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Saga vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 66-85
17-19 16-29 16-17 17-20
Position#15
Record21-20
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#6
Record21-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game74.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Hiroshima D.
27 Sep 2026
SAGA61
HIRO89
25 Sep 2026
SAGA87
HIRO100
15 Dec 2024
SAGA74
HIRO79
14 Dec 2024
SAGA91
HIRO95
06 Mar 2024
SAGA66
HIRO85
15 Oct 2023
SAGA72
HIRO71
14 Oct 2023
SAGA69
HIRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 67
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 67
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
58-96
58
96
-38
40avg 67
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 67
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 67
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 67
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 67
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 67
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
76avg 67
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 67
A03/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
12-23
18-24
19-13
9-36
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
24-29
20-24
20-19
8-22
24-30
24-18
13-14
12-18
27-8
13-13
20-14
21-17
19-16
19-25
27-21
22-10
148.3Avg total
71.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)75.274.7149.9+0.551%
Season at home (22)74.076.5150.5-2.645%
Season away (19)76.772.6149.3+4.158%
Last 10 (10)71.476.9148.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)77.471.2148.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.688.6159.1-18.00%
vs Similar (11)73.779.4153.1-5.636%
vs Weaker (12)82.963.9146.8+19.0100%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
89-53
89
53
+36
85avg 72
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
95-74
95
74
+21
94avg 72
A28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
74-85
74
85
-11
62avg 72
H31/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
69-61
69
61
+8
64avg 72
A03/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 72
A04/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
50avg 72
H07/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
79-68
79
68
+11
75avg 72
A10/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
96-74
96
74
+22
95avg 72
A11/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
no box
H02/03
B League
Chiba
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 72
H03/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
15-12
22-12
25-13
25-17
17-23
29-17
24-17
23-26
21-23
12-21
18-15
21-16
18-13
12-14
18-18
16-16
23-24
31-17
17-33
20-19
6-21
17-22
21-16
15-14
23-18
14-20
27-16
28-22
20-18
24-15
24-19
17-10
19-28
16-22
19-11
20-16
30-21
17-26
13-25
156.8Avg total
81.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)78.774.3153.0+4.451%
Season at home (19)77.675.6153.2+2.047%
Season away (22)79.773.2152.9+6.555%
Last 10 (10)81.275.6156.8+5.650%
Last 5 (5)79.678.6158.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.884.0161.8-6.225%
vs Similar (8)71.479.2150.6-7.90%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.269.9152.1+12.383%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
SagaHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/03
B League
76.6Avg total
38.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.7+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.039.779.7+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.936.777.7+4.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.376.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.680.8+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.046.682.6-10.614%-
vs Similar (11)40.138.878.9+1.336%-
vs Weaker (12)43.432.876.2+10.683%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H31/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H07/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H02/03
B League
Chiba
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H03/03
B League
77.7Avg total
40.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.377.2+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.879.3+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.334.875.1+5.573%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.377.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.477.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.045.286.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (8)37.237.274.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.433.976.3+8.683%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.4
52.3%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.99.8
61.6%
72.0%9.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.9
52.9%
50.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
72.0%13.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWLLWLLLLL
Hiroshima D.
LLWWLLWLWW
#15
League position
#6
-7.6
Net rating
+9.2
99.6
Offensive rating
113.0
107.2
Defensive rating
103.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
34.7%
54.9%
Assist %
61.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 113.0Defence107.2 · 103.8Shooting50.6% · 52.6%3-point %32.1% · 34.7%Ball care17.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds21.9% · 31.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
2
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AHokkaido87-72
02/03/24AHokkaido81-52
11/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-80
10/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
04/02/24HGunma69-79
03/02/24HGunma68-79
31/01/24HRyukyu58-96
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HChiba80-88
02/03/24HChiba79-85 OT
11/02/24AShinshu96-74
10/02/24AShinshu79-68
07/02/24HDiamond Dolphins64-78
04/02/24ASendai87-90
03/02/24ASendai69-61
31/01/24HNagasaki74-85
28/01/24AIbaraki Robots95-74
27/01/24AIbaraki Robots89-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW51%
HomeLLLLL45%
AwayLLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412219
Win %51%45%58%
Points / game75.274.076.7
Allowed / game74.776.572.6
Point differential+0.5-2.6+4.1
Avg total149.9150.5149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%18%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL51%
HomeWLLLL47%
AwayWWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %51%47%55%
Points / game78.777.679.7
Allowed / game74.375.673.2
Point differential+4.4+2.0+6.5
Avg total153.0153.2152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%37%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)50% (2)0% (5)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4134783%90.278.5+11.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex4134783%79.168.1+11.0
3 Alvark4133880%81.969.1+12.8
4 Ryukyu41291271%81.677.0+4.6
5 Diamond Dolphins41281368%82.378.1+4.2
6 Chiba41271466%85.781.7+4.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane41231856%83.378.7+4.7
9 Gunma41231856%79.080.2-1.2
10 Brave Thunders41221954%80.377.3+3.0
11 Hiroshima D.41212051%78.774.3+4.4
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya41212051%75.574.6+1.0
13 Saga41212051%75.274.7+0.5
14 Akita41212051%74.074.5-0.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41202149%73.574.8-1.3
16 Sendai41182344%78.979.7-0.8
17 Yokohama41182344%76.982.0-5.1
18 Nagasaki41162539%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Kyoto41132832%77.684.3-6.7
21 Hokkaido41122929%74.580.6-6.1
22 Ibaraki Robots4173417%73.785.1-11.4
23 Shinshu4163515%70.583.8-13.2
24 Toyama4143710%74.085.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1716161766
Hiroshima D.1929172085
← all games of the day
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