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Saga vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 04:55
Final 81-72
29-21 15-19 23-16 14-16
Position#15
Record16-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.4
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#24
Record4-25
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game85.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Toyama
04 Dec 2026
SAGA v TOYA
upcoming
21 Jan 2024
SAGA74
TOYA63
20 Jan 2024
SAGA81
TOYA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
83avg 68
A16/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
77-108
77
108
-31
63avg 68
A17/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 68
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
87-54
87
54
+33
90avg 68
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
102-63
102
63
+39
103avg 68
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 68
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 68
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 68
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 68
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 68
A17/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
27-27
17-23
30-25
28-34
21-28
15-23
13-23
18-24
21-14
17-22
24-17
23-16
22-22
27-8
15-8
26-13
30-18
22-16
24-16
14-18
13-18
15-13
26-25
22-24
14-21
8-32
17-17
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
157.1Avg total
80.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.474.4150.8+1.955%
Season at home (15)75.574.7150.2+0.753%
Season away (14)77.474.1151.5+3.257%
Last 10 (10)80.476.7157.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)72.672.0144.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.989.3161.1-17.414%
vs Similar (14)73.972.1146.0+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.865.5150.2+19.2100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
77-90
77
90
-13
75avg 68
A16/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
53-72
53
72
-19
46avg 68
A17/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
89avg 68
A20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
90-57
90
57
+33
91avg 68
H23/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
68-82
68
82
-14
59avg 68
H24/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
65-87
65
87
-22
62avg 68
A30/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 68
A31/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
95-100
95
100
-5
87avg 68
H06/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
70-68
70
68
+2
58avg 68
H07/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 68
A17/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
18-24
18-22
20-18
15-19
18-13
12-20
8-20
21-11
22-22
20-19
24-19
26-10
27-19
23-8
14-20
12-19
26-26
16-20
14-17
15-24
22-26
16-19
12-18
17-19
25-19
13-17
26-33
17-29
20-19
24-29
34-23
18-17
18-20
19-14
15-17
15-29
31-26
22-20
15-20
157.9Avg total
76.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.085.4159.4-11.414%
Season at home (13)74.486.5160.9-12.215%
Season away (16)73.884.5158.2-10.812%
Last 10 (10)76.981.0157.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)78.887.6166.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)74.085.3159.4-11.318%
vs Similar (2)79.084.5163.5-5.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
SagaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A16/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A17/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
82.7Avg total
42.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.237.877.0+1.555%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.576.5-0.653%-
Last 30 away (14)40.636.977.6+3.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.282.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.272.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.048.084.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)38.335.173.4+3.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.833.577.2+10.288%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H23/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A30/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H06/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/01
B League
82.1Avg total
40.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.580.3-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.242.881.0-4.715%-
Last 30 away (17)37.542.379.8-4.835%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.782.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.685.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.942.780.6-4.829%-
vs Similar (2)35.540.576.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.7
53.1%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.8
40.4%
33.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.29.8
60.5%
72.0%9.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.6
48.3%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.8
37.5%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.613.3
75.6%
72.0%13.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWWLLWWWLL
Toyama
LWLLLLWWLL
#15
League position
#24
+5.3
Net rating
-5.8
109.1
Offensive rating
101.7
103.7
Defensive rating
107.5
56.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.4%
3-point %
37.5%
62.7%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 101.7Defence103.7 · 107.5Shooting56.4% · 51.0%3-point %40.4% · 37.5%Ball care15.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds20.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
0
Toyama wins
No previous meetings.
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67
30/12/23HAlvark61-94
29/12/23HAlvark68-74
24/12/23HYokohama102-63
23/12/23HYokohama87-54
20/12/23HShimane80-77
17/12/23ANeoPhoenix77-108
16/12/23ANeoPhoenix95-105
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24ANeoPhoenix83-95
07/01/24HYokohama70-68
06/01/24HYokohama95-100
31/12/23AHokkaido81-88
30/12/23AHokkaido65-87
24/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya68-82
23/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya90-57
20/12/23ABrave Thunders87-71
17/12/23ASeaHorses Mikawa53-72
16/12/23ASeaHorses Mikawa77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWWLL53%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%53%57%
Points / game76.475.577.4
Allowed / game74.474.774.1
Point differential+1.9+0.7+3.2
Avg total150.8150.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%20%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Toyama
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLWLLW15%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %14%15%12%
Points / game74.074.473.8
Allowed / game85.486.584.5
Point differential-11.4-12.2-10.8
Avg total159.4160.9158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2925486%82.066.7+15.3
2 NeoPhoenix2925486%90.678.3+12.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex2923679%78.768.5+10.2
4 SeaHorses Mikawa2920969%82.375.3+7.0
5 Ryukyu2920969%80.076.2+3.8
6 Shimane30191163%84.277.0+7.3
7 Brave Thunders29171259%79.977.5+2.4
8 Diamond Dolphins29171259%80.578.5+2.0
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya29161355%78.276.1+2.1
10 Saga29161355%76.474.4+1.9
11 Chiba29161355%84.883.1+1.7
12 Hiroshima D.29151452%78.073.9+4.2
13 Nagasaki29141548%82.182.8-0.7
14 Akita29141548%72.774.1-1.3
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles29141548%71.974.4-2.4
16 Yokohama29131645%75.480.9-5.5
17 Sendai29121741%79.180.5-1.4
18 Osaka29121741%76.881.7-4.9
19 Gunma29121741%76.181.4-5.3
20 Hokkaido2992031%73.879.8-6.0
21 Kyoto2992031%77.383.8-6.4
22 Shinshu2952417%72.484.4-12.0
23 Toyama2942514%74.085.4-11.4
24 Ibaraki Robots302287%73.886.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2915231481
Toyama2119161672
← all games of the day
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