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NeoPhoenix vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 108-77
34-28 28-21 23-15 23-13
Position#3
Record17-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#15
Record10-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game74.8
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium (Toyohashi)
Other2023-24
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Saga
13 Feb 2027
NEOP v SAGA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
NEOP73
SAGA85
17 Dec 2023
NEOP108
SAGA77
16 Dec 2023
NEOP105
SAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
52avg 82
A05/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
87-64
87
64
+23
81avg 82
H11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
96-62
96
62
+34
94avg 82
H12/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 82
A02/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
100-79
100
79
+21
98avg 82
A03/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
90-104
90
104
-14
81avg 82
H06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
72avg 82
A09/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 82
A10/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
105-95
105
95
+10
111avg 82
H16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
30-18
14-21
14-18
23-24
19-15
25-20
18-26
17-15
21-13
28-17
21-19
20-17
23-15
29-21
24-9
19-15
26-25
22-15
20-18
20-19
21-20
28-22
31-18
27-26
28-31
19-29
16-18
18-26
26-22
22-16
18-13
25-26
27-18
25-19
26-20
30-21
27-27
23-17
25-30
172.4Avg total
91.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.079.0169.1+11.085%
Season at home (10)93.880.9174.7+12.990%
Season away (10)86.277.2163.4+9.080%
Last 10 (10)91.980.5172.4+11.480%
Last 5 (5)96.487.6184.0+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.084.8170.8+1.250%
vs Similar (4)80.880.2161.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.381.9171.2+7.477%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 66
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
61-80
61
80
-19
42avg 66
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 66
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
50avg 66
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 66
A02/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
79-45
79
45
+34
78avg 66
A03/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
81-91
81
91
-10
78avg 66
H06/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
74-72
74
72
+2
68avg 66
H09/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 66
H10/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
83avg 66
A16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
17-15
21-23
17-12
13-26
12-18
18-19
18-17
29-16
28-11
21-24
17-25
16-25
21-14
21-17
14-22
22-21
19-18
25-17
18-23
21-9
20-10
25-12
13-14
17-24
21-20
16-20
27-27
19-20
20-19
13-19
22-14
18-22
22-14
16-22
25-10
21-30
27-27
17-23
30-25
155.0Avg total
79.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.374.8150.1+0.550%
Season at home (10)73.475.9149.3-2.550%
Season away (10)77.273.8151.0+3.450%
Last 10 (10)79.275.8155.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)82.076.2158.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.287.2161.5-13.025%
vs Similar (11)73.773.6147.4+0.136%
vs Weaker (5)79.667.6147.2+12.0100%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
NeoPhoenixSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H12/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A02/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A03/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A09/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A10/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H16/12
B League
87.3Avg total
46.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.384.5+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.884.9+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)42.541.884.2+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)46.241.187.3+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.847.297.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.039.276.2-2.225%-
vs Similar (4)38.239.878.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.342.087.2+3.368%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A03/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H10/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A16/12
B League
77.1Avg total
39.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.037.575.5+0.555%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.639.075.6-2.450%-
Last 30 away (10)39.536.075.5+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.377.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.080.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.048.283.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (11)38.135.373.4+2.864%-
vs Weaker (5)40.433.874.2+6.680%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.0
59.7%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.3
34.2%
33.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
72.0%14.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.6
48.1%
50.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.9
37.3%
33.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
72.0%12.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
WWWLWWWWWL
Saga
LWWLWWLWLW
#3
League position
#15
+16.9
Net rating
+4.4
120.0
Offensive rating
107.9
103.2
Defensive rating
103.5
55.6%
Effective FG%
51.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.2%
3-point %
37.3%
60.4%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 107.9Defence103.2 · 103.5Shooting55.6% · 51.7%3-point %34.2% · 37.3%Ball care14.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds33.1% · 27.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NeoPhoenix wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga105-95
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HSaga105-95
10/12/23AHiroshima D.103-83
09/12/23AHiroshima D.84-77
06/12/23HBrave Thunders90-104
03/12/23AHokkaido100-79
02/12/23AHokkaido87-73
12/11/23HIbaraki Robots96-62
11/11/23HIbaraki Robots87-64
08/11/23HYokohama94-93 OT
05/11/23AUtsunomiya Brex73-75
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ANeoPhoenix95-105
10/12/23HIbaraki Robots81-68
09/12/23HIbaraki Robots74-72
06/12/23HNagasaki81-91
03/12/23AOsaka79-45
02/12/23AOsaka84-79
12/11/23AChiba72-78
11/11/23AChiba95-76
08/11/23AHiroshima D.61-80
05/11/23HAkita70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%90%80%
Points / game90.093.886.2
Allowed / game79.080.977.2
Point differential+10.9+12.9+9.0
Avg total169.1174.7163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.373.477.2
Allowed / game74.875.973.8
Point differential+0.5-2.5+3.4
Avg total150.2149.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%10%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2118386%81.065.4+15.6
2 NeoPhoenix2017385%90.079.0+10.9
3 Ryukyu2016480%81.777.5+4.2
4 Utsunomiya Brex2116576%78.068.9+9.1
5 Brave Thunders2114767%80.976.0+4.9
6 Diamond Dolphins2114767%82.579.0+3.6
7 Shimane2113862%84.177.4+6.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa2012860%82.877.5+5.2
9 Nagasaki2112957%84.183.4+0.8
10 Chiba2011955%83.583.8-0.2
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2011955%74.274.5-0.3
12 Hiroshima D.20101050%79.075.5+3.5
13 Saga20101050%75.374.8+0.5
14 Osaka21101148%76.978.7-1.8
15 Sendai2091145%81.680.6+1.0
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya2091145%76.576.5-0.1
17 Gunma2091145%75.780.0-4.2
18 Akita2191243%71.275.3-4.1
19 Yokohama2191243%76.580.9-4.4
20 Kyoto2161529%75.983.7-7.8
21 Hokkaido2151624%73.781.2-7.6
22 Shinshu2141719%75.384.5-9.2
23 Ibaraki Robots201195%74.285.6-11.4
24 Toyama201195%72.887.8-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix34282323108
Saga2821151377
← all games of the day
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