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CSKA Sofia vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-92
25-24 24-25 18-17 13-26
Position#5
Record14-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game80.7
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
vs
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record17-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.3
BulgariaNBLRound 6· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Balkan
10 Feb 2027
CSKA v BAL
upcoming
01 May 2024
CSKA82
BAL77
06 Apr 2024
CSKA80
BAL92
12 Feb 2024
CSKA78
BAL88
19 May 2023
CSKA83
BAL92
17 May 2023
CSKA70
BAL85
22 Mar 2023
CSKA82
BAL80
22 Oct 2022
CSKA78
BAL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
72avg 77
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 77
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 77
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 77
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 77
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
60avg 77
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
50avg 77
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 77
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
46avg 77
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
88avg 77
A31/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
15-19
15-26
28-17
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
30-20
22-29
22-23
24-20
23-20
21-28
18-27
22-17
18-20
19-18
12-29
19-11
19-12
12-22
12-27
23-31
20-26
22-21
14-23
22-12
23-23
13-23
15-26
8-14
28-25
20-18
25-28
26-20
165.5Avg total
78.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.180.7164.8+3.552%
Season at home (12)85.277.4162.7+7.858%
Season away (15)83.383.3166.5+0.047%
Last 10 (10)78.886.7165.5-7.920%
Last 5 (5)74.085.8159.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.681.6162.3-1.027%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.377.9161.2+5.467%
vs Weaker (9)89.980.2170.1+9.778%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
50avg 70
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 70
A12/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
77avg 70
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 70
A05/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 70
A09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
88-69
88
69
+19
74avg 70
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
42avg 70
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
62avg 70
H25/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
86-59
86
59
+27
84avg 70
H28/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 70
H31/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
15-18
13-34
12-14
24-25
25-16
14-19
25-18
26-22
23-24
20-24
17-15
18-22
20-25
21-17
22-26
24-25
26-21
23-19
22-14
15-18
23-15
28-16
22-20
15-20
20-16
15-18
10-22
18-22
14-30
24-20
15-23
23-23
23-13
26-15
14-8
23-26
22-20
20-22
21-11
160.4Avg total
80.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.378.3160.6+3.963%
Season at home (14)84.777.4162.1+7.386%
Season away (13)79.679.3158.9+0.338%
Last 10 (10)80.480.0160.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)78.275.6153.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.786.8159.4-14.117%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.182.3164.4-0.143%
vs Weaker (10)82.574.4156.9+8.170%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
CSKA SofiaBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/03
NBL
84.4Avg total
40.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.481.7+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.839.982.8+2.969%-
Last 30 away (17)40.140.880.9-0.635%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.284.4-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.680.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.740.380.0-0.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.340.181.4+1.244%-
vs Weaker (9)44.341.685.9+2.867%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A12/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A05/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H25/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H28/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H31/03
NBL
84.5Avg total
42.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.682.4-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.442.283.6-0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)38.342.981.2-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.584.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.145.881.9-9.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.442.484.9+0.043%-
vs Weaker (10)42.539.882.3+2.770%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.5
53.2%
54.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.1
26.6%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.911.2
62.6%
71.1%11.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.7
55.5%
54.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
31.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.211.7
68.0%
71.1%11.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
WLLLLLWLLL
Balkan
WWLLWWLWWL
#5
League position
#4
-11.8
Net rating
+1.1
101.8
Offensive rating
104.7
113.6
Defensive rating
103.6
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.6%
3-point %
29.5%
57.8%
Assist %
56.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 104.7Defence113.6 · 103.6Shooting48.0% · 51.2%3-point %26.6% · 29.5%Ball care16.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds32.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CSKA Sofia wins
6
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
28/03/24Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-59
12/02/24CSKA Sofia v Balkan78-88
03/12/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-95
19/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan83-92
17/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan70-85
14/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia80-71
12/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia79-90
22/03/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan82-80 OT
15/03/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia71-81
07/01/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia81-67
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24ACherno More99-91
28/03/24ABalkan59-86
24/03/24HSpartak Pleven78-82
15/03/24AChernomorets66-92
09/03/24AChernomorets68-78
06/03/24ARilski Sportist84-92
16/02/24ABeroe98-92
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
03/02/24AShumen82-86
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HRilski Sportist86-79
28/03/24HCSKA Sofia86-59
25/03/24HChernomorets71-95
16/03/24HSpartak Pleven60-76
15/03/24HCherno More88-69
09/03/24ACherno More95-79
05/03/24ASpartak Pleven81-90
16/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv86-85
12/02/24ACSKA Sofia88-78
07/02/24ABilbao63-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeWLLLL58%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %52%58%47%
Points / game84.185.283.3
Allowed / game80.777.483.3
Point differential+3.5+7.8+0.0
Avg total164.8162.7166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%86%38%
Points / game82.384.779.6
Allowed / game78.377.479.3
Point differential+3.9+7.3+0.3
Avg total160.6162.1158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2722581%85.075.3+9.7
2 Rilski Sportist2721678%84.475.1+9.3
3 Spartak Pleven2820871%87.679.6+7.9
4 Balkan27171063%82.378.3+3.9
5 CSKA Sofia27141352%84.180.7+3.5
6 Shumen27111641%84.382.9+1.4
7 Yambol27111641%79.784.6-4.9
8 Levski28111739%74.477.1-2.8
9 Cherno More28111739%82.288.5-6.3
10 Academic Plovdiv28101836%80.784.6-3.9
11 Minyor2781930%74.682.3-7.7
12 Beroe2781930%80.690.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2524181380
Balkan2425172692
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