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Bauru vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 81-63
18-12 20-18 21-16 22-17
Position#4
Record19-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game78.9
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#12
Record16-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Paulistano
26 Apr 2026
BAUR88
PAUL75
24 Apr 2026
BAUR80
PAUL95
15 Jan 2026
BAUR87
PAUL89
03 May 2025
BAUR85
PAUL80
27 Apr 2025
BAUR60
PAUL62
25 Apr 2025
BAUR81
PAUL63
20 Jan 2025
BAUR73
PAUL85
26 Oct 2023
BAUR75
PAUL71
11 Feb 2023
BAUR80
PAUL70
06 Jan 2022
BAUR97
PAUL98
28 Apr 2021
BAUR66
PAUL78
08 Dec 2020
BAUR81
PAUL62
13 Nov 2019
BAUR74
PAUL82
06 Dec 2018
BAUR85
PAUL64
11 May 2018
BAUR82
PAUL75
30 Apr 2018
BAUR72
PAUL78
04 Nov 2017
BAUR72
PAUL71
17 Jun 2017
BAUR92
PAUL73
04 Jun 2017
BAUR90
PAUL79
02 Jun 2017
BAUR74
PAUL78
31 Jan 2017
BAUR78
PAUL68
26 Mar 2016
BAUR78
PAUL63
18 Nov 2014
BAUR81
PAUL74
01 Feb 2014
BAUR77
PAUL90
30 Mar 2013
BAUR66
PAUL64
05 Jan 2012
BAUR96
PAUL73
13 Apr 2011
BAUR92
PAUL66
11 Apr 2011
BAUR90
PAUL69
11 Feb 2011
BAUR77
PAUL66
13 Feb 2009
BAUR88
PAUL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
60avg 70
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
74-66
74
66
+8
73avg 70
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
69avg 70
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 70
A18/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 70
H29/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
95avg 70
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 70
H13/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 70
H17/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 70
H19/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
77-93
77
93
-16
75avg 70
A22/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-16
27-24
16-20
19-18
24-18
17-13
14-17
22-20
17-19
17-15
18-23
22-17
15-30
18-21
16-25
28-17
23-16
17-19
16-15
22-16
24-16
19-11
24-26
17-21
24-30
16-19
27-18
28-11
18-17
13-18
16-23
12-21
28-20
20-18
24-26
27-27
16-21
18-25
16-20
158.4Avg total
79.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.778.9157.6-0.254%
Season at home (17)80.075.3155.3+4.776%
Season away (18)77.582.3159.8-4.833%
Last 10 (10)79.678.8158.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)81.880.8162.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.889.5166.2-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.578.2154.7-1.747%
vs Weaker (11)81.775.5157.3+6.282%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 70
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 70
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 70
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 70
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 70
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
85-64
85
64
+21
89avg 70
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 70
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
50avg 70
H14/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
82avg 70
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 70
H22/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
14-26
23-20
20-23
20-25
19-14
12-24
16-20
19-20
16-12
28-15
20-19
21-18
17-16
22-19
13-21
11-14
17-13
21-23
13-21
15-19
27-13
21-18
15-27
18-11
27-27
21-16
25-18
20-16
158.5Avg total
78.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.276.3154.5+2.046%
Season at home (18)79.877.2156.9+2.650%
Season away (17)76.675.3151.9+1.341%
Last 10 (10)78.879.7158.5-0.930%
Last 5 (5)77.671.2148.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.481.0155.4-6.620%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.274.4152.6+3.756%
vs Weaker (7)79.974.4154.3+5.457%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
BauruPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H29/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H13/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/04
NBB
81.9Avg total
42.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.177.4+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.980.5-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.281.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.083.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.050.889.8-11.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.638.877.4-0.247%-
vs Weaker (11)40.636.877.5+3.845%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H14/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/04
NBB
78.1Avg total
39.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.176.5+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.238.677.8+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.535.775.2+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.478.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.477.8+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.440.882.2+0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.636.976.4+2.750%-
vs Weaker (7)37.435.172.6+2.357%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.9
54.2%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.6
30.9%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.315.2
78.8%
72.7%15.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.5
48.4%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.6
31.7%
33.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.816.0
80.8%
72.7%16.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LLWLWWLLWW
Paulistano
WWLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#12
+1.0
Net rating
-1.5
102.3
Offensive rating
104.1
101.2
Defensive rating
105.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.9%
3-point %
31.7%
68.7%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 104.1Defence101.2 · 105.5Shooting50.7% · 48.1%3-point %30.9% · 31.7%Ball care19.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Bauru   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bauru wins
5
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
22/04/25Paulistano v Bauru93-77
20/01/25Bauru v Paulistano73-85
28/10/24Paulistano v Bauru79-83
08/01/24Paulistano v Bauru55-66
26/10/23Bauru v Paulistano75-71
11/02/23Bauru v Paulistano80-70
19/11/22Paulistano v Bauru71-68 OT
04/03/22Paulistano v Bauru53-65
06/01/22Bauru v Paulistano97-98
02/05/21Paulistano v Bauru78-65
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/25APaulistano77-93
19/04/25HBotafogo84-85
17/04/25HVasco75-69
13/04/25HFlamengo84-88
04/04/25HUniao Corinthians89-69
29/03/25HCaxias do Sul84-67
18/03/25AFranca71-93
14/03/25AUnifacisa74-77
11/03/25ACearense74-66
05/03/25HPinheiros84-81
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/25HBauru93-77
17/04/25HBrasilia81-69
14/04/25HMinas66-76
06/04/25AFlamengo63-70
03/04/25ABotafogo85-64
01/04/25AVasco66-78
26/03/25HPato77-94
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL54%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %54%76%33%
Points / game78.780.077.5
Allowed / game78.975.382.3
Point differential-0.2+4.7-4.8
Avg total157.6155.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %46%50%41%
Points / game78.279.876.6
Allowed / game76.377.275.3
Point differential+2.0+2.6+1.3
Avg total154.5156.9151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3429585%82.270.9+11.3
2 Flamengo3527877%85.175.4+9.7
3 Franca3526974%84.976.1+8.9
4 Pinheiros35201557%76.674.0+2.6
5 Brasilia35191654%80.679.9+0.7
6 Vasco35191654%76.776.1+0.6
7 Bauru35191654%78.778.9-0.2
8 Uniao Corinthians34181653%78.180.4-2.4
9 Corinthians Paulista34171750%81.679.7+2.0
10 Sao Jose35171849%78.178.3-0.2
11 Paulistano35161946%78.276.3+2.0
12 Unifacisa35161946%74.675.2-0.6
13 Sao Paulo35142140%76.179.2-3.1
14 Pato35132237%81.883.7-1.9
15 Mogi34112332%74.581.2-6.7
16 Caxias do Sul35112431%73.781.6-7.9
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1820212281
Paulistano1218161763
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