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Sacramento State vs Cal Poly Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sacramento State v Cal Poly
14 Jan 2027
SACR v CAL
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
SACR57
CAL 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A08/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
53-32
0-0
51-58
0-0
31-32
0-0
42-42
0-0
37-51
0-0
42-44
0-0
25-38
0-0
49-41
0-0
39-57
0-0
55-45
0-0
40-42
0-0
40-44
0-0
32-42
0-0
41-39
0-0
33-37
0-0
28-45
0-0
46-29
0-0
37-36
0-0
13-27
0-0
32-41
158.8Avg total
76.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.682.2158.8-5.620%
Last 5 (5)68.476.4144.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.085.3160.4-10.319%
vs Similar (7)78.478.4156.9+0.043%
vs Weaker (1)94.046.0140.0+48.0100%
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H06/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H13/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-52
0-0
48-45
0-0
22-21
0-0
36-46
0-0
29-42
0-0
50-31
0-0
37-46
0-0
52-33
0-0
44-35
0-0
42-40
0-0
48-40
0-0
54-52
0-0
24-42
0-0
40-38
0-0
42-52
0-0
43-55
0-0
62-41
0-0
46-35
0-0
35-26
0-0
34-46
165.4Avg total
83.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.681.8165.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)85.685.4171.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.586.0164.5-7.529%
vs Similar (6)87.586.5174.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.5183.5+28.5100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
Sacramento StateCal Poly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
13-27
13
27
-14
A08/03
NCAA
73.6Avg total
34.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.076.1-4.023%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.337.077.3+3.346%-
Last 30 away (17)32.842.475.1-9.66%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.773.6-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.468.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.141.377.4-5.119%-
vs Similar (7)33.739.773.4-6.014%-
vs Weaker (1)49.023.072.0+26.0100%-
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H06/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H13/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
NCAA
78.8Avg total
39.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.879.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.440.679.1-2.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.979.6-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.778.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.540.776.2-5.133%-
vs Similar (6)42.043.285.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)59.038.097.0+21.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sacramento State wins
0
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
16/11/21Cal Poly v Sacramento State57-58
19/12/19Sacramento State v Cal Poly57-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AIdaho45-68
03/03/26HIdaho State83-65
28/02/26AMontana State61-82
27/02/26AMontana73-81
22/02/26HIdaho80-86
20/02/26HEast. Washington94-102
15/02/26ANorthern Arizona74-79
13/02/26ANorthern Colorado79-95
08/02/26HPortland State73-74
03/02/26HWeber State104-90
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AUC San Diego69-72
08/03/26HCSU Bakersfield108-76
06/03/26AUC Irvine85-107
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75
15/02/26HUC Santa Barbara89-79
13/02/26HUC Irvine79-73
07/02/26AUC Davis58-67
06/02/26HCS Northridge96-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cal Poly
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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