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Russia vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-78
15-14 22-23 27-22 28-19
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Russia 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1
Other2023
Meetings · Russia v Italy
26 Nov 2021
RUSS92
ITAL78
30 Nov 2020
RUSS66
ITAL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Russia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#19
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A06/09
World Cup
Venezuela
#17
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A08/09
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A20/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H23/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
84-56
84
56
+28
A28/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A19/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H21/02
EuroBasket
Mexico
#16
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A30/06
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H01/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
18-18
17-19
17-26
13-10
14-17
21-15
21-18
24-26
9-15
18-21
13-21
19-20
19-16
19-17
20-14
18-14
23-13
21-15
22-14
15-15
16-21
13-14
22-20
26-21
25-12
21-21
22-23
17-15
16-12
20-18
22-7
16-18
20-13
7-19
21-22
17-15
18-17
18-18
14-19
141.9Avg total
73.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.468.5141.9+4.950%
Last 5 (5)73.268.0141.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.778.5153.2-3.817%
vs Similar (4)65.273.5138.8-8.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.369.1150.4+12.280%
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H03/08
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
16-20
22-21
29-20
21-20
23-34
22-28
28-12
30-20
22-21
13-26
13-20
18-24
19-20
27-14
26-25
22-14
20-16
24-8
13-21
28-22
29-23
23-18
22-32
22-32
21-14
25-26
24-10
25-25
20-19
17-21
21-21
29-17
11-22
16-24
24-8
25-20
17-23
12-21
21-20
170.8Avg total
87.2Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.283.6170.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)86.483.6170.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.682.6158.2-7.020%
vs Similar (4)78.873.0151.8+5.875%
vs Weaker (21)85.273.8159.0+11.576%
This opponent (Russia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
RussiaItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RussiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#19
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/09
World Cup
Venezuela
#17
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A08/09
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A28/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A19/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Mexico
#16
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/06
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/07
Olympic Games
68.9Avg total
36.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.872.9+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.735.272.9+2.458%-
Last 30 away (18)38.434.572.9+3.961%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.468.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.869.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.836.070.8-1.233%-
vs Similar (4)33.835.068.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.034.474.4+5.670%-
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/08
Olympic Games
87.2Avg total
44.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.979.4+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.137.980.0+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.638.078.6+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.987.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.488.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.043.883.8-3.840%-
vs Similar (4)41.234.876.0+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (21)41.837.179.0+4.757%-
This opponent (Russia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Russia wins
2
Italy wins
DateGameScore
30/11/20Russia v Italy66-70
20/02/20Italy v Russia83-64
Russialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/21HGermany67-69
30/06/21AMexico64-72
21/02/21HEstonia75-52
19/02/21ANorth Macedonia94-77
30/11/20HItaly66-70
28/11/20AEstonia84-56
23/02/20HNorth Macedonia77-67
20/02/20AItaly64-83
08/09/19AVenezuela69-60
06/09/19APoland74-79
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/21HFrance75-84
31/07/21HNigeria80-71
28/07/21HAustralia83-86
25/07/21AGermany92-82
04/07/21ASerbia102-95
03/07/21HDominican Republic79-59
01/07/21HPuerto Rico90-83
21/02/21ANorth Macedonia78-87
19/02/21HEstonia101-105 OT
18/02/21HNorth Macedonia92-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Russia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Italy
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belgium110100%83.057.0+26.0
2 Venezuela110100%77.056.0+21.0
3 Iran110100%82.066.0+16.0
4 Kazakhstan110100%84.074.0+10.0
5 Montenegro440100%80.871.0+9.8
6 Great Britain110100%78.069.0+9.0
7 Cape Verde110100%79.071.0+8.0
8 Israel110100%69.061.0+8.0
9 Georgia110100%88.083.0+5.0
10 Guinea110100%76.071.0+5.0
11 Estonia110100%69.066.0+3.0
12 Slovenia110100%76.074.0+2.0
13 Serbia110100%101.0100.0+1.0
14 Sweden54180%90.267.0+23.2
15 Latvia54180%92.477.0+15.4
16 Portugal108280%74.967.3+7.6
17 Belarus118373%81.566.4+15.1
18 Iceland107370%84.676.3+8.3
19 North Macedonia42250%67.565.8+1.8
20 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
21 Slovakia115645%71.273.1-1.9
22 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
23 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
24 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
25 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
26 Croatia1010%74.076.0-2.0
27 Germany1010%66.069.0-3.0
28 Central African Republic1010%71.076.0-5.0
29 Ukraine1010%83.088.0-5.0
30 Nigeria1010%71.079.0-8.0
31 Poland1010%61.069.0-8.0
32 Greece1010%69.078.0-9.0
33 Finland1010%62.072.0-10.0
34 Syria1010%74.084.0-10.0
35 Turkey1010%70.084.0-14.0
36 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
37 Bahrain1010%66.082.0-16.0
38 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
39 Panama1010%56.077.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 39 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Russia1522272892
Italy1423221978
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