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Sam Houston St. vs Jacksonville State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:30
Scheduled
Position#226
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#216
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Jacksonville State
16 Jan 2027
SAM v JACK
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
SAM 82
JACK78
13 Feb 2025
SAM 66
JACK61
09 Mar 2024
SAM 81
JACK73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#46
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#85
L
86-108
86
108
-22
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-31
50-36
43-34
43-47
33-33
47-50
31-41
41-38
37-26
32-35
37-31
36-48
29-40
45-56
53-23
49-36
41-35
44-42
40-45
46-63
161.7Avg total
82.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.885.0171.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)80.0102.0182.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)82.779.0161.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.083.8167.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.793.7175.3-12.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.477.8157.2+1.756%
vs Weaker (18)82.771.7154.4+11.072%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A06/03
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#512
W
123-59
123
59
+64
H03/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#259
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A06/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
L
46-92
46
92
-46
A12/11
NCAA
UAB
#221
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
52-46
25-25
36-36
34-27
44-54
33-24
35-44
32-29
32-32
28-39
35-29
64-24
59-35
32-23
34-43
23-45
23-47
35-30
36-38
149.9Avg total
75.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
Season at home (2)97.063.5160.5+33.5100%
Season away (2)63.087.5150.5-24.50%
Last 10 (10)75.874.1149.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)76.674.0150.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.583.5147.0-20.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.272.0144.2+0.244%
vs Weaker (9)75.168.7143.8+6.444%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -1.8-1.8
Sam Houston St.Jacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#46
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#85
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.472.9+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.329.871.1+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.074.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.973.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.874.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.076.7-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.833.870.6+3.078%-
vs Weaker (18)41.332.173.4+9.278%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A06/03
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/03
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#512
W
64-24
64
24
+40
H03/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#259
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A06/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A12/11
NCAA
UAB
#221
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
33.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.028.862.8+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)30.133.663.7-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.230.263.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.268.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.039.566.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.331.362.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker (9)35.129.664.7+5.656%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sam Houston St. wins
2
Jacksonville State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIllinois86-108
12/11/26HPepperdine85-77
07/11/26HHoward Payne102-59
04/11/26AAlabama74-96
13/03/26HKennesaw State73-79
12/03/26HNew Mexico State69-61
07/03/26ALiberty72-79
06/03/26ADelaware80-83
28/02/26HMissouri State86-81
27/02/26HFlorida International100-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUAB71-68
12/11/26AHouston46-92
06/11/26ASouth Alabama80-83 OT
03/11/26HHannibal-LaGrange123-59
11/03/26HNew Mexico State63-68
07/03/26AUTEP64-61
06/03/26ANew Mexico State75-77 OT
28/02/26HLiberty78-81
27/02/26HDelaware80-70 OT
21/02/26ASam Houston St.78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.893.580.0
Allowed / game85.068.0102.0
Point differential+1.8+25.5-22.0
Avg total171.8161.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.097.063.0
Allowed / game75.563.587.5
Point differential+4.5+33.5-24.5
Avg total155.5160.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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