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Paulistano vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 81-69
27-13 21-18 15-27 18-11
Position#12
Record14-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#6
Record19-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Brasilia
19 Jan 2026
PAUL83
BRAS81
17 Apr 2025
PAUL81
BRAS69
31 Mar 2024
PAUL95
BRAS50
13 Apr 2023
PAUL113
BRAS71
03 Dec 2021
PAUL75
BRAS77
05 Apr 2021
PAUL70
BRAS66
09 Nov 2019
PAUL86
BRAS68
15 Dec 2018
PAUL83
BRAS82
24 Nov 2016
PAUL74
BRAS90
22 Apr 2016
PAUL88
BRAS100
20 Apr 2016
PAUL99
BRAS78
19 Jan 2016
PAUL75
BRAS81
03 Apr 2015
PAUL89
BRAS81
19 Dec 2013
PAUL96
BRAS74
19 Mar 2013
PAUL77
BRAS82
17 Dec 2011
PAUL120
BRAS93
09 Jan 2011
PAUL51
BRAS95
24 Apr 2009
PAUL68
BRAS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 69
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 69
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 69
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 69
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 69
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 69
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 69
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
85-64
85
64
+21
89avg 69
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 69
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
50avg 69
H14/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
25-27
28-20
12-18
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
14-26
23-20
20-23
20-25
19-14
12-24
16-20
19-20
16-12
28-15
20-19
21-18
17-16
22-19
13-21
11-14
17-13
21-23
13-21
15-19
158.8Avg total
78.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.776.5154.2+1.242%
Season at home (16)78.977.7156.6+1.244%
Season away (17)76.675.3151.9+1.341%
Last 10 (10)78.280.6158.8-2.420%
Last 5 (5)71.476.4147.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.481.0155.4-6.620%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.675.7153.3+1.844%
vs Weaker (7)79.974.4154.3+5.457%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 72
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
84-62
84
62
+22
73avg 72
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 72
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-71
95
71
+24
98avg 72
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
67avg 72
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
80-98
80
98
-18
44avg 72
A14/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
94-71
94
71
+23
88avg 72
H17/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
50avg 72
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 72
H05/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
73avg 72
H08/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-11
11-26
16-23
26-21
14-9
29-15
15-17
21-20
20-14
12-21
30-22
25-16
24-22
27-20
19-13
19-21
21-22
18-14
14-13
15-25
24-22
19-28
22-23
24-14
22-18
24-22
24-17
25-20
13-29
9-11
16-17
11-20
29-20
26-19
11-20
15-20
12-23
26-23
26-22
156.7Avg total
79.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.680.1161.7+1.559%
Season at home (17)81.878.6160.4+3.171%
Season away (15)81.481.7163.1-0.347%
Last 10 (10)79.477.3156.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.682.6161.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.285.2164.5-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.480.7162.1+0.759%
vs Weaker (8)82.073.6155.6+8.488%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
PaulistanoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H14/04
NBB
77.8Avg total
38.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.576.4+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.638.976.6-1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)39.936.376.2+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.977.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.440.882.2+0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.737.676.3+1.239%-
vs Weaker (7)37.435.172.6+2.357%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H17/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H05/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/04
NBB
78.7Avg total
40.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.681.2+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.940.382.2+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)41.238.779.9+2.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.778.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.280.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.543.581.0-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.140.281.4+0.935%-
vs Weaker (8)44.236.480.6+7.962%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.0
47.8%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.1
29.7%
33.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
72.7%16.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.2
50.2%
50.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.5
37.8%
33.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.9
77.7%
72.7%13.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLWLLLLLLW
Brasilia
LLLWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#6
-3.4
Net rating
+3.7
101.4
Offensive rating
108.9
104.8
Defensive rating
105.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
37.8%
61.6%
Assist %
63.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 108.9Defence104.8 · 105.2Shooting46.7% · 53.5%3-point %29.7% · 37.8%Ball care19.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 23.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Paulistano   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Paulistano wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Brasilia v Paulistano87-102
31/03/24Paulistano v Brasilia95-50
16/12/23Brasilia v Paulistano69-91
13/04/23Paulistano v Brasilia113-71
15/12/22Brasilia v Paulistano72-82
04/04/22Brasilia v Paulistano60-78
03/12/21Paulistano v Brasilia75-77 OT
05/04/21Paulistano v Brasilia70-66
14/11/20Brasilia v Paulistano57-73
15/02/20Brasilia v Paulistano90-78
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/25HMinas66-76
06/04/25AFlamengo63-70
03/04/25ABotafogo85-64
01/04/25AVasco66-78
26/03/25HPato77-94
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
13/02/25HSao Jose93-78
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/25HFlamengo79-88
05/04/25HVasco77-79
01/04/25HMinas63-77
17/03/25HBotafogo94-71
14/03/25APato80-98
26/02/25HPinheiros72-70
14/02/25HUniao Corinthians95-71
12/02/25HCaxias do Sul83-77
07/02/25ACearense84-62
05/02/25AUnifacisa67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %42%44%41%
Points / game77.778.976.6
Allowed / game76.577.775.3
Point differential+1.2+1.2+1.3
Avg total154.2156.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL59%
HomeWWLLL71%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game81.681.881.4
Allowed / game80.178.681.7
Point differential+1.5+3.1-0.3
Avg total161.7160.4163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)78% (9)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3429585%82.270.9+11.3
2 Flamengo3426876%84.776.1+8.6
3 Franca3425974%84.675.6+9.0
4 Brasilia32191359%81.680.1+1.5
5 Bauru32181456%78.778.6+0.1
6 Pinheiros33181555%76.775.0+1.7
7 Vasco33181555%76.776.2+0.5
8 Uniao Corinthians33181555%78.079.5-1.5
9 Sao Jose33171652%78.277.8+0.4
10 Corinthians Paulista33161748%80.879.6+1.1
11 Unifacisa33161748%75.475.3+0.1
12 Paulistano33141942%77.776.5+1.2
13 Pato33122136%81.383.5-2.3
14 Sao Paulo33122136%76.079.7-3.7
15 Caxias do Sul33112233%74.681.1-6.5
16 Mogi34112332%74.581.2-6.7
17 Cearense3392427%71.878.2-6.3
18 Botafogo3392427%72.882.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2721151881
Brasilia1318271169
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