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Missouri State vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-67
39-31 35-36
Position#223
Record12-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#228
Record11-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Missouri State v Jacksonville State
30 Jan 2027
MISS v JACK
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
MISS74
JACK67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-17
34-26
49-23
30-32
53-41
36-41
37-42
43-48
35-30
44-41
34-41
38-46
36-38
32-30
33-31
51-44
21-31
41-26
33-38
38-42
149.4Avg total
76.4Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.472.5147.9+2.957%
Season at home (12)79.870.1149.8+9.775%
Season away (9)69.675.8145.3-6.233%
Last 10 (10)76.473.0149.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)75.277.8153.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.276.4144.6-8.28%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.273.4144.5-2.245%
vs Weaker (4)66.254.2120.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A20/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A04/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
50-41
38-22
40-45
36-31
31-33
27-27
42-51
31-25
40-39
43-46
39-42
22-34
40-43
34-27
30-33
39-34
36-24
24-32
54-42
143.2Avg total
72.7Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.366.3139.6+7.055%
Season at home (13)73.461.2134.6+12.262%
Season away (7)73.375.7149.0-2.443%
Last 10 (10)72.770.5143.2+2.270%
Last 5 (5)72.271.4143.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.567.2128.8-5.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.269.5138.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (8)80.664.1144.8+16.562%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
Missouri StateJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.968.0+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.131.470.4+7.762%-
Last 30 away (14)30.634.765.3-4.121%-
Last 10 (10)35.833.269.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.867.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.236.869.0-4.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.932.367.2+2.664%-
vs Weaker (4)31.823.855.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A29/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
32.5Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.964.3+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.128.762.8+5.472%-
Last 30 away (12)32.534.266.7-1.725%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.263.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.667.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.234.259.5-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.131.664.7+1.650%-
vs Weaker (8)37.028.565.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
Jacksonville State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HSam Houston St.71-80
24/01/26AUTEP62-57
23/01/26ANew Mexico State84-75
17/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90 OT
15/01/26AWestern Kentucky72-87
10/01/26HFlorida International79-71
08/01/26AKennesaw State80-90
04/01/26HNew Mexico State89-82
03/01/26HUTEP79-55
29/12/25ADelaware61-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AFlorida International78-74
24/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.75-58
17/01/26HLouisiana Tech64-60
15/01/26HSam Houston St.62-77
10/01/26AKennesaw State82-88
08/01/26HFlorida International71-64
04/01/26ALiberty69-78
03/01/26ADelaware67-64
30/12/25HWestern Kentucky78-67
20/12/25AEast Tennessee St81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game75.479.869.6
Allowed / game72.570.175.8
Point differential+2.9+9.7-6.2
Avg total147.9149.8145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %55%62%43%
Points / game73.373.473.3
Allowed / game66.361.275.7
Point differential+7.0+12.2-2.4
Avg total139.7134.6149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2118386%79.567.1+12.4
2 Sam Houston St.2114767%83.873.8+10.0
3 Kennesaw State2113862%87.077.0+10.0
4 Louisiana Tech2012860%68.561.2+7.2
5 Missouri State2112957%75.472.5+2.9
6 Jacksonville State2011955%73.366.3+7.0
7 New Mexico State2011955%76.570.0+6.6
8 Middle Tenn. St.2011955%74.270.6+3.6
9 Western Kentucky21111052%78.375.5+2.8
10 Florida International21101148%82.878.5+4.3
11 UTEP2171433%69.372.3-3.0
12 Delaware2061430%65.871.5-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State393574
Jacksonville State313667
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