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Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-63
16-17 19-22 21-13 14-11
Position#3
Record23-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game75.5
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Paulistano
Brazil
Position#12
Record14-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.7
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano
17 Dec 2026
FLAM v PAUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
FLAM84
PAUL79
06 Apr 2025
FLAM70
PAUL63
26 Mar 2024
FLAM81
PAUL68
31 Jan 2024
FLAM83
PAUL82
05 Apr 2023
FLAM83
PAUL70
22 Jan 2023
FLAM71
PAUL65
28 Apr 2022
FLAM74
PAUL68
18 Mar 2022
FLAM73
PAUL70
15 Jan 2022
FLAM71
PAUL68
10 May 2021
FLAM92
PAUL69
10 Dec 2020
FLAM104
PAUL76
22 Oct 2019
FLAM78
PAUL75
01 Feb 2019
FLAM95
PAUL87
03 Feb 2018
FLAM71
PAUL72
03 Dec 2016
FLAM81
PAUL72
04 Feb 2016
FLAM75
PAUL65
15 Jan 2015
FLAM97
PAUL81
31 May 2014
FLAM78
PAUL73
30 Nov 2013
FLAM80
PAUL58
04 May 2013
FLAM84
PAUL64
02 May 2013
FLAM80
PAUL76
24 Jan 2013
FLAM94
PAUL70
19 Nov 2011
FLAM88
PAUL78
19 Dec 2010
FLAM116
PAUL76
27 Mar 2009
FLAM105
PAUL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
87avg 81
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
92avg 81
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 81
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 81
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
68avg 81
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
102-65
102
65
+37
101avg 81
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
59avg 81
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 81
H27/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 81
A29/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
105-86
105
86
+19
100avg 81
H04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
30-19
24-17
14-13
19-12
27-22
25-22
20-25
21-20
18-19
25-17
18-21
20-15
20-22
19-21
23-27
23-19
25-24
20-17
21-12
29-12
37-21
23-17
13-15
23-27
15-20
21-22
11-25
16-19
16-22
29-15
23-22
20-26
21-21
22-15
29-23
17-18
28-23
30-17
30-28
167.6Avg total
88.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.775.5160.2+9.377%
Season at home (16)85.074.8159.8+10.281%
Season away (14)84.476.3160.7+8.171%
Last 10 (10)88.279.4167.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)90.681.6172.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.476.0165.3+13.485%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
42avg 71
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
65-74
65
74
-9
55avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 71
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 71
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 71
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 71
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 71
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 71
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 71
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
85-64
85
64
+21
89avg 71
A03/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
15-19
20-15
18-14
22-17
12-13
12-19
19-25
28-13
25-27
28-20
12-18
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
14-26
23-20
20-23
20-25
19-14
12-24
16-20
19-20
16-12
28-15
20-19
21-18
158.2Avg total
78.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.576.7155.2+1.945%
Season at home (15)79.777.8157.5+1.947%
Season away (16)77.475.6153.1+1.844%
Last 10 (10)78.779.5158.2-0.830%
Last 5 (5)80.283.6163.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.289.8173.0-6.525%
vs Similar (19)77.775.0152.7+2.747%
vs Weaker (7)79.974.4154.3+5.457%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
FlamengoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/04
NBB
84.5Avg total
44.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.883.5+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.337.681.9+6.772%-
Last 30 away (12)42.943.085.9-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.384.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.742.382.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.339.483.7+4.865%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A03/04
NBB
75.7Avg total
37.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.677.6+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.978.7+1.040%-
Last 30 away (15)40.036.476.4+3.653%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.075.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.545.291.8+1.250%-
vs Similar (19)39.536.976.4+2.542%-
vs Weaker (7)37.435.172.6+2.357%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.0
56.2%
50.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.7
38.5%
33.0%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.614.1
71.9%
72.7%14.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.7
47.1%
50.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.2
29.8%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.716.7
77.0%
72.7%16.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWLWWLWWW
Paulistano
WLLLLLLWLW
#3
League position
#12
+11.5
Net rating
-1.6
114.4
Offensive rating
102.4
102.8
Defensive rating
104.0
56.9%
Effective FG%
46.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.5%
3-point %
29.8%
63.5%
Assist %
65.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 102.4Defence102.8 · 104.0Shooting56.9% · 46.2%3-point %38.5% · 29.8%Ball care19.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.8% · 32.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Flamengo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
23/12/24Paulistano v Flamengo75-89
26/03/24Flamengo v Paulistano81-68
31/01/24Flamengo v Paulistano83-82
05/12/23Paulistano v Flamengo72-77
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
04/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo68-87
01/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo73-80
29/04/22Flamengo v Paulistano74-68 OT
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HSao Paulo105-86
29/03/25ABotafogo92-85
27/03/25HVasco84-78
19/03/25AMinas70-94
14/03/25HPaisas102-65
09/03/25APaisas89-72
05/03/25ACaxias do Sul82-85
03/03/25AUniao Corinthians82-77
28/02/25HPato91-81
15/02/25HUnifacisa85-71
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25ABotafogo85-64
01/04/25AVasco66-78
26/03/25HPato77-94
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
13/02/25HSao Jose93-78
11/02/25ACorinthians Paulista65-74
05/02/25APinheiros69-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %77%81%71%
Points / game84.785.084.4
Allowed / game75.574.876.3
Point differential+9.3+10.2+8.1
Avg total160.2159.8160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%47%44%
Points / game78.579.777.4
Allowed / game76.777.875.6
Point differential+1.9+1.9+1.8
Avg total155.2157.5153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3026487%82.771.5+11.1
2 Flamengo3023777%84.775.5+9.3
3 Franca3122971%84.275.9+8.3
4 Brasilia31191261%81.779.8+1.8
5 Vasco31181358%77.375.7+1.6
6 Bauru31181358%78.578.3+0.3
7 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
8 Uniao Corinthians30161453%78.279.4-1.2
9 Sao Jose31161552%78.378.0+0.4
10 Unifacisa31151648%75.275.3-0.1
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano31141745%78.576.7+1.9
13 Pato32122038%81.483.3-1.9
14 Sao Paulo32112134%76.280.1-4.0
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi31102132%73.880.8-7.0
17 Botafogo3192229%73.581.6-8.0
18 Cearense3182326%71.678.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo1619211470
Paulistano1722131163
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