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Cruzeiro vs Rio Claro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 95-79
18-24 22-21 30-17 25-17
Position#14
Record8-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#15
Record8-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game87.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rio Claro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 72
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
89avg 72
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 72
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
53avg 72
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 72
A16/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 72
H19/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
15-23
23-10
20-25
11-18
24-20
22-21
20-26
19-24
21-12
16-19
30-23
17-23
21-17
27-19
18-36
27-26
22-18
24-22
18-32
27-20
26-19
17-25
19-17
19-25
17-17
16-18
25-20
9-26
19-29
20-24
19-16
15-20
18-14
20-17
17-18
26-24
23-20
22-24
16-25
165.5Avg total
80.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.685.4164.0-6.831%
Season at home (14)81.586.4167.9-4.936%
Season away (12)75.284.3159.6-9.125%
Last 10 (10)80.684.9165.5-4.340%
Last 5 (5)78.083.6161.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.489.0166.4-11.612%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.282.8158.0-7.640%
vs Weaker (4)88.073.5161.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 68
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
68-84
68
84
-16
66avg 68
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 68
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 68
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 68
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 68
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
68avg 68
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
82avg 68
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
91avg 68
A19/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
10-12
19-17
16-22
23-20
16-29
18-17
11-18
18-24
20-31
16-10
20-17
20-18
6-29
17-13
17-18
13-24
17-24
13-27
22-18
23-13
16-25
19-14
19-23
18-16
18-13
20-19
23-25
12-26
23-19
24-25
23-7
26-21
25-24
13-13
14-20
22-26
18-17
25-15
20-27
156.4Avg total
75.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.387.1164.5-9.831%
Season at home (12)86.889.0175.8-2.250%
Season away (14)69.285.5154.7-16.314%
Last 10 (10)75.081.4156.4-6.440%
Last 5 (5)85.282.0167.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.589.3161.8-16.816%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.083.6166.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (3)92.791.3184.0+1.367%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
CruzeiroRio Claro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A16/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H19/02
NBB
80.9Avg total
39.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)38.143.681.7-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.644.083.6-4.429%-
Last 30 away (12)36.243.179.3-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.280.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.444.681.1-8.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
vs Weaker (4)42.538.881.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NBB
78.3Avg total
35.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.144.382.4-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.844.485.2-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)35.744.279.9-8.519%-
Last 10 (10)35.642.778.3-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.945.782.6-8.816%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.839.277.0-1.538%-
vs Weaker (3)46.349.095.3-2.733%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
72.8%16.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.618.6
45.8%
52.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.2
28.2%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.615.3
74.3%
72.8%15.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
LWLLWLLWLW
Rio Claro
LWWWWLLLLL
#14
League position
#15
-6.3
Net rating
-8.8
96.1
Offensive rating
87.2
102.4
Defensive rating
96.0
50.6%
Effective FG%
44.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.4%
3-point %
28.2%
67.3%
Assist %
55.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 87.2Defence102.4 · 96.0Shooting50.6% · 44.5%3-point %32.4% · 28.2%Ball care16.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Rio Claro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cruzeiro wins
1
Rio Claro wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Rio Claro v Cruzeiro99-77
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HBrasilia87-93
16/02/26AMogi70-69
14/02/26AFranca67-95
06/02/26ABauru77-80
19/01/26HPato89-81
15/01/26ASao Jose91-98
10/01/26ACorinthians Paulista83-95
29/12/25ACearense86-78
27/12/25AUnifacisa77-85
23/12/25HVasco79-75
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AMinas95-98 OT
16/02/26HFlamengo93-87 OT
05/02/26HUniao Corinthians82-77
03/02/26HCaxias do Sul79-73
20/01/26AOsasco77-75
17/01/26APinheiros65-93
09/01/26HBrasilia60-78
29/12/25AFranca74-82
22/12/25ABauru68-84
15/12/25ACorinthians Paulista57-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeWLWWL36%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %31%36%25%
Points / game78.681.575.2
Allowed / game85.486.484.3
Point differential-6.8-4.9-9.1
Avg total164.0167.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL31%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game77.386.869.2
Allowed / game87.189.085.5
Point differential-9.8-2.2-16.3
Avg total164.5175.8154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %12%17%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2722581%86.074.4+11.5
2 Franca2822679%89.475.2+14.1
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2721678%87.181.4+5.7
5 Brasilia2820871%82.272.7+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2820871%83.878.0+5.8
7 Sao Jose28171161%82.879.9+2.8
8 Paulistano27161159%80.276.7+3.5
9 Bauru29171259%79.678.2+1.4
10 Mogi27141352%75.869.9+5.9
11 Uniao Corinthians27141352%79.181.4-2.3
12 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Cruzeiro2681831%78.685.4-6.8
15 Rio Claro2681831%77.387.1-9.8
16 Pato2772026%73.679.3-5.8
17 Cearense2762122%77.086.9-9.8
18 Botafogo2752219%72.183.1-11.0
19 Osasco2642215%75.187.3-12.2
20 Vasco2742315%69.379.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro1822302595
Rio Claro2421171779
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