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Karhu Basket vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-83
15-21 26-18 23-22 21-22
Position#2
Record21-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#4
Record18-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.8
FinlandKorisliiga· IKH Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas
30 Dec 2026
KAH v SVI
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAH73
SVI98
20 Dec 2025
KAH79
SVI74
19 Mar 2025
KAH85
SVI83
21 Dec 2024
KAH75
SVI71
13 Apr 2024
KAH92
SVI89
08 Apr 2024
KAH97
SVI92
17 Feb 2024
KAH77
SVI70
16 Dec 2023
KAH89
SVI79
25 Apr 2023
KAH100
SVI88
20 Apr 2023
KAH87
SVI90
14 Apr 2023
KAH80
SVI63
11 Feb 2023
KAH101
SVI60
05 Oct 2022
KAH82
SVI73
11 May 2022
KAH90
SVI67
06 May 2022
KAH82
SVI81
02 May 2022
KAH90
SVI68
16 Mar 2022
KAH76
SVI88
06 Oct 2021
KAH99
SVI85
25 Apr 2021
KAH92
SVI73
21 Apr 2021
KAH83
SVI71
15 Apr 2021
KAH89
SVI96
06 Jan 2021
KAH76
SVI86
14 Mar 2020
KAH v SVI
upcoming
30 Nov 2019
KAH70
SVI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 72
A18/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
89avg 72
A25/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
57avg 72
A28/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
74avg 72
H01/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
98-85
98
85
+13
87avg 72
H08/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
56avg 72
A12/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
87avg 72
H01/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
90-71
90
71
+19
80avg 72
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 72
A08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 72
A14/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
21-15
17-23
15-16
16-30
29-24
22-15
17-15
29-14
14-30
19-25
14-23
23-17
19-17
28-15
15-20
20-23
21-20
24-21
33-21
14-21
17-17
22-18
20-24
28-18
40-20
11-20
16-14
23-15
17-16
27-19
23-21
18-21
19-23
20-20
18-18
29-15
24-13
12-21
20-24
164.2Avg total
85.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.579.6163.2+3.968%
Season at home (15)85.575.6161.1+9.980%
Season away (16)81.783.4165.1-1.856%
Last 10 (10)85.378.9164.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)83.675.6159.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.885.0163.8-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.480.0160.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (18)86.378.8165.1+7.578%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 78
A18/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 78
H25/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
74avg 78
H29/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
101-114
101
114
-13
94avg 78
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
87avg 78
H12/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
84-105
84
105
-21
71avg 78
A28/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 78
A05/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
102-64
102
64
+38
94avg 78
H08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
88-55
88
55
+33
88avg 78
A12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
75avg 78
H15/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
18-20
22-20
11-17
15-25
14-21
20-20
31-12
22-26
19-23
14-19
23-22
25-28
21-31
22-32
33-23
21-14
17-17
18-22
24-20
15-29
24-21
23-31
22-24
21-10
23-15
12-26
26-24
24-15
25-21
32-9
21-19
21-11
28-14
23-17
16-13
22-9
20-26
19-16
25-19
166.2Avg total
85.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.882.8168.6+3.058%
Season at home (16)86.280.2166.4+6.069%
Season away (15)85.585.6171.1-0.147%
Last 10 (10)85.680.6166.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)88.473.8162.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)95.395.3190.7+0.033%
vs Similar ◀ (19)84.583.5168.0+0.953%
vs Weaker (8)85.675.0160.6+10.688%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
Karhu BasketSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A18/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A25/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H08/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A12/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H01/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A14/03
Korisliiga
82.5Avg total
44.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.884.4+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.639.782.3+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)44.641.986.5+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.182.5+6.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.881.6+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.239.879.0-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.239.979.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (18)46.541.487.9+5.156%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H25/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H29/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H12/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A28/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A05/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H15/03
Korisliiga
82.0Avg total
41.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.782.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.982.8-1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)42.539.381.8+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.182.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.278.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.350.097.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.941.282.1-0.247%-
vs Weaker (8)41.136.077.1+5.162%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.5
50.4%
51.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.6
31.0%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.212.3
58.0%
73.9%12.3
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.024.0
54.5%
51.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.1
31.8%
34.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.7
76.2%
73.9%15.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WLWWLWWLWW
Salon Vilpas
WWWWLWLLWL
#2
League position
#4
+7.1
Net rating
+6.6
105.9
Offensive rating
109.3
98.9
Defensive rating
102.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.0%
3-point %
31.8%
55.0%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 109.3Defence98.9 · 102.7Shooting48.7% · 52.3%3-point %31.0% · 31.8%Ball care16.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds37.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Karhu Basket wins
3
Salon Vilpas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25ABisons Loimaa85-73
08/03/25AKataja75-82
05/03/25HHelsinki Seagulls90-71
01/03/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki95-72
12/02/25ASalon Vilpas73-80
08/02/25HBisons Loimaa98-85
01/02/25HKataja85-69
28/01/25AHelsinki Seagulls76-92
25/01/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-99 OT
18/01/25APyrinto Tampere76-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HHelsinki Seagulls86-70
12/03/25ABisons Loimaa88-55
08/03/25HBisons Loimaa102-64
05/03/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki82-75
28/02/25AKataja84-105
12/02/25HKarhu Basket80-73
08/02/25AHelsinki Seagulls101-114
29/01/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki78-90
25/01/25HKataja80-78
18/01/25ABC Nokia75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game83.585.581.7
Allowed / game79.675.683.4
Point differential+3.9+9.9-1.8
Avg total163.2161.1165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %58%69%47%
Points / game85.886.285.5
Allowed / game82.880.285.6
Point differential+3.0+6.0-0.1
Avg total168.6166.4171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls3126584%94.683.2+11.4
2 Karhu Basket31211068%83.579.6+3.9
3 Salon Vilpas31181358%85.882.8+3.0
4 Kataja31181358%88.185.3+2.8
5 Pyrinto Tampere31171455%84.484.5-0.1
6 BC Nokia31151648%84.884.9-0.1
7 Kouvot Kouvola31151648%84.685.3-0.6
8 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki31151648%82.483.5-1.1
9 Bisons Loimaa31141745%79.581.8-2.3
10 Honka31121939%83.287.4-4.2
11 KTP Kotka Basket31102132%85.687.7-2.1
12 Kobrat3152616%77.988.5-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket1526232185
Salon Vilpas2118222283
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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