins
2
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Texas State v Rice75-66
04/12/22Texas State v Rice71-83
01/12/21Rice v Texas State69-80
Ricelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HOral Roberts81-62
26/11/25AFlorida Gulf Coast63-78 OT
24/11/25AKennesaw State84-89 OT
21/11/25HTarleton74-90
18/11/25ATennessee66-91
15/11/25HEast Texas A&M71-64
12/11/25HStephen F. Austin69-81
08/11/25AOregon63-67
05/11/25HCBS Ambassadors109-38
12/03/25HCharlotte61-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HLehigh74-78 OT
28/11/25ASeattle52-66
25/11/25HTexas Lutheran93-41
22/11/25HUALR65-56
19/11/25HAbilene Christian63-49
15/11/25HTexas Southern77-67
13/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners80-69
08/11/25ATulane71-79
06/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars114-55
04/11/25ABowling Green48-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rice
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game75.680.869.0
Allowed / game73.367.081.2
Point differential+2.2+13.8-12.2
Avg total148.9147.8150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %22%0%50%
Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%86%0%
Points / game73.780.957.0
Allowed / game64.359.376.0
Point differential+9.4+21.6-19.0
Avg total138.0140.1133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa87188%86.567.4+19.1
2 North Texas97278%71.965.1+6.8
3 Tulane86275%76.076.4-0.4
4 UAB96367%83.370.7+12.7
5 Florida Atlantic85362%78.171.8+6.4
6 Wichita State95456%78.867.1+11.7
7 South Florida84450%91.482.5+8.9
8 UTSA Roadrunners84450%74.867.9+6.9
9 Temple84450%76.476.2+0.1
10 Charlotte94544%72.070.9+1.1
11 Memphis73443%75.774.6+1.1
12 East Carolina83538%67.877.5-9.8
13 Rice93633%75.673.3+2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama96367%75.467.8+7.7
2 Arkansas State96367%79.879.8+0.0
3 Southern Miss85362%80.972.1+8.8
4 Marshall85362%80.078.5+1.5
5 Texas State106460%73.764.3+9.4
6 James Madison106460%75.874.9+0.9
7 Coastal Carolina95456%75.269.0+6.2
8 Appalachian State105550%74.567.2+7.3
9 Troy105550%88.182.8+5.3
10 Georgia Southern105550%79.579.6-0.1
11 Old Dominion93633%75.177.8-2.7
12 Louisiana Monroe82625%70.478.2-7.9
13 Georgia State91811%63.675.2-11.7
14 Louisiana Lafayette91811%56.871.9-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Rice403777
Texas State284472
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.