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LTH Castings vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 93-84
14-12 29-24 23-22 27-26
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game87.1
LTH Castings 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Rogaska
Slovenia
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game73.3
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 11· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2023-24
Meetings · LTH Castings v Rogaska
14 Oct 2024
LTH 79
ROGA60
08 Apr 2024
LTH 80
ROGA76
09 Dec 2023
LTH 93
ROGA84
11 Feb 2023
LTH 84
ROGA87
07 Jan 2017
LTH 70
ROGA115
05 Mar 2016
LTH 70
ROGA86
27 Mar 2013
LTH 62
ROGA63
01 Dec 2012
LTH 70
ROGA71
21 Mar 2012
LTH 56
ROGA57
12 Nov 2011
LTH 55
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 80
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
81avg 80
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#36
W
100-44
100
44
+56
no box
A30/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
70avg 80
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
no box
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
96-85
96
85
+11
96avg 80
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
62avg 80
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 80
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-15
23-24
14-19
22-18
25-32
20-22
23-25
28-12
26-10
23-12
23-10
24-28
24-28
23-11
17-15
28-20
13-21
20-11
23-13
19-18
14-10
20-19
26-32
21-22
29-12
32-19
15-28
21-20
28-25
25-19
22-21
13-29
19-13
20-17
21-23
25-21
24-25
24-26
18-16
169.2Avg total
89.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.987.1177.0+2.860%
Season at home (5)94.688.6183.2+6.060%
Season away (5)85.285.6170.8-0.460%
Last 10 (10)89.479.8169.2+9.670%
Last 5 (5)92.086.6178.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.686.2159.9-12.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.684.8172.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 74
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 74
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 74
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 74
A06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 74
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
72-67
72
67
+5
61avg 74
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
63-94
63
94
-31
51avg 74
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 74
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
25-25
17-20
21-21
20-25
22-11
22-15
16-35
25-14
20-12
11-22
28-19
17-16
21-18
18-25
24-15
18-20
20-10
20-24
15-21
27-15
23-21
14-16
24-15
13-16
25-23
15-21
19-7
22-14
14-14
22-11
20-22
13-20
16-29
19-24
15-21
20-21
20-17
25-22
19-20
154.8Avg total
78.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.673.3144.9-1.750%
Season at home (6)79.878.8158.7+1.067%
Season away (4)59.265.0124.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)78.676.2154.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)77.073.8150.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.586.4161.9-10.831%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.976.5152.4-0.564%
vs Weaker (5)86.876.6163.4+10.260%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
LTH CastingsRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#36
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A30/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
83.6Avg total
43.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.480.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.178.5+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.582.7-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.883.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.081.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.241.277.4-5.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.041.384.3+1.754%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
76.8Avg total
40.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.739.681.3+2.059%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.885.0+3.462%-
Last 30 away (13)38.538.276.7+0.454%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.676.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.341.981.2-2.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.140.282.3+1.960%-
vs Weaker (5)45.834.880.6+11.0100%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.9
59.7%
52.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.114.0
63.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.1
57.2%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.3
28.6%
33.0%22.0
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
74.0%13.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
WLWWWWWWLL
Rogaska
WLWWWLWWLL
#7
League position
#8
+3.2
Net rating
+1.6
114.2
Offensive rating
103.8
111.0
Defensive rating
102.2
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
28.6%
57.5%
Assist %
69.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 103.8Defence111.0 · 102.2Shooting57.9% · 51.5%3-point %37.0% · 28.6%Ball care18.0% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LTH Castings wins
10
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Rogaska v LTH Castings96-79
19/03/23Rogaska v LTH Castings94-93
11/02/23LTH Castings v Rogaska84-87
02/12/22Rogaska v LTH Castings93-83
07/01/17LTH Castings v Rogaska70-115
15/10/16Rogaska v LTH Castings94-52
05/03/16LTH Castings v Rogaska70-86
23/12/15Rogaska v LTH Castings58-50
17/04/13Rogaska v LTH Castings75-67
27/03/13LTH Castings v Rogaska62-63
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-88
24/11/23HTajfun Sentjur73-82
18/11/23APerspektiva Ilirija96-85
14/11/23HCedevita Olimpija mladi97-81
11/11/23HKK Triglav Kranj103-97 OT
07/11/23ACedevita Olimpija mladi84-65
04/11/23APolzela88-82
30/10/23AGorica100-44
25/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto90-97
20/10/23AHelios Domzale72-77
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto84-80
02/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija63-94
29/11/23AZoltasti Troti78-61
25/11/23HKK Triglav Kranj72-67
21/11/23HZoltasti Troti88-67
18/11/23APolzela73-75
06/11/23AHelios Domzale80-74
28/10/23HSencur84-67
21/10/23HTajfun Sentjur80-86
14/10/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game89.994.685.2
Allowed / game87.188.685.6
Point differential+2.8+6.0-0.4
Avg total177.0183.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game71.679.859.2
Allowed / game73.378.865.0
Point differential-1.7+1.0-5.8
Avg total144.9158.7124.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto108280%90.276.6+13.6
2 Helios Domzale108280%83.275.4+7.8
3 LTH Castings106460%89.987.1+2.8
4 Perspektiva Ilirija106460%77.275.0+2.2
5 Sencur105550%79.380.8-1.5
6 Rogaska105550%71.673.3-1.7
7 Tajfun Sentjur115645%76.682.7-6.1
8 Polzela103730%79.586.5-7.0
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek113827%82.885.4-2.5
10 KK Triglav Kranj102820%72.178.8-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings1429232793
Rogaska1224222684
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