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Sacramento State vs Cal Poly Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#284
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#239
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sacramento State v Cal Poly
14 Jan 2027
SACR v CAL
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
SACR57
CAL 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A08/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#369
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A08/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-38
49-41
39-57
55-45
40-42
40-44
32-42
41-39
33-37
28-45
46-29
37-36
13-27
32-41
50-42
40-32
36-45
41-38
36-33
20-42
152.8Avg total
73.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.377.3151.7-3.033%
Season at home (2)73.074.5147.5-1.550%
Season away (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)73.379.5152.8-6.220%
Last 5 (5)70.273.0143.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.884.8158.6-11.019%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.478.4156.9+0.043%
vs Weaker (1)94.046.0140.0+48.0100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
42-40
48-40
54-52
24-42
40-38
42-52
43-55
62-41
46-35
35-26
34-46
35-24
43-38
41-59
43-45
29-37
42-62
38-32
45-42
167.1Avg total
83.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.084.8163.8-5.850%
Season at home (1)78.062.0140.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)79.392.3171.7-13.033%
Last 10 (10)83.084.1167.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.486.4164.8-8.032%
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.585.2171.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.5183.5+28.5100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
Sacramento StateCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
13-27
13
27
-14
A08/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#369
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
35.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.376.5-4.123%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.836.877.5+4.054%-
Last 30 away (17)32.843.075.8-10.20%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.274.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.271.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.841.277.0-5.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.739.773.4-6.014%-
vs Weaker (1)49.023.072.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
39.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.1-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.577.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.040.876.8-4.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)59.038.097.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sacramento State wins
0
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
16/11/21Cal Poly v Sacramento State57-58
19/12/19Sacramento State v Cal Poly57-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUC Davis56-75
08/11/26ASanta Clara77-83
03/11/26HWilliam Jessup90-74
08/03/26AIdaho45-68
03/03/26HIdaho State83-65
28/02/26AMontana State61-82
27/02/26AMontana73-81
22/02/26HIdaho80-86
20/02/26HEast. Washington94-102
15/02/26ANorthern Arizona74-79
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIdaho83-74
12/11/26AGrand Canyon71-99
06/11/26AArizona84-104
03/11/26HCal St. San Marcos78-62
12/03/26AUC San Diego69-72
08/03/26HCSU Bakersfield108-76
06/03/26AUC Irvine85-107
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.373.077.0
Allowed / game77.374.583.0
Point differential-3.0-1.5-6.0
Avg total151.7147.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.078.079.3
Allowed / game84.862.092.3
Point differential-5.8+16.0-13.0
Avg total163.8140.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Idaho42250%86.571.5+15.0
2 Montana42250%78.065.2+12.8
3 Northern Colorado42250%82.069.2+12.8
4 Portland State42250%81.573.2+8.2
5 Sacramento State31233%74.377.3-3.0
6 Montana State31233%76.080.0-4.0
7 East. Washington41325%80.583.5-3.0
8 Weber State41325%74.586.2-11.8
9 Northern Arizona4040%69.587.8-18.2
10 Idaho State3030%67.392.0-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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