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Vasco vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 80-102
19-22 19-29 19-27 23-24
Position#20
Record2-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game79.2
Vasco
Brazil
vs
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record15-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game74.3
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Flamengo
27 Dec 2025
VASC80
FLAM102
12 Oct 2024
VASC50
FLAM59
10 Nov 2023
VASC65
FLAM68
16 Mar 2019
VASC67
FLAM107
27 Jan 2018
VASC75
FLAM89
28 Jan 2017
VASC78
FLAM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
54-77
54
77
-23
42avg 69
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-103
61
103
-42
54avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
43avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 69
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 69
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 69
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
54avg 69
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 69
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
15-20
11-19
13-18
15-26
17-22
7-27
22-28
19-19
9-20
12-21
19-21
16-15
22-24
16-23
27-22
23-11
24-16
10-20
12-18
21-21
15-22
18-24
16-17
11-22
20-19
28-22
19-22
15-16
17-23
16-18
21-12
15-19
11-25
19-19
14-8
17-21
23-15
10-23
25-20
149.4Avg total
68.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.979.2147.1-11.211%
Season at home (7)74.481.6156.0-7.114%
Season away (11)63.877.6141.5-13.89%
Last 10 (10)68.680.8149.4-12.220%
Last 5 (5)72.479.6152.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)67.980.8148.8-12.911%
vs Similar (12)77.278.0155.2-0.842%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 81
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
76avg 81
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 81
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
91-66
91
66
+25
90avg 81
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
46avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 81
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 81
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
23-19
25-29
13-17
27-18
15-23
24-19
17-25
25-17
20-22
18-19
21-14
22-22
16-22
15-21
14-18
24-9
23-18
20-19
24-20
16-14
13-16
11-23
23-22
17-19
20-20
26-20
21-21
20-17
23-20
13-20
26-8
22-21
21-19
18-26
32-14
24-24
26-21
15-24
22-16
158.7Avg total
81.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.574.3161.8+13.288%
Season at home (7)89.070.6159.6+18.486%
Season away (10)86.576.9163.4+9.690%
Last 10 (10)81.677.1158.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.877.0158.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.382.7159.0-6.333%
vs Similar (12)87.885.7173.4+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.774.1160.7+12.693%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
VascoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/12
NBB
73.6Avg total
34.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.474.1-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.036.872.8-0.845%-
Last 30 away (19)35.539.374.8-3.832%-
Last 10 (10)34.039.673.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.673.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.438.972.4-5.528%-
vs Similar (12)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/12
NBB
79.4Avg total
41.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.080.5+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.638.480.0+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)43.137.880.8+5.371%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.679.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (12)43.440.483.8+3.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.437.180.5+6.380%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.715.2
46.5%
52.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.4
32.1%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.412.0
61.9%
72.8%12.0
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.6%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.6
33.0%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.2
72.0%
72.8%15.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLWLLWLLLL
Flamengo
WWWWLWLWLW
#20
League position
#4
-16.7
Net rating
+6.0
91.1
Offensive rating
107.1
107.9
Defensive rating
101.1
47.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
22.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
33.0%
73.7%
Assist %
67.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 107.1Defence107.9 · 101.1Shooting47.2% · 49.5%3-point %32.1% · 33.0%Ball care22.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Vasco   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vasco wins
10
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
27/03/25Flamengo v Vasco84-78
26/01/25Flamengo v Vasco92-73
12/10/24Vasco v Flamengo50-59
08/01/24Flamengo v Vasco84-79
10/11/23Vasco v Flamengo65-68 OT
16/03/19Vasco v Flamengo67-107
10/11/18Flamengo v Vasco90-70
27/01/18Vasco v Flamengo75-89
30/12/17Flamengo v Vasco89-81
11/03/17Flamengo v Vasco94-86
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ACruzeiro75-79
21/12/25AMinas59-71
18/12/25HCaxias do Sul80-79 OT
16/12/25HUniao Corinthians78-85
13/12/25APinheiros70-84
11/12/25APaulistano69-65
25/11/25HRio Claro81-84
23/11/25HBrasilia59-81
17/11/25AFranca61-103
15/11/25ABauru54-77
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AMinas87-85
21/12/25ACruzeiro93-80
18/12/25HUniao Corinthians82-65
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias84-80
14/12/25ANacional63-75
06/12/25HCaxias do Sul91-66
03/12/25APinheiros67-83
22/11/25HRio Claro84-72
20/11/25HBrasilia83-85
15/11/25APaulistano82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLWLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %11%14%9%
Points / game67.974.463.8
Allowed / game79.281.677.6
Point differential-11.2-7.1-13.8
Avg total147.1156.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%29%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWLWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %88%86%90%
Points / game87.589.086.5
Allowed / game74.370.676.9
Point differential+13.2+18.4+9.6
Avg total161.8159.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%86%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros1816289%87.574.3+13.2
2 Flamengo1715288%87.574.3+13.2
3 Franca1815383%87.373.1+14.2
4 Minas1815383%85.876.9+8.9
5 Brasilia1813572%82.273.5+8.7
6 Corinthians Paulista1812667%82.876.6+6.3
7 Sao Jose1811761%80.377.5+2.8
8 Paulistano1911858%80.075.3+4.7
9 Mogi189950%76.469.7+6.7
10 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
11 Uniao Corinthians189950%78.780.6-1.9
12 Caxias do Sul189950%72.877.1-4.3
13 Unifacisa178947%80.379.7+0.6
14 Cruzeiro1751229%77.585.1-7.6
15 Pato1851328%72.480.3-7.9
16 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
17 Cearense1841422%77.788.9-11.2
18 Rio Claro1841422%77.089.0-12.0
19 Botafogo1831517%71.182.6-11.5
20 Vasco1821611%67.979.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1919192380
Flamengo22292724102
← all games of the day
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