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Cearense vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 73-78
20-10 18-25 24-14 11-29
Position#19
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#20
Record2-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game80.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Vasco
13 Jan 2026
CEAR73
VASC78
01 Nov 2024
CEAR68
VASC70
06 Apr 2024
CEAR70
VASC69
07 Dec 2018
CEAR66
VASC60
05 Dec 2017
CEAR85
VASC76
18 Feb 2017
CEAR89
VASC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 68
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 68
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 68
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
64avg 68
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
74avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
62-95
62
95
-33
50avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
52-68
52
68
-16
39avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
64avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 68
H10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
26-28
22-22
24-33
27-26
29-27
19-31
20-14
19-14
23-25
22-22
25-21
12-32
21-14
21-32
23-22
15-29
19-38
14-23
13-18
21-34
12-20
16-24
13-17
19-18
7-20
12-15
14-15
18-24
28-16
18-33
17-26
24-19
12-21
19-16
23-30
11-21
20-23
27-20
23-24
169.5Avg total
76.6Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.888.7166.6-10.920%
Season at home (11)78.589.2167.6-10.718%
Season away (9)77.188.1165.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)76.692.9169.5-16.310%
Last 5 (5)70.887.2158.0-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)76.487.1163.5-10.717%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
43avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 69
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 69
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 69
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
54avg 69
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 69
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
76avg 69
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 69
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
9-20
12-21
19-21
16-15
22-24
16-23
27-22
23-11
24-16
10-20
12-18
21-21
15-22
18-24
16-17
11-22
20-19
28-22
19-22
15-16
17-23
16-18
21-12
15-19
11-25
19-19
14-8
17-21
23-15
10-23
25-20
19-22
19-29
19-27
23-24
14-21
21-24
14-16
26-17
153.4Avg total
72.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.980.2149.2-11.310%
Season at home (8)75.184.1159.2-9.012%
Season away (12)64.877.7142.4-12.98%
Last 10 (10)72.680.8153.4-8.220%
Last 5 (5)73.881.8155.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)68.981.8150.7-12.810%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.979.3156.2-2.430%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
CearenseVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-67
34
67
-33
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H10/01
NBB
85.2Avg total
38.1Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.680.9-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.042.380.3-4.324%-
Last 30 away (13)38.643.181.7-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.147.185.2-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.443.277.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.843.081.7-4.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.341.377.7-5.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A10/01
NBB
75.5Avg total
35.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.274.7-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.038.674.6-2.636%-
Last 30 away (19)35.239.674.8-4.432%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.475.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.077.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.839.973.6-6.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.2
47.5%
52.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.3
28.9%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
72.8%14.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.5
48.7%
52.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.5
30.6%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.413.3
62.1%
72.8%13.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLLLLWLL
Vasco
LLLLWLLWLL
#19
League position
#20
-19.2
Net rating
-10.5
95.4
Offensive rating
94.3
114.6
Defensive rating
104.8
45.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.9%
3-point %
30.6%
55.3%
Assist %
74.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 94.3Defence114.6 · 104.8Shooting45.9% · 47.4%3-point %28.9% · 30.6%Ball care18.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds28.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Cearense   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cearense wins
4
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Vasco v Cearense78-88
18/01/25Vasco v Cearense75-74
01/11/24Cearense v Vasco68-70
06/04/24Cearense v Vasco70-69 OT
23/12/23Vasco v Cearense81-75
24/01/19Vasco v Cearense77-79
07/12/18Cearense v Vasco66-60
08/02/18Vasco v Cearense96-92
05/12/17Cearense v Vasco85-76
18/02/17Cearense v Vasco89-80 OT
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HFlamengo81-88
29/12/25HCruzeiro78-86
27/12/25HMinas81-99
23/12/25ACaxias do Sul52-68
21/12/25AUniao Corinthians62-95
18/12/25HPinheiros61-108
15/12/25HPaulistano77-100
09/12/25HOsasco89-82
06/12/25ARio Claro95-98
04/12/25ABrasilia90-105
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AUnifacisa75-78
27/12/25HFlamengo80-102
23/12/25ACruzeiro75-79
21/12/25AMinas59-71
18/12/25HCaxias do Sul80-79 OT
16/12/25HUniao Corinthians78-85
13/12/25APinheiros70-84
11/12/25APaulistano69-65
25/11/25HRio Claro81-84
23/11/25HBrasilia59-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %20%18%22%
Points / game77.878.577.1
Allowed / game88.789.288.1
Point differential-10.8-10.7-11.0
Avg total166.6167.6165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL10%
HomeLLLWL12%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %10%12%8%
Points / game68.975.164.8
Allowed / game80.284.177.7
Point differential-11.3-9.0-12.9
Avg total149.2159.2142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2118386%88.273.6+14.7
2 Flamengo2118386%89.075.4+13.6
3 Pinheiros2117481%87.876.2+11.6
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2116576%81.272.1+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2114767%83.277.6+5.7
7 Sao Jose2013765%81.277.5+3.8
8 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
9 Paulistano2011955%80.075.9+4.2
10 Unifacisa21111052%81.981.0+0.8
11 Bauru21111052%76.076.5-0.5
12 Uniao Corinthians20101050%78.680.5-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2061430%78.285.2-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Cearense2041620%77.888.7-10.8
17 Rio Claro2041620%76.088.1-12.1
18 Osasco2141719%75.787.3-11.6
19 Botafogo1931616%71.183.7-12.6
20 Vasco2021810%68.980.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2018241173
Vasco1025142978
← all games of the day
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