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Saga vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 74-63
21-14 23-21 16-13 14-15
Position#15
Record17-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.4
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#24
Record4-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game85.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Toyama
04 Dec 2026
SAGA v TOYA
upcoming
21 Jan 2024
SAGA74
TOYA63
20 Jan 2024
SAGA81
TOYA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
77-108
77
108
-31
63avg 69
A17/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 69
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
87-54
87
54
+33
90avg 69
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
102-63
102
63
+39
103avg 69
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 69
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 69
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 69
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 69
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 69
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 69
H20/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
21-28
15-23
13-23
18-24
21-14
17-22
24-17
23-16
22-22
27-8
15-8
26-13
30-18
22-16
24-16
14-18
13-18
15-13
26-25
22-24
14-21
8-32
17-17
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
152.4Avg total
79.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.574.4150.9+2.257%
Season at home (16)75.874.6150.4+1.256%
Season away (14)77.474.1151.5+3.257%
Last 10 (10)79.073.4152.4+5.670%
Last 5 (5)75.271.6146.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.989.3161.1-17.414%
vs Similar (14)73.972.1146.0+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.366.2150.6+18.1100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
53-72
53
72
-19
46avg 67
A17/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
89avg 67
A20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
90-57
90
57
+33
91avg 67
H23/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
68-82
68
82
-14
59avg 67
H24/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
65-87
65
87
-22
62avg 67
A30/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 67
A31/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
95-100
95
100
-5
87avg 67
H06/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
70-68
70
68
+2
58avg 67
H07/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 67
A17/01
B League
Saga
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 67
A20/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-13
12-20
8-20
21-11
22-22
20-19
24-19
26-10
27-19
23-8
14-20
12-19
26-26
16-20
14-17
15-24
22-26
16-19
12-18
17-19
25-19
13-17
26-33
17-29
20-19
24-29
34-23
18-17
18-20
19-14
15-17
15-29
31-26
22-20
15-20
21-29
19-15
16-23
16-14
156.5Avg total
76.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.085.3159.2-11.313%
Season at home (13)74.486.5160.9-12.215%
Season away (17)73.684.3157.9-10.612%
Last 10 (10)76.480.1156.5-3.730%
Last 5 (5)80.286.4166.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.685.3158.9-11.714%
vs Similar (2)79.084.5163.5-5.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
SagaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A17/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
80.6Avg total
42.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.877.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.338.676.9-0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)40.636.977.6+3.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.580.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.048.084.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)38.335.173.4+3.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.834.278.0+9.689%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H23/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A30/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H06/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/01
B League
Saga
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/01
B League
81.6Avg total
40.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.880.6-4.923%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.242.881.0-4.715%-
Last 30 away (17)37.642.780.3-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.181.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.484.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.042.980.9-4.925%-
vs Similar (2)35.540.576.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.1
53.6%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.6
39.8%
33.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.710.4
62.3%
72.0%10.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.6
48.4%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.6
36.0%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
72.0%13.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWWWLLWWWL
Toyama
LLWLLLLWWL
#15
League position
#24
+8.5
Net rating
-5.2
107.8
Offensive rating
101.0
99.3
Defensive rating
106.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
50.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.8%
3-point %
36.0%
65.5%
Assist %
56.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 101.0Defence99.3 · 106.2Shooting56.3% · 50.3%3-point %39.8% · 36.0%Ball care16.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds20.4% · 25.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
0
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Saga v Toyama81-72
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67
30/12/23HAlvark61-94
29/12/23HAlvark68-74
24/12/23HYokohama102-63
23/12/23HYokohama87-54
20/12/23HShimane80-77
17/12/23ANeoPhoenix77-108
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ASaga72-81
17/01/24ANeoPhoenix83-95
07/01/24HYokohama70-68
06/01/24HYokohama95-100
31/12/23AHokkaido81-88
30/12/23AHokkaido65-87
24/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya68-82
23/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya90-57
20/12/23ABrave Thunders87-71
17/12/23ASeaHorses Mikawa53-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %57%56%57%
Points / game76.575.877.4
Allowed / game74.474.674.1
Point differential+2.2+1.2+3.2
Avg total150.9150.4151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%19%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Toyama
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL13%
HomeLWLLW15%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %13%15%12%
Points / game74.074.473.6
Allowed / game85.386.584.3
Point differential-11.3-12.2-10.6
Avg total159.2160.9157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3026487%82.266.4+15.8
2 NeoPhoenix3026487%90.277.9+12.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex3023777%78.268.5+9.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa3021970%82.675.6+7.0
5 Ryukyu3021970%79.675.9+3.7
6 Shimane31191261%84.377.6+6.6
7 Chiba30171357%85.283.0+2.2
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya30171357%78.075.8+2.2
9 Saga30171357%76.574.4+2.2
10 Brave Thunders30171357%79.877.7+2.1
11 Diamond Dolphins30171357%80.778.9+1.7
12 Hiroshima D.30151550%77.673.8+3.8
13 Akita30151550%72.974.0-1.1
14 Nagasaki30141647%81.882.6-0.9
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles30141647%71.774.5-2.8
16 Sendai30131743%79.380.4-1.1
17 Osaka30131743%77.581.9-4.4
18 Gunma30131743%76.480.9-4.5
19 Yokohama30131743%75.981.6-5.7
20 Hokkaido3092130%74.080.4-6.5
21 Kyoto3092130%77.083.8-6.8
22 Shinshu3052517%71.984.5-12.6
23 Toyama3042613%74.085.3-11.3
24 Ibaraki Robots3132810%74.586.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2123161474
Toyama1421131563
← all games of the day
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