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Sam Houston St. vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 82-78
0-0 36-26 0-0 46-52
Position#69
Record18-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#228
Record13-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Jacksonville State
16 Jan 2027
SAM v JACK
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
SAM 82
JACK78
13 Feb 2025
SAM 66
JACK61
09 Mar 2024
SAM 81
JACK73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A15/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-22
0-0
43-40
0-0
34-35
0-0
42-28
0-0
43-39
0-0
50-48
0-0
38-21
0-0
35-37
0-0
38-33
0-0
42-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
49-35
0-0
36-33
0-0
34-33
0-0
38-37
0-0
40-50
0-0
45-42
0-0
38-37
0-0
44-32
0-0
34-38
150.1Avg total
79.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.873.8156.6+9.069%
Season at home (11)85.366.4151.6+18.991%
Season away (15)80.979.3160.2+1.753%
Last 10 (10)79.171.0150.1+8.190%
Last 5 (5)78.473.8152.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.079.5150.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.078.7159.7+2.364%
vs Weaker (15)81.073.7154.7+7.367%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-34
0-0
40-43
0-0
34-27
0-0
30-33
0-0
39-34
0-0
36-24
0-0
24-32
0-0
54-42
0-0
31-39
0-0
36-35
0-0
33-28
0-0
38-38
0-0
37-22
0-0
40-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
31-36
0-0
29-32
0-0
41-47
0-0
20-39
0-0
51-38
139.1Avg total
69.9Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.667.3139.8+5.350%
Season at home (16)72.862.6135.4+10.256%
Season away (10)72.274.7146.9-2.540%
Last 10 (10)69.969.2139.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)70.669.8140.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.770.0133.7-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)70.470.3140.8+0.150%
vs Weaker (7)80.063.9143.9+16.143%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
Sam Houston St.Jacksonville State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H19/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
38.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.934.573.4+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.231.771.9+8.579%-
Last 30 away (16)37.836.974.7+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.671.0+5.890%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.274.6+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.537.074.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.336.874.1+0.555%-
vs Weaker (15)39.733.573.2+6.373%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A19/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
30.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.464.9+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.228.662.8+5.665%-
Last 30 away (13)32.435.267.5-2.823%-
Last 10 (10)30.232.062.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.430.861.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.335.363.7-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)32.131.863.8+0.344%-
vs Weaker (7)37.729.967.6+7.957%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sam Houston St. wins
2
Jacksonville State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.78-70
14/02/26AKennesaw State83-79
07/02/26ALouisiana Tech78-87
05/02/26HUTEP70-66
01/02/26HLouisiana Tech83-67
29/01/26AMissouri State80-71
24/01/26HWestern Kentucky73-58
22/01/26HKennesaw State93-87
17/01/26AFlorida International76-63
15/01/26AJacksonville State77-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ALouisiana Tech71-77
14/02/26HNew Mexico State70-79
12/02/26HUTEP64-69
08/02/26HKennesaw State77-58
06/02/26AWestern Kentucky71-66
31/01/26AMissouri State67-74
29/01/26AFlorida International78-74
24/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.75-58
17/01/26HLouisiana Tech64-60
15/01/26HSam Houston St.62-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %69%91%53%
Points / game82.885.380.9
Allowed / game73.866.479.3
Point differential+9.0+18.9+1.7
Avg total156.6151.6160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game72.672.872.2
Allowed / game67.362.674.7
Point differential+5.3+10.2-2.5
Avg total139.8135.4146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2623388%79.368.5+10.8
2 Sam Houston St.2618869%82.873.8+9.0
3 Kennesaw State26151158%85.377.2+8.1
4 Louisiana Tech26151158%69.564.7+4.7
5 Western Kentucky26151158%77.975.1+2.8
6 New Mexico State25131252%75.971.0+4.9
7 Jacksonville State26131350%72.667.3+5.3
8 Florida International27131448%81.477.8+3.6
9 Middle Tenn. St.27131448%75.372.9+2.5
10 Missouri State27131448%75.373.5+1.7
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2791833%67.672.7-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sam Houston St.03604682
Jacksonville State02605278
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