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Karhu Basket vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-74
25-18 15-22 16-14 23-20
Position#3
Record10-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#1
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game83.5
FinlandKorisliigaRound 15· IKH Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas
30 Dec 2026
KAH v SVI
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAH73
SVI98
20 Dec 2025
KAH79
SVI74
19 Mar 2025
KAH85
SVI83
21 Dec 2024
KAH75
SVI71
13 Apr 2024
KAH92
SVI89
08 Apr 2024
KAH97
SVI92
17 Feb 2024
KAH77
SVI70
16 Dec 2023
KAH89
SVI79
25 Apr 2023
KAH100
SVI88
20 Apr 2023
KAH87
SVI90
14 Apr 2023
KAH80
SVI63
11 Feb 2023
KAH101
SVI60
05 Oct 2022
KAH82
SVI73
11 May 2022
KAH90
SVI67
06 May 2022
KAH82
SVI81
02 May 2022
KAH90
SVI68
16 Mar 2022
KAH76
SVI88
06 Oct 2021
KAH99
SVI85
25 Apr 2021
KAH92
SVI73
21 Apr 2021
KAH83
SVI71
15 Apr 2021
KAH89
SVI96
06 Jan 2021
KAH76
SVI86
14 Mar 2020
KAH v SVI
upcoming
30 Nov 2019
KAH70
SVI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
64avg 75
A22/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 75
H25/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 75
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
68avg 75
H05/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 75
A08/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
106-99
106
99
+7
103avg 75
H15/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 75
A21/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 75
A06/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
79avg 75
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
66avg 75
A16/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
16-15
14-17
20-23
24-16
18-20
22-28
24-17
23-26
23-21
18-18
13-21
24-27
26-26
24-12
21-10
15-15
26-23
21-17
22-22
32-23
25-21
27-24
22-31
23-19
27-15
11-16
23-13
25-16
24-22
13-14
26-20
26-20
15-28
24-15
21-15
18-31
32-23
12-19
17-24
166.6Avg total
86.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.281.0166.2+4.271%
Season at home (6)92.076.7168.7+15.3100%
Season away (8)80.184.2164.4-4.150%
Last 10 (10)86.480.2166.6+6.280%
Last 5 (5)88.681.8170.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.186.3164.4-8.233%
vs Similar (14)86.778.5165.2+8.279%
vs Weaker (6)92.379.8172.2+12.5100%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
105-90
105
90
+15
97avg 77
A21/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
81avg 77
H24/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
88-110
88
110
-22
73avg 77
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 77
H04/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 77
A08/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
76-67
76
67
+9
63avg 77
H15/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
73-63
73
63
+10
67avg 77
A21/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
72avg 77
A05/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
99-103
99
103
-4
89avg 77
H13/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
109-87
109
87
+22
114avg 77
H17/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
25-16
21-29
29-22
29-19
22-24
22-14
16-21
26-27
15-30
19-22
28-31
24-21
18-20
26-22
25-24
13-24
22-21
21-18
27-24
16-13
19-14
25-19
16-21
23-18
10-16
18-13
22-16
18-20
28-17
23-14
14-24
25-26
23-25
21-24
30-28
28-21
18-22
33-26
30-18
174.5Avg total
89.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.883.5177.3+10.379%
Season at home (7)95.982.7178.6+13.186%
Season away (7)91.784.3176.0+7.471%
Last 10 (10)89.884.7174.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)88.079.0167.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.089.4168.4-10.420%
vs Similar (9)81.683.8165.3-2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.980.5174.4+13.481%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
Karhu BasketSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H05/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H15/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A21/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A16/12
Korisliiga
89.5Avg total
46.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.585.4+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.583.4+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.043.487.4+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)46.942.689.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)49.443.693.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.939.779.6+0.244%-
vs Similar (14)43.441.885.2+1.657%-
vs Weaker (6)51.242.093.2+9.267%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A21/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H24/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H04/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A08/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H15/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A05/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H13/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H17/12
Korisliiga
84.9Avg total
43.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.583.1+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.639.883.4+3.871%-
Last 30 away (16)41.741.182.8+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.784.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.846.488.2-4.640%-
vs Similar (9)38.138.876.9-0.722%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.339.684.9+5.775%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.3
51.4%
2.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.2
35.5%
33.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
74.0%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.1
49.7%
2.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.1
31.4%
33.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.217.4
69.0%
74.0%17.4
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LWWWWWWLWW
Salon Vilpas
WLWWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+7.6
Net rating
+6.4
111.3
Offensive rating
113.1
103.8
Defensive rating
106.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
39.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.5%
3-point %
31.4%
55.1%
Assist %
64.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 113.1Defence103.8 · 106.8Shooting52.2% · 48.6%3-point %35.5% · 31.4%Ball care17.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds34.6% · 39.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Karhu Basket wins
4
Salon Vilpas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25AHonka79-97
10/12/25HBisons Loimaa86-78
06/12/25APyrinto Tampere88-72
21/11/25AHelsinki Seagulls84-63
15/11/25HKataja106-99
08/11/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki84-77
05/11/25HKouvot Kouvola95-75
31/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket77-86
25/10/25HLahti Basketball88-81
22/10/25AKobrat77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HKobrat109-87
13/12/25HHonka99-103
05/12/25ABisons Loimaa83-75
21/11/25APyrinto Tampere73-63
15/11/25HHelsinki Seagulls76-67
08/11/25AKataja83-87
04/11/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki93-87
31/10/25AKouvot Kouvola88-110
24/10/25HKTP Kotka Basket89-78
21/10/25ALahti Basketball105-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game85.292.080.1
Allowed / game81.076.784.2
Point differential+4.2+15.3-4.1
Avg total166.2168.7164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game93.895.991.7
Allowed / game83.582.784.3
Point differential+10.3+13.1+7.4
Avg total177.3178.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas1411379%93.883.5+10.3
2 Honka1511473%90.188.4+1.7
3 Karhu Basket1410471%85.281.0+4.2
4 KTP Kotka Basket159660%83.478.2+5.2
5 Helsinki Seagulls148657%83.479.1+4.4
6 Pyrinto Tampere158753%85.182.5+2.6
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki147750%85.984.0+1.9
8 Kataja156940%88.488.7-0.3
9 Lahti Basketball156940%86.588.9-2.3
10 Bisons Loimaa1551033%84.088.0-4.0
11 Kouvot Kouvola1551033%89.797.3-7.5
12 Kobrat1521313%78.993.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket2515162379
Salon Vilpas1822142074
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