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Rio Claro vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-73
18-16 18-13 20-19 23-25
Position#15
Record5-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#13
Record10-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game77.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Felipe Karam
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rio Claro v Caxias do Sul
03 Feb 2026
RIO 79
CAXI73
01 Dec 2022
RIO 75
CAXI83
03 Nov 2021
RIO 63
CAXI65
09 Mar 2016
RIO 74
CAXI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Claro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
73avg 66
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 66
H06/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
101-109 OT
101
109
-8
92avg 66
H09/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
64-95
64
95
-31
46avg 66
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 66
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
68-84
68
84
-16
66avg 66
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 66
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 66
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 66
A20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
22-20
17-30
17-15
26-27
27-29
31-19
14-20
22-19
18-23
15-25
26-14
17-31
13-15
17-25
17-24
12-16
10-12
19-17
16-22
23-20
16-29
18-17
11-18
18-24
20-31
16-10
20-17
20-18
6-29
17-13
17-18
13-24
17-24
13-27
22-18
23-13
16-25
19-14
19-23
160.5Avg total
74.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.587.7163.3-12.223%
Season at home (9)87.692.3179.9-4.833%
Season away (13)67.284.5151.8-17.315%
Last 10 (10)74.286.3160.5-12.120%
Last 5 (5)68.882.4151.2-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.588.8159.3-18.310%
vs Similar (7)83.184.6167.7-1.443%
vs Weaker (3)92.791.3184.0+1.367%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
60avg 65
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
72avg 65
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 65
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
68-52
68
52
+16
64avg 65
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
60-100
60
100
-40
46avg 65
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
48avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
77avg 65
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 65
A12/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
63avg 65
H21/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
21-13
16-21
19-9
16-15
23-17
18-16
12-21
27-19
18-23
18-25
26-13
18-19
20-7
15-12
15-14
15-28
15-30
13-26
17-16
20-12
11-22
14-16
11-21
26-15
17-24
14-15
13-16
15-7
12-19
22-34
16-17
18-20
16-17
16-16
23-21
10-21
16-29
21-23
19-20
149.4Avg total
72.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.277.7149.9-5.543%
Season at home (9)74.776.4151.1-1.856%
Season away (14)70.678.5149.1-7.936%
Last 10 (10)72.177.3149.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)70.280.0150.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.985.2153.2-17.312%
vs Similar (6)75.571.7147.2+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.972.7152.6+7.186%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Rio ClaroCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H06/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NBB
81.0Avg total
36.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.744.382.0-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.045.186.1-4.123%-
Last 30 away (17)35.243.778.9-8.524%-
Last 10 (10)36.144.981.0-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.447.481.8-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.245.681.9-9.415%-
vs Similar (7)38.138.476.6-0.343%-
vs Weaker (3)46.349.095.3-2.733%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A12/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H21/01
NBB
72.7Avg total
35.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.039.374.3-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.440.176.5-3.733%-
Last 30 away (18)34.138.872.9-4.739%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.572.7-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.269.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.442.473.8-11.16%-
vs Similar (6)39.534.574.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.135.976.0+4.386%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.3
45.5%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.1
30.9%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
72.8%14.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.415.9
46.2%
52.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
72.8%12.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rio Claro
WLLLLLLLWL
Caxias do Sul
LLLWLLWWLW
#15
League position
#13
-12.3
Net rating
-7.1
93.7
Offensive rating
94.9
106.0
Defensive rating
102.1
45.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.9%
3-point %
34.3%
61.7%
Assist %
62.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 94.9Defence106.0 · 102.1Shooting45.9% · 48.5%3-point %30.9% · 34.3%Ball care18.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Rio Claro   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rio Claro wins
7
Caxias do Sul wins
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AOsasco77-75
17/01/26APinheiros65-93
09/01/26HBrasilia60-78
29/12/25AFranca74-82
22/12/25ABauru68-84
15/12/25ACorinthians Paulista57-67
12/12/25ASao Jose64-95
09/12/25HPato101-109 OT
06/12/25HCearense98-95
04/12/25HUnifacisa78-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HFranca66-93
19/01/26HBauru73-74
12/01/26ABrasilia65-77
09/01/26APato91-85 OT
29/12/25AMogi56-71
27/12/25ACorinthians Paulista60-100
23/12/25HCearense68-52
21/12/25HUnifacisa89-80
18/12/25AVasco79-80 OT
16/12/25ASao Jose74-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %23%33%15%
Points / game75.587.667.2
Allowed / game87.792.384.5
Point differential-12.2-4.8-17.3
Avg total163.3179.9151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %43%56%36%
Points / game72.274.770.6
Allowed / game77.776.478.5
Point differential-5.5-1.8-7.9
Avg total149.9151.1149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %13%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2320387%88.976.0+13.0
2 Franca2319483%88.774.3+14.4
3 Pinheiros2319483%87.375.2+12.0
4 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
5 Brasilia2417771%81.172.1+9.0
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Sao Jose2314961%82.379.3+3.0
8 Paulistano2213959%80.676.6+4.0
9 Unifacisa23131057%81.279.8+1.3
10 Mogi22121055%76.369.4+6.9
11 Uniao Corinthians22121055%80.682.0-1.5
12 Bauru24121250%77.378.0-0.7
13 Caxias do Sul23101343%72.277.7-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2271532%79.285.6-6.4
15 Rio Claro2251723%75.587.7-12.2
16 Cearense2351822%77.587.2-9.7
17 Pato2451921%72.981.6-8.7
18 Botafogo2341917%72.382.9-10.7
19 Osasco2341917%75.187.2-12.1
20 Vasco2442017%69.579.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rio Claro1818202379
Caxias do Sul1613192573
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