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Saga vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 72-71 (OT)
16-12 17-23 12-13 19-16 8-7
Position#15
Record0-3
FormLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game84.3
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Hiroshima D.
27 Sep 2026
SAGA61
HIRO89
25 Sep 2026
SAGA87
HIRO100
15 Dec 2024
SAGA74
HIRO79
14 Dec 2024
SAGA91
HIRO95
06 Mar 2024
SAGA66
HIRO85
15 Oct 2023
SAGA72
HIRO71
14 Oct 2023
SAGA69
HIRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
51avg 54
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
no box
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
57avg 54
H14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
17-26
16-17
14-19
19-18
21-17
16-19
15-17
15-28
19-29
24-19
11-17
154.7Avg total
70.3Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.384.3154.7-14.00%
Season at home (3)70.384.3154.7-14.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (3)70.384.3154.7-14.00%
Last 5 (3)70.384.3154.7-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)69.093.0162.0-24.00%
vs Similar (2)71.080.0151.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Shimane
#3
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A29/04
B League
Shimane
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
no box
A30/04
B League
Ryukyu
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
H06/05
B League
Ryukyu
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H07/05
B League
Chiba
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A13/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
69-98
69
98
-29
no box
A14/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A15/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
65-74
65
74
-9
46avg 64
A07/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
63-81
63
81
-18
55avg 64
A08/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
93-69
93
69
+24
91avg 64
A14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
25-7
17-18
19-27
5-15
23-22
21-27
16-23
19-16
13-20
20-27
19-15
26-20
20-19
14-21
13-10
25-19
13-18
12-16
22-17
16-33
16-21
20-25
17-19
15-21
15-20
29-24
32-31
14-18
16-26
11-24
24-6
17-28
17-17
11-11
18-25
28-15
29-19
19-24
17-11
154.6Avg total
74.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.774.7148.3-1.033%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)73.774.7148.3-1.033%
Last 10 (10)74.979.7154.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)76.283.6159.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.388.0165.3-10.733%
vs Similar (11)80.183.7163.8-3.627%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.078.8164.8+7.275%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
SagaHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H14/10
B League
81.0Avg total
35.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)35.745.381.0-9.733%-
Last 30 at home (3)35.745.381.0-9.733%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (3)35.745.381.0-9.733%-
Last 5 (3)35.745.381.0-9.733%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.057.091.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (2)36.539.576.0-3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A29/04
B League
Shimane
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A30/04
B League
Ryukyu
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H06/05
B League
Ryukyu
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/05
B League
Chiba
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A13/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A14/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A15/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A07/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A08/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A14/10
B League
77.4Avg total
37.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.079.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.437.181.5+7.369%-
Last 30 away (17)38.438.777.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.680.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.344.077.3-10.733%-
vs Similar (11)40.238.478.5+1.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.036.679.6+6.469%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.0
44.4%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.0
22.2%
33.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
72.0%12.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.014.3
49.4%
50.9%28.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.710.0
28.0%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.6%
72.0%13.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLL
Hiroshima D.
WLLLLWWLLW
#15
League position
#6
-24.9
Net rating
-4.2
89.0
Offensive rating
99.3
113.9
Defensive rating
103.5
40.0%
Effective FG%
45.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
22.2%
3-point %
28.0%
54.2%
Assist %
54.8%
0%
Form (last 3/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 99.3Defence113.9 · 103.5Shooting40.0% · 45.4%3-point %22.2% · 28.0%Ball care16.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds26.7% · 35.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 3/10)0% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
1
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HHiroshima D.69-93
07/10/23HRyukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23HRyukyu63-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ASaga93-69
08/10/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles63-81
07/10/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles65-74
15/05/23AChiba91-96
14/05/23AChiba69-98
13/05/23AChiba72-70
07/05/23HRyukyu73-70
06/05/23HRyukyu71-78
30/04/23AShimane65-87
29/04/23AShimane87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game70.370.3-
Allowed / game84.384.3-
Point differential-14.0-14.0-
Avg total154.7154.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game73.7-73.7
Allowed / game74.7-74.7
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total148.3-148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark330100%83.766.3+17.3
2 Osaka330100%87.375.0+12.3
3 Nagoya Fighting Eagles330100%78.768.3+10.3
4 Nagasaki440100%92.583.8+8.8
5 Ryukyu330100%84.376.0+8.3
6 Diamond Dolphins330100%85.079.7+5.3
7 NeoPhoenix32167%81.776.3+5.3
8 Yokohama32167%83.080.7+2.3
9 Utsunomiya Brex32167%72.370.3+2.0
10 Shimane32167%81.079.3+1.7
11 Brave Thunders32167%82.080.7+1.3
12 Shinshu32167%86.086.3-0.3
13 Chiba31233%88.387.7+0.7
14 SeaHorses Mikawa31233%78.779.0-0.3
15 Hiroshima D.31233%73.774.7-1.0
16 Akita31233%75.377.0-1.7
17 Hokkaido31233%77.779.7-2.0
18 Gunma31233%78.782.7-4.0
19 Ibaraki Robots3030%79.785.3-5.7
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya3030%76.782.7-6.0
21 Kyoto3030%70.782.0-11.3
22 Toyama4040%79.292.2-13.0
23 Saga3030%70.384.3-14.0
24 Sendai3030%71.386.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Saga16171219872
Hiroshima D.12231316771
← all games of the day
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