Rogaska vs Perspektiva Ilirija Result & Analysis

Rogaska will host Perspektiva Ilirija on 4 November 2026 in the Liga Nova KBM, a clash where the Pythia model names Perspektiva Ilirija the favourite with an 85% chance to win, reflecting their 5-1 season record, 84.5 points per game and 70.8 points allowed per game, while Rogaska sits 7th with a 2-4 record, 66.0 points per game and 81.3 points allowed per game. Rogaska has struggled at home, going 0-3 with 68.0 points per game and 89.7 points allowed, and their last five games were 2-3; they beat Zlatorog Lasko 69-60 away, lost to KK Krka 62-97 at home and beat KK Triglav 74-72 away. Perspektiva Ilirija has been strong on the road, 2-0 with 91.0 points per game and 74.0 points allowed, and their last five games were 4-1; they beat Studentski Centar 84-82 away, beat Helios Domzale 79-73 at home and lost to Zadar 70-95 away. In head-to-head history, Perspektiva Ilirija leads 7-3, most recently winning 84-83 on 16 March 2026. Pythia projects a 74-86 score, a total of 160.2, and a 10.0 point spread for the home team with a 44% chance of covering; the over on the 160.2 line has a 3% overtime probability. The game ends with Perspektiva Ilirija's 86 points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon

15.3%fair 6.52

Best odds4.15

Implied23.0%

Edge-7.7pp

Perspektiva Ilirija winLost

84.7%fair 1.18

Best odds1.25

Implied77.0%

Edge+7.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rogaska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRogaska

Date

Competition

KK Triglav Kranj

96-94 OT

97avg 71

H18/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

75-92

-17

70avg 71

A21/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

97-79

+18

100avg 71

H30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

76-80

-4

75avg 71

A04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

75-92

-17

63avg 71

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

49-87

-38

32avg 71

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

67-80

-13

59avg 71

H10/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

74-72

64avg 71

A16/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

62-97

-35

46avg 71

H20/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

69-60

68avg 71

A31/10

Liga Nova KBM

24-20

20-21

22-22

16-19

12-15

19-29

21-27

23-21

27-19

21-26

27-20

22-14

24-15

23-29

12-14

17-22

20-27

29-26

24-21

2-18

13-25

4-23

19-22

13-17

21-25

21-6

11-20

14-29

19-13

22-21

17-18

16-20

14-27

24-16

16-26

8-28

23-28

20-9

12-10

14-13

157.3Avg total

74.0Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	66.0	81.3	147.3	-15.3	33%
Season at home (3)	68.0	89.7	157.7	-21.7	0%
Season away (3)	64.0	73.0	137.0	-9.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	83.3	157.3	-9.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	64.2	79.2	143.4	-15.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	71.9	87.1	159.0	-15.2	19%
vs Similar (7)	84.4	84.3	168.7	+0.1	57%
vs Weaker (7)	91.0	80.9	171.9	+10.1	71%

This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perspektiva Ilirija Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormIlirija

Date

Competition

KK Triglav Kranj

89-79

+10

84avg 77

A30/09

Liga Nova KBM

Dubai

70-85

-15

54avg 77

H04/10

ABA League

KK Krka Novo mesto

82-83

-1

72avg 77

H07/10

Liga Nova KBM

Spartak Subotica

76-82

-6

62avg 77

H10/10

ABA League

Zlatorog Lasko

93-69

+24

93avg 77

A14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Mega Basket

#16

96-62

+34

95avg 77

H18/10

ABA League

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

78-62

+16

69avg 77

H21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zadar

#14

70-95

-25

59avg 77

A25/10

ABA League

Helios Domzale

79-73

48avg 77

H28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Studentski Centar

#20

84-82

79avg 77

A01/11

ABA League

23-8

22-31

23-11

21-29

15-25

12-22

15-19

28-19

13-26

21-13

27-21

21-23

23-17

16-21

18-27

19-17

20-14

30-12

22-17

21-26

24-16

19-21

30-12

23-13

21-27

21-7

25-13

11-15

16-26

19-14

12-27

23-28

19-25

23-20

26-13

11-15

20-25

16-21

19-23

29-13

158.9Avg total

81.7Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	84.5	70.8	155.3	+13.7	83%
Season at home (4)	81.2	69.2	150.5	+12.0	75%
Season away (2)	91.0	74.0	165.0	+17.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	77.2	158.9	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	74.8	156.2	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	79.3	87.6	166.9	-8.3	14%
vs Similar (6)	83.3	88.0	171.3	-4.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.9	73.4	162.4	+15.5	94%

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152

Over 152

69.2%

Under 152

30.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 157.25 · main lineActual: Under 157.25

Over 157.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 157.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 162Actual: Under 162

Over 162

44.9%

@ 2.20+2.8pp

Under 162

55.1%

@ 1.60-2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.20

Under

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Rogaska total 70.5Actual: Rogaska over 70.5

Over 70.5

63.9%

@ 1.53+3.1pp

Under 70.5

36.1%

@ 2.80-3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.43

Bet365

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.22

Rogaska total 74.5 · main lineActual: Rogaska over 74.5

Over 74.5

48.4%

@ 2.00+0.7pp

Under 74.5

51.6%

@ 1.83-0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.00

Marathon Be

1.88

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.76

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.63

Rogaska total 78.5Actual: Rogaska under 78.5

Over 78.5

33.3%

@ 2.60-2.3pp

Under 78.5

66.7%

@ 1.54+2.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.60

Betano

2.57

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.33

Perspektiva Ilirija total 81.5Actual: Perspektiva Ilirija under 81.5

Over 81.5

67.1%

@ 1.57+9.3pp

Under 81.5

32.9%

@ 2.20-9.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.51

Under

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.03

Perspektiva Ilirija total 85.5 · main lineActual: Perspektiva Ilirija under 85.5

Over 85.5

51.6%

@ 2.07+7.3pp

Under 85.5

48.4%

@ 1.83-7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.07

1xBet

1.99

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.65

1xBet

1.54

Perspektiva Ilirija total 89.5Actual: Perspektiva Ilirija under 89.5

Over 89.5

35.9%

@ 2.89+3.7pp

Under 89.5

64.1%

@ 1.38-3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.89

Betano

2.72

Under

Betano

1.38

1xBet

1.28

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rogaska +7Actual: Rogaska +7

ROGA +7

33.0%

@ 2.12-11.3pp

PIL -7

67.0%

@ 1.81+11.3pp

Best 5 market prices

ROGA

Bet365

2.12

Marathon Be

2.10

Pinnacle

2.06

SBO

1.88

1xBet

1.84

PIL

1xBet

1.81

SBO

1.78

Bet365

1.64

Pinnacle

1.64

Marathon Be

1.53

Spread Rogaska +10 · main lineActual: Rogaska +10

ROGA +10

44.0%

@ 1.91-5.4pp

PIL -10

56.0%

@ 1.95+5.4pp

Best 5 market prices

ROGA

SBO

1.91

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.82

Bet365

1.74

PIL

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.84

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.77

Spread Rogaska +13Actual: Rogaska +13

ROGA +13

55.2%

@ 1.60-5.4pp

PIL -13

44.8%

@ 2.35+5.4pp

Best 5 market prices

ROGA

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.57

Pinnacle

1.53

PIL

Pinnacle

2.35

Bet365

2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RogaskaPerspektiva Ilirija

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	17.5	22.9	40.4	-5.4	17%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.9	21%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	15.7	22.4	38.1	-6.7	12%	38%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.6	41.6	-5.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.0	22.8	37.8	-7.8	6%	44%
vs Similar (7)	19.3	23.1	42.4	-3.9	29%	71%
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	29%	86%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.6	41.2	+0.1	50%	60%
Last 30 at home (19)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.4	63%	68%
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	20.7	39.3	-2.2	27%	45%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	24.0	42.9	-5.1	14%	71%
vs Similar (6)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	17%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	18.5	40.8	+3.9	76%	59%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.2	40%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.1	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	23.2	43.4	-3.1	25%	75%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.0	33.2	+3.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	38%	75%
vs Similar (7)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	29%	71%
vs Weaker (7)	24.4	21.4	45.9	+3.0	57%	71%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	57%	70%
Last 30 at home (19)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.8	53%	68%
Last 30 away (11)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.7	64%	73%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	20.9	41.7	+0.0	43%	57%
vs Similar (6)	20.2	20.2	40.3	+0.0	67%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	59%	82%

RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Triglav Kranj

44-41

H18/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

31-44

-13

A21/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

48-45

H30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

47-44

A04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

49-53

-4

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

17-48

-31

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

42-31

+11

H10/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

41-34

A16/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

38-43

-5

H20/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

43-37

A31/10

Liga Nova KBM

82.0Avg total

40.0Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	38.9	44.5	83.5	-5.6	37%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	43.3	85.8	-0.8	50%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	45.6	81.4	-9.8	25%	69%
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.6	74.8	-2.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.6	45.3	80.9	-9.8	19%	56%
vs Similar (7)	39.7	43.1	82.9	-3.4	43%	86%
vs Weaker (7)	45.9	44.1	90.0	+1.7	71%	86%

This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perspektiva IlirijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Triglav Kranj

45-39

A30/09

Liga Nova KBM

Dubai

27-47

-20

H04/10

ABA League

KK Krka Novo mesto

34-39

-5

H07/10

Liga Nova KBM

Spartak Subotica

39-38

H10/10

ABA League

Zlatorog Lasko

50-26

+24

A14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Mega Basket

#16

43-37

H18/10

ABA League

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

42-34

H21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zadar

#14

35-40

-5

A25/10

ABA League

Helios Domzale

42-45

-3

H28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Studentski Centar

#20

36-46

-10

A01/11

ABA League

78.4Avg total

39.3Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.6	82.7	+1.6	53%	57%
Last 30 at home (19)	42.8	40.6	83.5	+2.2	58%	53%
Last 30 away (11)	41.0	40.5	81.5	+0.5	45%	64%
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.2	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.4	80.0	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.7	44.9	84.6	-5.1	29%	43%
vs Similar (6)	38.2	42.7	80.8	-4.5	17%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.6	38.1	82.6	+6.5	76%	65%

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Rogaska win

ROGA win

no forecast

@ 3.20

PIL win

no forecast

@ 1.38

1st half Spread Rogaska +2.5 · main lineActual: Rogaska +2.5

ROGA +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

PIL -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Under 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.98

Rogaska 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Rogaska under 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Perspektiva Ilirija 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Perspektiva Ilirija under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half: ROGA + total 78.5

ROGA & over

no forecast

@ 5.75

ROGA & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half: Draw + total 78.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PIL + total 78.5

PIL & over

no forecast

@ 2.85

PIL & under

no forecast

@ 2.70

1st half Over/Under 77.25Actual: Under 77.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Rogaska +1.5Actual: Rogaska +1.5

ROGA +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

PIL -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Rogaska +3.5Actual: Rogaska +3.5

ROGA +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

PIL -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread Rogaska +0.5Actual: Rogaska +0.5

ROGA +0.5

no forecast

@ 3.15

PIL -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.32

1st half Spread Rogaska +4.5Actual: Rogaska +4.5

ROGA +4.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

PIL -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.44

Under

no forecast

@ 2.62

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Rogaska (regulation)

ROGA

no forecast

@ 3.25

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.50

PIL

no forecast

@ 1.43

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.6	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	50%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.2	38%	56%
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	31%	56%
vs Similar (7)	21.7	22.1	43.9	-0.4	43%	86%
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	16.4	37.7	+4.9	71%	57%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.8	57%	53%
Last 30 at home (19)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	63%	47%
Last 30 away (11)	20.5	22.8	43.4	-2.3	45%	64%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.1	25.9	46.0	-5.7	14%	86%
vs Similar (6)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	67%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.9	16.7	39.6	+6.2	71%	41%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.7	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	21.1	39.1	-3.2	43%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	62%	31%
Last 10 (10)	14.5	20.1	34.6	-5.6	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	13.0	21.4	34.4	-8.4	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.6	21.3	37.9	-4.8	38%	38%
vs Similar (7)	19.6	15.1	34.7	+4.4	71%	14%
vs Weaker (7)	23.9	20.3	44.1	+3.6	71%	71%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.5	57%	53%
Last 30 at home (19)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.4	63%	53%
Last 30 away (11)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.8	45%	55%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.6	71%	29%
vs Similar (6)	23.7	22.3	46.0	+1.3	33%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.8	59%	53%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.25
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.6	79.1	-0.0	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.9	79.8	-2.1	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	38.4	78.5	+1.8	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	32.6	40.1	72.7	-7.5	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	28.0	40.6	68.6	-12.6	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.3	41.8	78.1	-5.5	19%	38%
vs Similar (7)	41.3	37.3	78.6	+4.0	71%	86%
vs Weaker (7)	45.1	36.7	81.9	+8.4	71%	71%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.25
Last 30 (30)	43.0	38.7	81.7	+4.2	63%	67%
Last 30 at home (19)	44.2	36.6	80.8	+7.5	74%	58%
Last 30 away (11)	40.9	42.4	83.3	-1.5	45%	82%
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.1	80.5	+4.3	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	34.4	76.2	+7.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.6	42.7	82.3	-3.1	43%	100%
vs Similar (6)	43.0	43.7	86.7	-0.7	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.4	35.4	79.7	+9.0	76%	53%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ROGA win + total 157.5

🔒 Pro

PIL win + total 157.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ROGA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PIL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ROGA:PIL): ROGA wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Perspektiva Ilirija -3	79.5%	1.54	Pinnacle 1.54	-	-	-	-	+20.4pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -3.5	77.6%	1.45	Pinnacle 1.58	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.41	Betano 1.32	-	+20.0pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -4	76.9%	1.52	Pinnacle 1.55	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	+18.3pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -4.5	74.6%	1.45	Pinnacle 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.52	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.29	+17.7pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -5	73.7%	1.59	SBO 1.75	Pinnacle 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.55	Bet365 1.47	-	+16.8pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -2.5	80.0%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.40	Betano 1.34	-	-	+13.7pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija +2.5	88.2%	1.23	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -1.5	82.9%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 78.5	77.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija +1.5	86.1%	1.23	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 76.5	82.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -6	70.4%	1.62	SBO 1.91	Bet365 1.55	Pinnacle 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.50	-	+11.2pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 74.5	87.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija -5.5	71.4%	1.52	SBO 1.83	Bet365 1.52	Pinnacle 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.48	Betano 1.44	+10.9pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 72.5	90.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 80.5	70.7%	1.50	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.44	-	-	+10.1pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 79.5	74.0%	1.40	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 71.5	92.4%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 77.5	80.0%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija +7.5	94.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Rogaska under 80.5	73.4%	1.39	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 69.5	94.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 70.5	93.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija +12.5	97.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 67.5	96.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 68.5	95.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija win	84.7%	1.21	WilliamHill 1.25	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.21	SBO 1.20	Betfair 1.20	+7.7pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija (regulation)	82.8%	1.19	Betano 1.22	Marathon Bet 1.18	1xBet 1.18	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 66.5	97.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 65.5	97.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija +6.5	93.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija +10.5	96.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 63.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 64.5	98.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Over 150.5	72.0%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 73.5	89.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija +17.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija +15.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 75.5	85.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
Rogaska under 82.5	79.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 62.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Rogaska under 86.5	88.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Rogaska under 94.5	97.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 147.5	77.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Over 142.5	85.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Rogaska under 84.5	84.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Rogaska under 92.5	95.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Rogaska under 90.5	93.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Over 132.5	95.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Rogaska under 88.5	91.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.9%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Over 137.5	91.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Over 133.5	94.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Rogaska under 93.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Rogaska under 91.5	94.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Over 143.5	84.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Rogaska under 95.5	97.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Rogaska under 89.5	92.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Over 148.5	76.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Lost
Over 138.5	90.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Rogaska under 87.5	89.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Rogaska under 85.5	86.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Rogaska under 83.5	81.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Rogaska under 81.5	76.4%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Rogaska under 79.5	70.1%	1.34	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Under 183.5	92.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Under 182.5	91.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Rogaska over 67.5	74.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Rogaska over 68.5	71.1%	1.29	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Rogaska +24.5	87.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Under 178.5	86.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Under 173.5	79.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Rogaska +18.5	73.0%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Under 177.5	85.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Rogaska over 66.5	77.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Rogaska +19.5	75.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Rogaska +22.5	83.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Rogaska +17.5	70.1%	1.27	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
Under 172.5	77.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	19.6	52.7%	53.4%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	6.9	27.6%	30.3%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	21.4	14.6	68.2%	70.0%	14.6

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Perspektiva Ilirijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perspektiva Ilirija: 78.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.7	53.2%	53.4%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.7	6.8	34.5%	30.3%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.9	72.0%	70.0%	14.9

They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	22.0	57.0%	53.4%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.7	32.6%	30.3%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	12.8	68.1%	70.0%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.9	51.4%	53.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.7	33.0%	30.3%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.3	71.9%	70.0%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.7	53.3%	53.4%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.6	31.0%	30.3%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	21.6	14.8	68.4%	70.0%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	23.0	54.8%	53.4%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	7.4	34.3%	30.3%	22.1
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.2	75.9%	70.0%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	19.8	53.8%	53.4%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.6	34.3%	30.3%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.7	15.5	71.3%	70.0%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.9	50.0%	53.4%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.2	33.9%	30.3%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.0	73.8%	70.0%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Rogaska

WLWLLLLWLW

Perspektiva Ilirija

WWLWWWLLLW

League position

-9.7

Net rating

+1.8

86.3

Offensive rating

93.8

96.0

Defensive rating

92.0

48.2%

Effective FG%

52.7%

53.7%

Opp. effective FG%

50.6%

17.2%

Turnover %

16.0%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.34

27.6%

3-point %

34.5%

71.3%

Assist %

51.2%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Rogaska ■ Perspektiva Ilirija

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rogaska wins

Perspektiva Ilirija wins

Date	Game	Score
16/03/26	Rogaska v Perspektiva Ilirija	83-84
04/02/26	Perspektiva Ilirija v Rogaska	87-89
12/11/25	Rogaska v Perspektiva Ilirija	74-77
07/12/24	Rogaska v Perspektiva Ilirija	81-86
27/09/24	Perspektiva Ilirija v Rogaska	82-65
29/03/24	Perspektiva Ilirija v Rogaska	79-82
05/02/24	Perspektiva Ilirija v Rogaska	99-98 OT
09/01/24	Rogaska v Perspektiva Ilirija	99-94
02/12/23	Rogaska v Perspektiva Ilirija	63-94
30/09/23	Perspektiva Ilirija v Rogaska	20-0

Rogaskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	69-60
20/10/26	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	62-97
16/10/26	A	KK Triglav Kranj	74-72
10/10/26	H	Gorica	67-80
03/10/26	A	Polzela	49-87
26/09/26	H	Sencur	75-92
04/05/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	76-80
30/04/26	H	Helios Domzale	97-79
21/04/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	75-92
18/04/26	H	KK Triglav Kranj	96-94 OT

Perspektiva Ilirijalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Studentski Centar	84-82
28/10/26	H	Helios Domzale	79-73
25/10/26	A	Zadar	70-95
21/10/26	H	Tajfun Sentjur	78-62
18/10/26	H	Mega Basket	96-62
14/10/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	93-69
10/10/26	H	Spartak Subotica	76-82
07/10/26	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	82-83
04/10/26	H	Dubai	70-85
30/09/26	A	KK Triglav Kranj	89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	33%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	0%	67%
Points / game	66.0	68.0	64.0
Allowed / game	81.3	89.7	73.0
Point differential	-15.3	-21.7	-9.0
Avg total	147.3	157.7	137.0
Over 157.25	33%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perspektiva Ilirija

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	83%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	83%	75%	100%
Points / game	84.5	81.2	91.0
Allowed / game	70.8	69.2	74.0
Point differential	+13.7	+12.0	+17.0
Avg total	155.3	150.5	165.0
Over 157.25	50%	25%	100%
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Krka Novo mesto	7	7	0	100%	89.6	69.3	+20.3
2	Perspektiva Ilirija	6	5	1	83%	84.5	70.8	+13.7
3	Sencur	5	4	1	80%	88.2	79.6	+8.6
4	Polzela	7	5	2	71%	82.4	73.3	+9.1
5	Gorica	6	3	3	50%	73.2	73.8	-0.7
6	Zlatorog Lasko	6	3	3	50%	70.5	75.7	-5.2
7	Rogaska	6	2	4	33%	66.0	81.3	-15.3
8	KK Triglav Kranj	5	1	4	20%	76.2	78.6	-2.4
9	Helios Domzale	6	0	6	0%	67.0	81.2	-14.2
10	Tajfun Sentjur	6	0	6	0%	67.0	84.8	-17.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rogaska	20	14	21	22	77
Perspektiva Ilirija	20	9	20	17	66

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Rogaska vs Perspektiva Ilirija Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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