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Sencur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-78
22-15 26-19 16-25 15-19
Position#4
Record11-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game81.8
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record6-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game86.7
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 19· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sencur v Rogaska
05 Dec 2026
SENC v ROGA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SENC79
ROGA78
14 Feb 2026
SENC82
ROGA61
10 Jan 2025
SENC92
ROGA68
02 Mar 2024
SENC69
ROGA61
05 Jan 2024
SENC74
ROGA73
16 Apr 2023
SENC92
ROGA73
05 Nov 2022
SENC86
ROGA59
04 May 2022
SENC92
ROGA96
13 Nov 2021
SENC92
ROGA62
17 Apr 2021
SENC87
ROGA90
17 Oct 2020
SENC78
ROGA77
04 Jan 2020
SENC92
ROGA53
27 Oct 2018
SENC79
ROGA81
14 Apr 2018
SENC75
ROGA82
03 Feb 2018
SENC79
ROGA64
08 Jan 2018
SENC78
ROGA52
10 Jan 2017
SENC75
ROGA76
10 Dec 2016
SENC63
ROGA77
28 Nov 2015
SENC72
ROGA70
22 Oct 2014
SENC61
ROGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 83
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Ajdovscina
#7
W
106-89
106
89
+17
96avg 83
A03/01
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
52-98
52
98
-46
41avg 83
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
Ajdovscina
#7
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 83
H13/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#5
L
88-101
88
101
-13
no box
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
84-104
84
104
-20
no box
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
A09/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
no box
H14/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 83
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
25-25
19-20
16-33
25-27
21-27
34-20
26-15
18-28
14-23
9-24
11-23
27-22
28-22
22-31
19-16
21-20
25-26
24-29
18-26
22-14
22-36
23-27
17-27
27-24
19-25
25-21
23-12
28-28
27-12
20-14
25-28
18-9
28-16
23-12
13-24
19-26
16-23
17-25
15-15
175.7Avg total
85.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.081.8169.8+6.261%
Season at home (9)89.977.9167.8+12.067%
Season away (9)86.185.7171.8+0.456%
Last 10 (10)85.690.1175.7-4.550%
Last 5 (5)85.483.6169.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.286.5164.7-8.333%
vs Similar (6)89.092.7181.7-3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.173.9162.9+15.282%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
84-84
84
84
+0
no box
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 72
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
53-89
53
89
-36
50avg 72
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 72
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 72
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
no box
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-26
34-15
18-18
16-23
20-21
18-22
27-22
7-20
20-15
4-23
22-31
10-30
26-26
20-24
13-17
19-23
21-15
20-14
26-23
17-23
20-18
20-32
15-16
13-25
18-26
24-29
19-18
13-21
22-24
30-25
17-11
17-22
29-20
23-15
20-30
9-18
16-28
12-23
24-13
162.1Avg total
75.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.486.7167.2-6.333%
Season at home (9)80.484.4164.9-4.033%
Season away (9)80.489.0169.4-8.633%
Last 10 (10)75.187.0162.1-11.930%
Last 5 (5)75.687.4163.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.985.8160.6-10.929%
vs Similar (7)78.685.9164.4-7.329%
vs Weaker (8)91.884.8176.5+7.062%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
SencurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Ajdovscina
#7
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A03/01
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
Ajdovscina
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A09/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H14/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
91.6Avg total
45.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.439.584.9+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.836.783.5+10.180%-
Last 30 away (15)44.142.386.3+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)45.745.991.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.545.084.5-5.533%-
vs Similar (6)43.345.088.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.536.483.9+11.176%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
79.4Avg total
34.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.383.9-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.684.2-2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.745.083.7-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)34.544.979.4-10.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.079.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.346.082.3-9.721%-
vs Similar (7)39.442.081.4-2.643%-
vs Weaker (8)45.245.490.6-0.150%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.8
59.0%
54.3%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.3
33.9%
33.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.0
69.0%
72.9%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.9
51.9%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.8
30.1%
33.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.313.5
69.9%
72.9%13.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWWWLLWLWL
Rogaska
LWWLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#7
+0.0
Net rating
-8.9
100.5
Offensive rating
97.4
100.5
Defensive rating
106.3
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.7%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
30.1%
61.9%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 97.4Defence100.5 · 106.3Shooting56.6% · 49.4%3-point %33.9% · 30.1%Ball care18.7% · 20.7%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Sencur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sencur wins
2
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Sencur v Rogaska82-61
22/11/25Rogaska v Sencur62-88
10/01/25Sencur v Rogaska92-68
26/10/24Rogaska v Sencur79-67
02/03/24Sencur v Rogaska69-61
05/01/24Sencur v Rogaska74-73
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HKK Krka Novo mesto67-89
14/02/26HRogaska82-61
09/02/26ATajfun Sentjur100-82
31/01/26AZlatorog Lasko94-82
21/01/26HPerspektiva Ilirija84-104
17/01/26AHelios Domzale88-101
13/01/26HAjdovscina96-91
11/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto52-98
03/01/26AAjdovscina106-89
20/12/25AKK Triglav Kranj87-104
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ASencur61-82
04/02/26APerspektiva Ilirija89-87
02/02/26AHelios Domzale82-81
20/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto74-98
17/01/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-89
12/01/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek86-75
06/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto69-97
30/12/25HKK Krka Novo mesto53-89
22/12/25APolzela81-88
17/12/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game88.089.986.1
Allowed / game81.877.985.7
Point differential+6.2+12.0+0.4
Avg total169.8167.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game80.480.480.4
Allowed / game86.784.489.0
Point differential-6.3-4.0-8.6
Avg total167.2164.9169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1918195%94.471.3+23.1
2 Perspektiva Ilirija1813572%89.881.6+8.3
3 Helios Domzale1912763%85.982.8+3.2
4 Sencur1811761%88.081.8+6.2
5 KK Triglav Kranj1910953%81.678.2+3.4
6 Tajfun Sentjur1871139%78.284.4-6.3
7 Zlatorog Lasko1971237%85.397.3-11.9
8 Rogaska1861233%80.486.7-6.3
9 Polzela1951426%82.488.6-6.3
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1941521%77.891.1-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2226161579
Rogaska1519251978
← all games of the day
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