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Paulistano vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 66-76
17-13 21-23 13-21 15-19
Position#12
Record14-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.5
Paulistano
Brazil
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record28-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game71.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Minas
21 Dec 2026
PAUL v MINA
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
PAUL104
MINA83
14 Apr 2025
PAUL66
MINA76
25 Nov 2023
PAUL71
MINA86
02 May 2023
PAUL68
MINA77
30 Apr 2023
PAUL80
MINA76
03 Dec 2022
PAUL90
MINA73
13 Nov 2021
PAUL67
MINA96
01 Mar 2021
PAUL76
MINA74
04 Nov 2019
PAUL80
MINA76
24 Oct 2018
PAUL81
MINA76
16 Nov 2017
PAUL93
MINA86
26 Nov 2016
PAUL98
MINA86
08 Dec 2015
PAUL82
MINA50
28 Nov 2014
PAUL62
MINA83
16 Jan 2014
PAUL80
MINA66
13 Dec 2012
PAUL92
MINA78
15 Dec 2011
PAUL88
MINA83
25 Feb 2011
PAUL72
MINA70
28 Jan 2009
PAUL82
MINA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
65-74
65
74
-9
55avg 70
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 70
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 70
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 70
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 70
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 70
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 70
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 70
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
85-64
85
64
+21
89avg 70
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 70
A06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
12-13
12-19
19-25
28-13
25-27
28-20
12-18
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
14-26
23-20
20-23
20-25
19-14
12-24
16-20
19-20
16-12
28-15
20-19
21-18
17-16
22-19
13-21
11-14
158.5Avg total
78.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.176.5154.5+1.644%
Season at home (15)79.777.8157.5+1.947%
Season away (17)76.675.3151.9+1.341%
Last 10 (10)78.180.4158.5-2.320%
Last 5 (5)73.877.8151.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.285.8165.0-6.620%
vs Similar (18)77.675.7153.3+1.844%
vs Weaker (7)79.974.4154.3+5.457%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 76
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 76
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 76
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 76
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 76
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 76
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 76
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 76
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
97-59
97
59
+38
98avg 76
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 76
A12/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
11-16
20-14
20-17
21-32
19-10
10-23
24-14
27-23
20-15
22-21
25-11
28-17
22-18
18-17
20-18
24-23
22-17
27-20
19-21
20-25
29-13
11-9
17-16
21-15
12-17
17-20
25-20
22-15
19-23
16-19
19-12
22-21
21-5
31-22
23-11
11-16
16-11
16-25
24-19
152.3Avg total
81.9Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.471.1153.5+11.485%
Season at home (17)84.468.9153.4+15.594%
Season away (16)80.373.3153.6+7.075%
Last 10 (10)81.970.4152.3+11.580%
Last 5 (5)78.466.8145.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.672.0151.6+7.780%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.7+5.7
PaulistanoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/04
NBB
76.8Avg total
38.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.977.4+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.939.878.7-0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)39.936.376.2+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.376.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)45.043.288.2+1.860%-
vs Similar (18)38.737.676.3+1.239%-
vs Weaker (7)37.435.172.6+2.357%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A12/04
NBB
77.0Avg total
41.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.676.4+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.536.677.2+3.963%-
Last 30 away (11)38.736.575.2+2.345%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.577.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.270.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)44.332.777.0+11.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)39.937.477.3+2.452%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.319.5
46.1%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
33.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
72.7%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.9
50.3%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.3
37.9%
33.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
72.7%11.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWLLLLLLWL
Minas
LWWWWWWWLW
#12
League position
#1
-3.6
Net rating
+16.9
101.4
Offensive rating
112.0
105.0
Defensive rating
95.0
45.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.3%
3-point %
37.9%
65.3%
Assist %
60.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 112.0Defence105.0 · 95.0Shooting45.9% · 53.3%3-point %30.3% · 37.9%Ball care18.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 34.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Paulistano   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paulistano wins
7
Minas wins
DateGameScore
20/12/24Minas v Paulistano86-82
11/03/24Minas v Paulistano72-70
25/11/23Paulistano v Minas71-86
09/05/23Minas v Paulistano71-67
07/05/23Minas v Paulistano68-83
02/05/23Paulistano v Minas68-77
30/04/23Paulistano v Minas80-76
27/04/23Minas v Paulistano85-82
03/04/23Minas v Paulistano105-70
03/12/22Paulistano v Minas90-73
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AFlamengo63-70
03/04/25ABotafogo85-64
01/04/25AVasco66-78
26/03/25HPato77-94
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
13/02/25HSao Jose93-78
11/02/25ACorinthians Paulista65-74
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ASao Paulo67-71
09/04/25HBotafogo97-59
07/04/25HVasco76-69
03/04/25APato75-72
01/04/25ABrasilia77-63
29/03/25HUniao Corinthians92-81
26/03/25HCaxias do Sul88-70
19/03/25HFlamengo94-70
13/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba74-79
12/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayLLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %44%47%41%
Points / game78.179.776.6
Allowed / game76.577.875.3
Point differential+1.6+1.9+1.3
Avg total154.5157.5151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %85%94%75%
Points / game82.484.480.3
Allowed / game71.168.973.3
Point differential+11.4+15.5+7.0
Avg total153.5153.4153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3328585%82.471.1+11.4
2 Flamengo3326779%84.575.5+9.0
3 Franca3324973%84.275.2+9.1
4 Brasilia32191359%81.680.1+1.5
5 Bauru32181456%78.778.6+0.1
6 Uniao Corinthians32181456%78.779.3-0.6
7 Vasco33181555%76.776.2+0.5
8 Pinheiros32171553%76.475.6+0.8
9 Sao Jose33171652%78.277.8+0.4
10 Unifacisa33161748%75.475.3+0.1
11 Corinthians Paulista32151747%80.179.1+1.0
12 Paulistano32141844%78.176.5+1.6
13 Pato32122038%81.483.3-1.9
14 Sao Paulo33122136%76.079.7-3.7
15 Caxias do Sul32112134%73.980.4-6.5
16 Mogi33102330%74.081.3-7.3
17 Cearense3392427%71.878.2-6.3
18 Botafogo3392427%72.882.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1721131566
Minas1323211976
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