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Osaka vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 69-91
11-25 19-22 19-31 20-13
Position#18
Record12-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record15-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game74.6
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium (Osaka)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osaka v Saga
24 Mar 2027
OSAK v SAGA
upcoming
18 Dec 2024
OSAK77
SAGA68
17 Jan 2024
OSAK69
SAGA91
03 Dec 2023
OSAK45
SAGA79
02 Dec 2023
OSAK79
SAGA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 70
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 70
H16/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
54avg 70
H17/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
56-80
56
80
-24
54avg 70
A20/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
97-95
97
95
+2
102avg 70
H23/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 70
H24/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
82-111
82
111
-29
77avg 70
A30/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
83avg 70
A31/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
78avg 70
A06/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
45avg 70
A07/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
17-18
10-18
18-14
14-21
17-19
19-20
15-18
18-17
21-21
10-7
16-18
18-16
9-25
17-19
12-20
26-26
19-20
26-18
26-31
22-23
24-18
23-12
21-19
22-26
16-41
23-26
21-18
21-22
18-29
27-17
17-21
27-24
27-30
14-23
14-21
18-14
9-29
14-23
12-15
158.2Avg total
73.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.081.4158.4-4.343%
Season at home (15)79.377.9157.2+1.360%
Season away (13)74.585.3159.8-10.823%
Last 10 (10)73.884.4158.2-10.630%
Last 5 (5)78.090.2168.2-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.383.9155.2-12.612%
vs Similar (9)81.177.3158.4+3.878%
vs Weaker (4)93.079.5172.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 68
H10/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
83avg 68
A16/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
77-108
77
108
-31
63avg 68
A17/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 68
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
87-54
87
54
+33
90avg 68
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
102-63
102
63
+39
103avg 68
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 68
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 68
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 68
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 68
A07/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-14
16-22
25-10
21-30
27-27
17-23
30-25
28-34
21-28
15-23
13-23
18-24
21-14
17-22
24-17
23-16
22-22
27-8
15-8
26-13
30-18
22-16
24-16
14-18
13-18
15-13
26-25
22-24
14-21
8-32
17-17
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
156.0Avg total
79.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.974.6150.5+1.254%
Season at home (15)75.574.7150.2+0.753%
Season away (13)76.374.5150.8+1.854%
Last 10 (10)79.476.6156.0+2.860%
Last 5 (5)74.870.8145.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.989.3161.1-17.414%
vs Similar (14)73.972.1146.0+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.965.0148.9+18.9100%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
OsakaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H16/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A20/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H24/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
38-67
38
67
-29
A30/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A31/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A06/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A07/01
B League
84.9Avg total
38.3Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.880.5-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.138.978.0+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)38.145.783.8-7.68%-
Last 10 (10)38.346.684.9-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.851.292.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.044.380.3-8.318%-
vs Similar (9)40.038.078.0+2.044%-
vs Weaker (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H10/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A16/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A17/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
82.6Avg total
41.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.038.077.0+0.954%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.576.5-0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)40.237.577.6+2.754%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.882.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.474.8+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.048.084.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)38.335.173.4+3.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.334.077.3+9.386%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.0
56.1%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.2
31.8%
33.5%18.6
🏀 Free throws15.810.4
65.8%
72.0%10.4
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.7
52.2%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.3
38.9%
33.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.910.3
60.9%
72.0%10.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LLLLWWLWLL
Saga
WWLLWWWLLW
#18
League position
#15
-15.4
Net rating
+4.4
103.8
Offensive rating
108.3
119.2
Defensive rating
103.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.8%
3-point %
38.9%
65.2%
Assist %
60.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 108.3Defence119.2 · 103.9Shooting53.3% · 54.8%3-point %31.8% · 38.9%Ball care20.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 22.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Osaka   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osaka wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Osaka v Saga45-79
02/12/23Osaka v Saga79-84
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex53-81
06/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex82-98
31/12/23AShimane83-89
30/12/23AShimane82-111
24/12/23HNagasaki90-72
23/12/23HNagasaki97-95
20/12/23AHiroshima D.56-80
17/12/23HAkita65-63
16/12/23HAkita65-78
10/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya65-77
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67
30/12/23HAlvark61-94
29/12/23HAlvark68-74
24/12/23HYokohama102-63
23/12/23HYokohama87-54
20/12/23HShimane80-77
17/12/23ANeoPhoenix77-108
16/12/23ANeoPhoenix95-105
10/12/23HIbaraki Robots81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %43%60%23%
Points / game77.079.374.5
Allowed / game81.477.985.3
Point differential-4.3+1.3-10.8
Avg total158.4157.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeWWWLL53%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%53%54%
Points / game75.975.576.3
Allowed / game74.674.774.5
Point differential+1.2+0.7+1.8
Avg total150.5150.2150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2824486%81.666.5+15.1
2 NeoPhoenix2824486%90.478.1+12.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex2822679%78.168.0+10.1
4 Ryukyu2820871%80.276.2+4.0
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2819968%82.775.9+6.8
6 Shimane28171161%84.578.1+6.4
7 Brave Thunders28171161%80.077.5+2.5
8 Diamond Dolphins28161257%80.678.6+2.0
9 Hiroshima D.28151354%78.573.8+4.6
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya28151354%78.276.1+2.1
11 Saga28151354%75.974.6+1.2
12 Chiba28151354%84.183.5+0.6
13 Akita28141450%72.773.0-0.2
14 Nagasaki28141450%82.482.9-0.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles28141450%72.474.5-2.1
16 Sendai28121643%79.480.1-0.8
17 Osaka28121643%77.081.4-4.3
18 Gunma28121643%75.981.0-5.1
19 Yokohama28121643%75.281.3-6.0
20 Hokkaido2882029%73.480.3-6.9
21 Kyoto2882029%77.284.1-6.9
22 Shinshu2852318%72.484.5-12.1
23 Toyama2842414%73.785.1-11.4
24 Ibaraki Robots282267%74.786.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka1119192069
Saga2522311391
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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