PythiaBasketballBETA
Korisliiga· Salohalli
Salon Vilpas will host Karhu Basket on 20 November 2026 in the Korisliiga, and the Pythia model names the home side as the clear favourite, assigning them an 81% chance of victory largely because their season record of 5-5 balances strong offensive output at 87.2 points per game with a defensively solid 81.8 allowed, and they have posted a 2-2 home record with 89.8 points scored and 86.5 conceded; their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 108-89 home win over UU-Korihait and a 90-98 away loss to Kouvot. Karhu, meanwhile, sits 8th with a 5-6 record, averaging 85.7 points and allowing 83.5, but their road form is weaker at 1-4 with 86.6 points scored and 93.6 allowed, though they have won three of their last five, notably a 119-78 home victory over Honka. The teams have split ten meetings, with the most recent on 7 March 2026 seeing Salon Vilpas win 94-71. Pythia projects a 87-77 scoreline for the game, a total of 163.4 points, and a 4% chance of overtime, while the home side is expected to cover the spread with an 81% probability. The final game-day fixture will hinge on Salon Vilpas' ability to maintain their offensive rhythm against Karhu's recent high-scoring outings.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 87.2 | 81.8 | 169.0 | +5.4 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 89.8 | 86.5 | 176.2 | +3.2 | 50% |
| Season away (6) | 85.5 | 78.7 | 164.2 | +6.8 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.3 | 80.2 | 163.5 | +3.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.2 | 79.0 | 167.2 | +9.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 87.5 | 82.5 | 170.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 79.7 | 91.3 | 171.0 | -11.7 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (24) | 86.2 | 77.8 | 164.0 | +8.5 | 62% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 85.7 | 83.5 | 169.3 | +2.2 | 45% |
| Season at home (6) | 85.0 | 75.2 | 160.2 | +9.8 | 67% |
| Season away (5) | 86.6 | 93.6 | 180.2 | -7.0 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.4 | 82.9 | 169.3 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.2 | 81.2 | 167.4 | +5.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 74.5 | 90.5 | 165.0 | -16.1 | 8% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 88.5 | 81.7 | 170.2 | +6.7 | 73% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 82.5 | 82.3 | 164.8 | +0.2 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.9 | 40.9 | 84.8 | +2.9 | 70% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.4 | 40.7 | 85.1 | +3.7 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.3 | 41.1 | 84.5 | +2.2 | 67% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.4 | 41.5 | 84.9 | +1.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.6 | 40.0 | 86.6 | +6.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 46.5 | 43.5 | 90.0 | +3.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 42.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | -2.0 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (24) | 43.7 | 40.2 | 83.9 | +3.5 | 75% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 44.2 | 85.8 | -2.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.6 | 42.1 | 84.7 | +0.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 46.3 | 86.9 | -5.6 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.7 | 38.1 | 83.8 | +7.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.0 | 39.4 | 87.4 | +8.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 38.7 | 50.0 | 88.7 | -11.3 | 8% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 44.1 | 40.4 | 84.5 | +3.7 | 64% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 43.5 | 38.7 | 82.2 | +4.8 | 67% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.7 | 23.9 | 54.2% | 47.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.0 | 7.5 | 32.9% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 15.7 | 75.8% | 15.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.6 | 18.3 | 54.2% | 36.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.8 | 10.4 | 32.9% | 31.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.8 | 13.6 | 75.8% | 13.6 |
Salon Vilpas
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | Salon Vilpas v Karhu Basket | 94-71 |
| 04/02/26 | Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas | 73-98 |
| 20/12/25 | Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas | 79-74 |
| 18/10/25 | Salon Vilpas v Karhu Basket | 116-75 |
| 19/03/25 | Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas | 85-83 |
| 12/02/25 | Salon Vilpas v Karhu Basket | 80-73 |
| 21/12/24 | Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas | 75-71 |
| 02/11/24 | Salon Vilpas v Karhu Basket | 60-76 |
| 13/04/24 | Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas | 92-89 OT |
| 11/04/24 | Salon Vilpas v Karhu Basket | 97-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Kouvot Kouvola | 90-98 |
| 11/11/26 | H | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 108-89 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Kipina | 86-87 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Antwerp Giants | 77-69 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Lahti Basketball | 80-52 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Helsinki Seagulls | 79-86 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Helsinki Seagulls | 79-64 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Szombathely | 72-85 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Bisons Loimaa | 81-70 |
| 14/10/26 | H | KTP Kotka Basket | 81-102 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Pyrinto Tampere | 77-72 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Helsinki Seagulls | 76-68 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Honka | 119-78 |
| 04/11/26 | A | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 79-87 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kataja | 80-101 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Lahti Basketball | 73-68 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Lahti Basketball | 102-108 OT |
| 17/10/26 | H | Helsinki Seagulls | 91-76 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Kipina | 95-98 OT |
| 06/10/26 | H | Bisons Loimaa | 72-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 50% |
| Home | LWLW | 50% |
| Away | WLWLL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 87.2 | 89.8 | 85.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.8 | 86.5 | 78.7 |
| Point differential | +5.4 | +3.2 | +6.8 |
| Avg total | 169.0 | 176.2 | 164.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 45% |
| Home | LWWWW | 67% |
| Away | WLLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Points / game | 85.7 | 85.0 | 86.6 |
| Allowed / game | 83.5 | 75.2 | 93.6 |
| Point differential | +2.2 | +9.8 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 169.3 | 160.2 | 180.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 18% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kipina | 11 | 9 | 2 | 82% | 95.6 | 89.5 | +6.2 |
| 2 |  KTP Kotka Basket | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 92.2 | 85.8 | +6.4 |
| 3 |  Honka | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 98.7 | 100.4 | -1.6 |
| 4 |  Helsinki Seagulls | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 83.4 | 83.1 | +0.3 |
| 5 |  Pyrinto Tampere | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 85.9 | 85.8 | +0.1 |
| 6 | Salon Vilpas | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 87.2 | 81.8 | +5.4 |
| 7 |  Kataja | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 86.9 | 82.5 | +4.4 |
| 8 | Karhu Basket | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 85.7 | 83.5 | +2.2 |
| 9 |  UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 87.6 | 91.2 | -3.5 |
| 10 |  Lahti Basketball | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 82.4 | 88.7 | -6.4 |
| 11 |  Kouvot Kouvola | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 86.9 | 91.3 | -4.4 |
| 12 |  Bisons Loimaa | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 78.8 | 86.9 | -8.1 |
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