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Cantu vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-74
15-18 31-10 27-26 16-20
Position#2
Record28-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game73.0
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Sebastiani Rieti
Italy
Position#4
Record26-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game73.6
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Semi-finals· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti
26 May 2025
KAN89
SEBA74
24 May 2025
KAN83
SEBA59
19 Jan 2025
KAN70
SEBA77
12 Nov 2023
KAN81
SEBA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 71
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 71
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 71
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
75-79
75
79
-4
74avg 71
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
68avg 71
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
82avg 71
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 71
A15/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
68-74
68
74
-6
51avg 71
A17/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 71
H20/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
83-59
83
59
+24
77avg 71
H24/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
22-24
22-25
11-22
22-16
21-25
31-22
11-15
26-33
16-19
21-14
19-10
20-24
18-13
23-21
14-21
18-24
23-14
15-14
16-12
14-18
24-14
27-24
16-11
23-17
17-15
9-23
19-22
17-25
11-14
16-16
24-19
24-14
11-15
31-17
22-17
26-20
21-14
14-7
22-18
149.4Avg total
77.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)77.973.0151.0+4.964%
Season at home (23)80.368.9149.3+11.483%
Season away (21)75.377.6152.9-2.343%
Last 10 (10)77.272.2149.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)77.668.0145.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.579.2159.8+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.771.6148.3+5.059%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
67avg 68
H26/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-69
78
69
+9
76avg 68
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 68
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
73-91
73
91
-18
69avg 68
A13/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 68
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 68
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-47
65
47
+18
59avg 68
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-61
65
61
+4
54avg 68
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 68
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
53avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
11-21
15-11
16-28
23-21
13-13
20-19
22-16
21-9
27-14
7-17
24-28
26-18
10-28
21-18
16-27
20-17
18-13
12-29
19-8
26-13
21-18
19-18
22-24
11-13
15-18
28-4
11-12
17-21
8-12
27-9
13-19
25-14
22-19
22-21
20-27
20-26
14-21
7-14
18-22
145.6Avg total
73.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)75.373.6148.9+1.662%
Season at home (21)75.369.9145.2+5.471%
Season away (21)75.277.3152.5-2.152%
Last 10 (10)73.472.2145.6+1.270%
Last 5 (5)73.269.0142.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.878.2150.0-6.525%
vs Similar (20)75.273.5148.7+1.660%
vs Weaker (6)82.071.5153.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
CantuSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/05
Serie A2
76.1Avg total
38.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.275.3+2.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.535.275.7+5.294%-
Last 30 away (13)37.237.574.8-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.276.1+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.270.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.437.875.1-0.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.735.775.4+4.077%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H26/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
Serie A2
72.6Avg total
37.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.873.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.034.072.0+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.475.3+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.172.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.239.877.0-2.525%-
vs Similar (20)36.535.572.1+1.045%-
vs Weaker (6)43.234.077.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.7
53.6%
50.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.210.9
67.3%
74.4%10.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.8
49.4%
50.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.2
31.3%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.014.6
69.5%
74.4%14.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WWLLWWLWWL
Sebastiani Rieti
LWWWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#4
+7.6
Net rating
+2.3
107.9
Offensive rating
102.5
100.3
Defensive rating
100.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.6%
3-point %
31.3%
59.4%
Assist %
67.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 102.5Defence100.3 · 100.2Shooting53.5% · 48.3%3-point %35.6% · 31.3%Ball care18.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Cantu   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
24/05/25Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti83-59
19/01/25Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti70-77
06/10/24Sebastiani Rieti v Cantu68-74
21/01/24Sebastiani Rieti v Cantu74-96
12/11/23Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti81-66
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HSebastiani Rieti83-59
20/05/25HFortitudo Bologna88-63
17/05/25AFortitudo Bologna68-74
15/05/25AFortitudo Bologna68-77
12/05/25HFortitudo Bologna81-67
10/05/25HFortitudo Bologna72-64
27/04/25HVigevano75-79
19/04/25AAvellino Basket82-76
13/04/25HPesaro85-78
06/04/25ABasket Torino70-85
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25ACantu59-83
16/05/25AUrania Milano89-81
12/05/25HUrania Milano65-61
10/05/25HUrania Milano65-47
27/04/25AAssigeco Piacenza88-73
19/04/25HJuVi Cremona69-67
13/04/25AOrzinuovi73-91
06/04/25HForli79-68
30/03/25AVigevano78-69
26/03/25HRimini69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %64%83%43%
Points / game77.980.375.3
Allowed / game73.068.977.6
Point differential+4.9+11.4-2.3
Avg total151.0149.3152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%52%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)60% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %62%71%52%
Points / game75.375.375.2
Allowed / game73.669.977.3
Point differential+1.6+5.4-2.1
Avg total148.9145.2152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%43%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3830879%84.075.9+8.2
2 Rimini44301468%80.877.0+3.8
3 Cantu44281664%77.973.0+4.9
4 Sebastiani Rieti42261662%75.373.6+1.6
5 Forli44261859%77.876.2+1.6
6 Cividale43251858%80.378.9+1.4
7 Fortitudo Bologna44242055%75.174.2+0.9
8 Verona39211854%77.975.2+2.8
9 Pesaro40211952%82.280.6+1.6
10 Basket Torino39201951%77.577.0+0.5
11 Avellino Basket39201951%79.680.3-0.7
12 Urania Milano41212051%75.976.7-0.8
13 Brindisi45232251%76.275.8+0.4
14 Orzinuovi38162242%77.880.3-2.5
15 Cento38152339%73.977.3-3.4
16 JuVi Cremona42162638%81.983.4-1.5
17 Libertas Livorno43162737%77.378.9-1.5
18 Vigevano43152835%77.282.0-4.8
19 Nardo42132931%76.482.6-6.2
20 Assigeco Piacenza3873118%76.483.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu1531271689
Sebastiani Rieti1810262074
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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