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CSKA Sofia vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-86
31-21 14-20 20-20 20-25
Position#5
Record12-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game77.1
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
vs
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#1
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game74.1
BulgariaNBLRound 17· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist
30 Jan 2027
CSKA v RSP
upcoming
10 Apr 2024
CSKA78
RSP88
17 Jan 2024
CSKA85
RSP86
28 May 2023
CSKA86
RSP72
16 Jan 2023
CSKA76
RSP82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 81
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 81
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 81
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 81
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 81
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 81
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 81
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 81
A14/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
21-20
19-18
20-24
16-26
13-19
30-28
23-22
15-22
21-20
36-17
18-13
26-19
17-25
23-26
29-16
27-20
29-25
16-23
27-18
26-23
26-15
23-21
15-16
19-25
29-21
22-10
23-18
16-18
22-21
28-15
16-22
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
20-30
17-26
24-22
23-13
168.0Avg total
87.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.677.1163.7+9.675%
Season at home (8)87.973.6161.5+14.288%
Season away (8)85.480.5165.9+4.962%
Last 10 (10)87.980.1168.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)86.076.6162.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.281.3162.6-0.144%
vs Similar (10)87.775.5163.2+12.2100%
vs Weaker (11)86.778.9165.6+7.864%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
65-69
65
69
-4
51avg 75
A20/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 75
A24/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
77avg 75
H29/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
90avg 75
H04/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
A08/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 75
A16/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
69-67
69
67
+2
66avg 75
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
93avg 75
A29/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
64avg 75
H07/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 75
A13/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
16-13
15-16
19-23
16-22
19-27
19-11
24-16
11-18
22-11
23-14
23-17
31-7
25-25
25-25
15-19
29-15
18-22
20-25
18-23
18-20
25-18
26-19
28-13
24-6
14-14
12-26
19-21
17-20
28-27
29-19
24-21
20-10
19-17
15-10
15-27
19-16
27-23
23-12
13-19
156.4Avg total
82.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.174.1155.2+7.069%
Season at home (8)81.070.2151.2+10.888%
Season away (8)81.278.0159.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)82.873.6156.4+9.280%
Last 5 (5)83.071.6154.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)67.070.5137.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)84.278.0162.2+6.261%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
CSKA SofiaRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A14/01
NBL
84.5Avg total
42.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.781.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.938.882.7+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.780.7-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.484.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.284.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.839.779.4+0.144%-
vs Similar (10)43.737.481.1+6.370%-
vs Weaker (11)42.541.884.3+0.655%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/11
NBL
Levski
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H04/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A16/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A29/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H07/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/01
NBL
76.1Avg total
41.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.7+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.235.176.4+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.880.8-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.876.1+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.276.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.139.080.1+2.157%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.3
55.3%
54.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.0
29.2%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
71.1%15.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.9
54.7%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
31.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.115.4
69.7%
71.1%15.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LWWWWWWWLW
Rilski Sportist
WWWWWLWWWL
#5
League position
#1
+10.8
Net rating
+13.1
114.5
Offensive rating
109.0
103.8
Defensive rating
95.9
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.2%
3-point %
32.6%
68.7%
Assist %
66.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 109.0Defence103.8 · 95.9Shooting50.4% · 52.5%3-point %29.2% · 32.6%Ball care14.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds35.6% · 30.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSKA Sofia wins
3
Rilski Sportist wins
DateGameScore
13/11/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia79-78
28/05/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia71-88
29/03/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia86-89
16/01/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist76-82
29/10/22Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia84-72
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ACherno More84-91
08/01/24HLevski81-67
29/12/23AMinyor82-76
22/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-74
17/12/23AYambol90-75
09/12/23HBeroe99-86
03/12/23ABalkan95-86
29/11/23HShumen90-72
26/11/23AChernomorets82-95
19/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-79
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ABeroe82-70
07/01/24HBalkan69-64
29/12/23AShumen98-87
23/12/23HChernomorets69-67
16/12/23AMinyor97-70
08/12/23ASpartak Pleven95-97 OT
04/12/23HYambol96-76
29/11/23HCherno More79-60
24/11/23ALevski78-76
20/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv65-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game86.687.985.4
Allowed / game77.173.680.5
Point differential+9.6+14.2+4.9
Avg total163.7161.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game81.181.081.2
Allowed / game74.170.278.0
Point differential+7.0+10.8+3.2
Avg total155.2151.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1614288%85.272.3+12.9
2 CSKA Sofia1612475%86.677.1+9.6
3 Rilski Sportist1611569%81.174.1+7.0
4 Spartak Pleven1611569%85.979.6+6.4
5 Balkan168850%80.479.6+0.8
6 Beroe167944%81.983.9-2.1
7 Cherno More167944%80.784.9-4.2
8 Yambol1661038%79.887.4-7.6
9 Minyor1661038%75.184.4-9.2
10 Shumen1761135%81.983.9-2.0
11 Levski1751229%73.877.2-3.5
12 Academic Plovdiv1641225%76.383.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia3114202085
Rilski Sportist2120202586
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