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Rogaska vs Perspektiva Ilirija Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-84
24-25 21-21 15-16 23-22
Position#7
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game81.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 20· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rogaska v Perspektiva Ilirija
04 Nov 2026
ROGA77
PIL66
16 Mar 2026
ROGA83
PIL84
12 Nov 2025
ROGA74
PIL77
07 Dec 2024
ROGA81
PIL86
09 Jan 2024
ROGA99
PIL94
02 Dec 2023
ROGA63
PIL94
06 Mar 2023
ROGA87
PIL94
29 Oct 2022
ROGA71
PIL68
15 Feb 2022
ROGA84
PIL88
23 Oct 2021
ROGA78
PIL79
12 Jan 2019
ROGA106
PIL99
18 Apr 2018
ROGA84
PIL79
23 Dec 2017
ROGA82
PIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perspektiva Ilirija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Polzela
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 72
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
53-89
53
89
-36
50avg 72
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 72
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 72
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
no box
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 72
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
20-21
18-22
27-22
7-20
20-15
4-23
22-31
10-30
26-26
20-24
13-17
19-23
21-15
20-14
26-23
17-23
20-18
20-32
15-16
13-25
18-26
24-29
19-18
13-21
22-24
30-25
17-11
17-22
29-20
23-15
20-30
9-18
16-28
12-23
24-13
15-22
19-26
25-16
19-15
161.0Avg total
74.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.386.3166.6-6.032%
Season at home (9)80.484.4164.9-4.033%
Season away (10)80.288.0168.2-7.830%
Last 10 (10)74.586.5161.0-12.030%
Last 5 (5)76.885.4162.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.185.3160.4-10.327%
vs Similar (6)80.384.8165.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (8)91.884.8176.5+7.062%
This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perspektiva IlirijaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlirija
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 76
H24/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
100-76
100
76
+24
no box
H28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
96-93
96
93
+3
94avg 76
H01/02
ABA League
Rogaska
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H04/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Bosna
#11
W
93-78
93
78
+15
85avg 76
A07/02
ABA League
Polzela
#8
W
93-91
93
91
+2
no box
H10/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
81-115
81
115
-34
66avg 76
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Split
#18
W
112-107 OT
112
107
+5
107avg 76
A03/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
71-72
71
72
-1
60avg 76
A07/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
W
106-101
106
101
+5
98avg 76
H13/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
24-23
16-17
10-26
20-19
35-17
20-23
25-17
24-21
22-20
21-23
29-29
22-17
20-29
15-23
30-20
26-29
26-11
24-24
17-14
28-23
24-21
23-23
18-24
28-24
14-31
24-34
15-26
20-31
26-16
22-20
26-27
20-16
11-19
20-19
20-18
22-28
33-25
24-25
27-23
182.4Avg total
91.6Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.881.6171.4+8.372%
Season at home (9)94.488.2182.7+6.267%
Season away (9)85.274.9160.1+10.378%
Last 10 (10)91.690.8182.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)92.697.2189.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.990.1166.0-14.212%
vs Similar (11)85.586.0171.5-0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.581.5173.1+10.082%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.1-9.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.1-9.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
RogaskaPerspektiva Ilirija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
79.3Avg total
34.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.683.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.684.2-2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.245.483.7-7.225%-
Last 10 (10)34.744.679.3-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.246.480.6-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.146.182.3-10.020%-
vs Similar (6)39.242.281.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker (8)45.245.490.6-0.150%-
This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perspektiva IlirijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H24/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H01/02
ABA League
Rogaska
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Bosna
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/02
ABA League
Polzela
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H10/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Split
#18
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A07/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H13/03
ABA League
91.2Avg total
47.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.184.2+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.441.685.1+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)41.042.583.5-1.544%-
Last 10 (10)47.244.091.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.892.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.942.679.5-5.838%-
vs Similar (11)42.443.485.7-1.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.740.586.2+5.364%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.8
51.7%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.5
28.0%
33.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
72.9%14.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perspektiva Ilirijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perspektiva Ilirija: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.524.2
55.6%
54.3%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.8
30.0%
33.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws27.220.2
74.3%
72.9%20.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LLWWLLWLLL
Perspektiva Ilirija
WLWLWWLWWL
#7
League position
#3
-7.4
Net rating
-3.0
95.0
Offensive rating
102.3
102.4
Defensive rating
105.3
48.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
19.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
28.0%
3-point %
30.0%
66.3%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 102.3Defence102.4 · 105.3Shooting48.2% · 52.0%3-point %28.0% · 30.0%Ball care19.9% · 13.6%Off. rebounds25.9% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Rogaska   ■ Perspektiva Ilirija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rogaska wins
7
Perspektiva Ilirija wins
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26ASencur78-79
14/02/26ASencur61-82
04/02/26APerspektiva Ilirija89-87
02/02/26AHelios Domzale82-81
20/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto74-98
17/01/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-89
12/01/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek86-75
06/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto69-97
30/12/25HKK Krka Novo mesto53-89
22/12/25APolzela81-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HFMP Beograd106-101
07/03/26AKK Krka Novo mesto71-72
03/03/26ASplit112-107 OT
16/02/26ACedevita Olimpija81-115
10/02/26HPolzela93-91
07/02/26AKK Bosna93-78
04/02/26HRogaska87-89
01/02/26HCedevita Olimpija96-93
28/01/26HTajfun Sentjur100-76
24/01/26HMega Basket77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game80.380.480.2
Allowed / game86.384.488.0
Point differential-6.0-4.0-7.8
Avg total166.6164.9168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perspektiva Ilirija
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%67%78%
Points / game89.894.485.2
Allowed / game81.688.274.9
Point differential+8.3+6.2+10.3
Avg total171.4182.7160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%33%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2019195%93.770.7+23.0
2 Perspektiva Ilirija1813572%89.881.6+8.3
3 Sencur1912763%87.581.6+5.9
4 Helios Domzale2012860%85.383.2+2.2
5 KK Triglav Kranj20101050%80.578.2+2.2
6 Zlatorog Lasko2081240%85.596.1-10.6
7 Tajfun Sentjur1971237%78.184.4-6.3
8 Rogaska1961332%80.386.3-6.0
9 Polzela2061430%82.488.0-5.6
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1941521%77.891.1-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2421152383
Perspektiva Ilirija2521162284
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