PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 81-79
17-15 28-21 19-22 17-21
Position#2
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game76.8
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Balkan
Bulgaria
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game74.2
BulgariaNBLRound 15· Arena Samokov
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rilski Sportist v Balkan
17 Mar 2027
RSP v BAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
RSP81
BAL79
06 Apr 2025
RSP103
BAL75
20 Jan 2025
RSP100
BAL90
25 May 2024
RSP102
BAL97
23 May 2024
RSP75
BAL62
23 Apr 2024
RSP89
BAL62
07 Jan 2024
RSP69
BAL64
11 Mar 2023
RSP77
BAL76
15 Oct 2022
RSP89
BAL83
04 Jun 2022
RSP82
BAL86
02 Jun 2022
RSP78
BAL69
11 Apr 2022
RSP78
BAL74
04 Dec 2021
RSP85
BAL73
03 Apr 2021
RSP82
BAL77
13 Mar 2021
RSP90
BAL48
23 Jan 2021
RSP71
BAL76
28 Dec 2019
RSP93
BAL94
23 Dec 2018
RSP92
BAL86
10 Dec 2017
RSP86
BAL71
02 May 2017
RSP82
BAL73
27 Apr 2017
RSP81
BAL79
25 Feb 2017
RSP80
BAL73
17 Feb 2017
RSP68
BAL81
15 Oct 2016
RSP91
BAL58
16 Oct 2015
RSP89
BAL96
16 May 2015
RSP85
BAL68
14 May 2015
RSP80
BAL85
14 Feb 2015
RSP83
BAL88
02 Nov 2013
RSP82
BAL91
26 May 2013
RSP79
BAL77
10 Mar 2013
RSP70
BAL66
22 Dec 2012
RSP60
BAL70
10 Apr 2012
RSP77
BAL61
23 Dec 2011
RSP77
BAL75
08 Apr 2011
RSP101
BAL73
25 Jan 2011
RSP91
BAL70
18 Dec 2010
RSP95
BAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
104avg 84
A08/11
NBL
Lublin
#30
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 84
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 84
H15/11
NBL
KK Bosna
#4
L
64-91
64
91
-27
59avg 84
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Botev 2012
#6
W
97-68
97
68
+29
102avg 84
A25/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 84
A06/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
74avg 84
H14/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
100-87
100
87
+13
103avg 84
A20/12
NBL
Levski
#10
W
103-86
103
86
+17
105avg 84
A23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 84
A29/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
23-11
26-17
23-22
18-25
8-17
25-15
22-19
15-15
28-30
11-15
20-18
21-25
11-17
15-18
17-31
25-22
25-17
24-12
23-17
21-18
24-19
18-20
23-15
20-17
28-30
21-17
16-16
25-16
23-25
30-26
22-20
32-23
15-19
33-19
23-25
21-21
11-18
25-22
16-16
164.0Avg total
85.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.276.8167.0+13.377%
Season at home (6)91.276.7167.8+14.583%
Season away (7)89.377.0166.3+12.371%
Last 10 (10)85.178.9164.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)89.480.4169.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.781.7150.3-13.017%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.778.7158.3+1.033%
vs Weaker (19)92.178.9171.0+13.284%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
65avg 82
H26/10
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
99avg 82
A03/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
96-58
96
58
+38
98avg 82
H08/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 82
H16/11
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
102-67
102
67
+35
110avg 82
H22/11
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
106-59
106
59
+47
100avg 82
A08/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
88-65
88
65
+23
80avg 82
A14/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
106-95
106
95
+11
102avg 82
A20/12
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 82
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
103-75
103
75
+28
99avg 82
H28/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
18-17
21-20
23-12
28-19
22-13
26-25
23-24
21-11
21-18
40-11
14-18
19-14
24-23
21-21
21-24
22-18
24-8
24-15
32-26
18-14
24-16
30-12
34-17
14-20
18-15
32-14
24-16
26-22
25-21
29-29
26-23
18-24
27-22
26-19
23-24
32-8
31-17
22-25
18-25
169.5Avg total
95.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.874.2166.1+17.692%
Season at home (7)90.171.1161.3+19.0100%
Season away (6)93.877.8171.7+16.083%
Last 10 (10)95.474.1169.5+21.3100%
Last 5 (5)99.476.6176.0+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.389.3161.7-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.883.1168.9+2.756%
vs Weaker (18)89.672.7162.3+16.889%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
Rilski SportistBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A08/11
NBL
Lublin
#30
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H15/11
NBL
KK Bosna
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Botev 2012
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A25/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H14/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A20/12
NBL
Levski
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/12
NBL
82.7Avg total
41.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.381.5+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.986.0+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.837.877.6+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.982.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.285.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.239.874.0-5.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.037.076.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (19)46.039.085.0+7.074%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/10
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A03/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H08/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H16/11
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H22/11
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A08/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A20/12
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
63-25
63
25
+38
H28/12
NBL
78.6Avg total
44.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.538.481.9+5.159%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.380.5+7.967%-
Last 30 away (14)42.840.683.4+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.534.178.6+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.635.882.4+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.340.375.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.241.483.7+0.844%-
vs Weaker (17)45.636.482.1+9.271%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.8
50.7%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.0
35.2%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.418.1
80.8%
71.3%18.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.1
57.8%
54.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.4
37.0%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.617.4
73.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rilski Sportist
LWWWWWLLLW
Balkan
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+28.1
108.2
Offensive rating
122.6
102.1
Defensive rating
94.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
56.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
13.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.2%
3-point %
37.0%
70.5%
Assist %
67.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 122.6Defence102.1 · 94.5Shooting51.5% · 56.8%3-point %35.2% · 37.0%Ball care19.4% · 13.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 31.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Rilski Sportist   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rilski Sportist wins
3
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Balkan v Rilski Sportist75-70
06/04/25Rilski Sportist v Balkan103-75
15/03/25Balkan v Rilski Sportist94-83
20/01/25Rilski Sportist v Balkan100-90
09/11/24Balkan v Rilski Sportist68-76
30/05/24Balkan v Rilski Sportist69-81
28/05/24Balkan v Rilski Sportist69-68
25/05/24Rilski Sportist v Balkan102-97
23/05/24Rilski Sportist v Balkan75-62
23/04/24Rilski Sportist v Balkan89-62
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ACherno More73-77
23/12/25ALevski103-86
20/12/25AMinyor100-87
14/12/25HSpartak Pleven85-80
06/12/25AAcademic Plovdiv86-72
25/11/25ABotev 201297-68
19/11/25AKK Bosna64-91
15/11/25HLok. Plovdiv74-78
12/11/25ALublin73-76
08/11/25ABeroe96-74
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HSpartak Pleven103-75
23/12/25ALok. Plovdiv94-89
20/12/25AAcademic Plovdiv106-95
14/12/25ABotev 201288-65
08/12/25ABeroe106-59
22/11/25HShumen102-67
16/11/25HCherno More85-82
08/11/25HLevski96-58
03/11/25AMinyor99-81
26/10/25HRilski Sportist75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game90.291.289.3
Allowed / game76.876.777.0
Point differential+13.3+14.5+12.3
Avg total167.0167.8166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%67%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game91.890.193.8
Allowed / game74.271.177.8
Point differential+17.6+19.0+16.0
Avg total166.1161.3171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan1312192%91.874.2+17.6
2 Rilski Sportist1310377%90.276.8+13.3
3 Cherno More1410471%90.482.6+7.8
4 Lok. Plovdiv149564%89.782.5+7.2
5 Spartak Pleven137654%81.882.2-0.4
6 Minyor147750%84.487.1-2.8
7 Botev 2012136746%76.180.2-4.1
8 Beroe146843%83.087.9-4.9
9 Academic Plovdiv1441029%81.286.4-5.1
10 Levski1321115%74.686.8-12.2
11 Shumen131128%76.392.9-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rilski Sportist1728191781
Balkan1521222179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.