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Cherno More vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 91-99
25-28 18-20 28-25 20-26
Position#11
Record11-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game88.1
Cherno More
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record13-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.3
BulgariaNBLRound 5· DKS - Varna
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cherno More v CSKA Sofia
06 Feb 2027
CHER v CSKA
upcoming
31 Mar 2024
CHER91
CSKA99
14 Jan 2024
CHER91
CSKA84
23 Apr 2023
CHER84
CSKA93
12 Feb 2023
CHER95
CSKA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 74
H20/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
100-80
100
80
+20
99avg 74
A29/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
64avg 74
H05/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
97-108
97
108
-11
98avg 74
A10/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 74
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
75-121
75
121
-46
64avg 74
A02/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
76avg 74
H06/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
64avg 74
H09/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
69-88
69
88
-19
63avg 74
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
60-107
60
107
-47
42avg 74
H23/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
29-30
26-18
23-16
22-17
24-21
32-15
22-27
17-30
27-32
15-18
16-17
23-32
32-24
24-39
18-13
18-17
21-22
19-17
28-13
14-32
24-29
18-36
19-24
15-26
28-20
30-18
16-17
25-24
21-26
19-23
14-22
18-15
15-23
16-28
20-22
14-19
13-23
9-29
24-36
176.3Avg total
82.7Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.788.1169.8-6.342%
Season at home (14)82.686.5169.1-3.957%
Season away (12)80.889.9170.7-9.225%
Last 10 (10)82.793.6176.3-10.940%
Last 5 (5)74.498.4172.8-24.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)79.191.7170.9-12.630%
vs Similar (4)85.283.8169.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)97.078.0175.0+19.0100%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 77
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
72avg 77
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 77
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 77
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 77
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 77
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
60avg 77
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
50avg 77
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 77
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
46avg 77
A28/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
17-23
20-22
18-22
24-24
15-19
15-26
28-17
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
30-20
22-29
22-23
24-20
23-20
21-28
18-27
22-17
18-20
19-18
12-29
19-11
19-12
12-22
12-27
23-31
20-26
22-21
14-23
22-12
23-23
13-23
15-26
8-14
162.8Avg total
76.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.680.3163.8+3.350%
Season at home (12)85.277.4162.7+7.858%
Season away (14)82.182.7164.9-0.643%
Last 10 (10)76.886.0162.8-9.210%
Last 5 (5)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.882.5163.3-1.725%
vs Similar (9)83.377.9161.2+5.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.878.9167.6+9.975%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
Cherno MoreCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H20/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A29/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
H05/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A10/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A02/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H06/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H09/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H23/03
NBL
90.7Avg total
41.9Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.584.5-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.842.785.5+0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.144.383.4-5.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.948.890.7-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)37.447.484.8-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.745.285.9-4.630%-
vs Similar (4)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (2)51.035.086.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/03
NBL
83.4Avg total
39.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.681.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.683.7+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.680.2-1.031%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.983.4-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.680.6-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.341.081.3-0.742%-
vs Similar (9)41.340.181.4+1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.941.485.2+2.562%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.325.3
53.5%
54.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.1
26.0%
31.3%15.3
🏀 Free throws22.416.0
71.4%
71.1%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.0
51.9%
54.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.4
27.1%
31.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.011.5
63.9%
71.1%11.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
LLLWLWLLWW
CSKA Sofia
LLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#5
-13.4
Net rating
-13.0
101.5
Offensive rating
99.4
114.9
Defensive rating
112.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
47.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
26.0%
3-point %
27.1%
58.6%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 99.4Defence114.9 · 112.5Shooting49.3% · 47.3%3-point %26.0% · 27.1%Ball care18.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Cherno More   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cherno More wins
4
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Cherno More v CSKA Sofia91-84
04/11/23CSKA Sofia v Cherno More99-64
23/04/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia84-93
12/02/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia95-98
12/12/22CSKA Sofia v Cherno More97-84
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HRilski Sportist60-107
15/03/24ABalkan69-88
09/03/24HBalkan79-95
06/03/24HChernomorets89-81
02/03/24ASpartak Pleven75-121
16/02/24HMinyor86-69
10/02/24AAcademic Plovdiv97-108
05/02/24HRilski Sportist75-97
29/01/24ABeroe100-80
20/01/24HShumen97-90
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24ABalkan59-86
24/03/24HSpartak Pleven78-82
15/03/24AChernomorets66-92
09/03/24AChernomorets68-78
06/03/24ARilski Sportist84-92
16/02/24ABeroe98-92
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
03/02/24AShumen82-86
28/01/24HChernomorets79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %42%57%25%
Points / game81.782.680.8
Allowed / game88.186.589.9
Point differential-6.3-3.9-9.2
Avg total169.8169.1170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWLLLL58%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%58%43%
Points / game83.685.282.1
Allowed / game80.377.482.7
Point differential+3.3+7.8-0.6
Avg total163.8162.7164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2621581%84.975.1+9.8
2 Rilski Sportist2721678%84.475.1+9.3
3 Spartak Pleven2619773%87.879.1+8.7
4 Balkan27171063%82.378.3+3.9
5 CSKA Sofia26131350%83.680.3+3.3
6 Cherno More26111542%81.788.1-6.3
7 Shumen27111641%84.382.9+1.4
8 Yambol27111641%79.784.6-4.9
9 Levski27101737%74.177.3-3.1
10 Academic Plovdiv27101737%81.084.8-3.8
11 Minyor2781930%74.682.3-7.7
12 Beroe2781930%80.690.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More2518282091
CSKA Sofia2820252699
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