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Middle Tenn. St. vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 76-69
24-38 52-31
Position#271
Record9-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#285
Record11-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v New Mexico State
09 Jan 2027
MIDD v NEW
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIDD86
NEW 85
30 Jan 2025
MIDD57
NEW 61
15 Feb 2024
MIDD76
NEW 69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reinhardt
#651
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H13/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A19/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
53-88
53
88
-35
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-21
37-26
24-25
28-35
25-23
26-37
25-34
34-39
26-34
36-39
35-23
40-44
33-34
46-27
38-38
27-50
31-40
22-48
32-39
36-27
133.1Avg total
64.8Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)63.668.1131.7-4.538%
Season at home (14)68.662.9131.5+5.657%
Season away (10)56.675.3131.9-18.710%
Last 10 (10)64.868.3133.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)68.074.0142.0-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)60.969.4130.3-8.526%
vs Similar ◀ (8)63.266.2129.5-3.050%
vs Weaker (2)76.552.5129.0+24.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H04/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-26
34-35
28-22
35-31
30-38
37-39
27-37
45-33
34-26
39-36
37-38
30-41
28-33
25-40
35-37
34-32
28-33
39-32
27-35
22-39
134.3Avg total
65.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)68.971.6140.5-2.746%
Season at home (14)72.964.4137.3+8.479%
Season away (10)63.381.6144.9-18.30%
Last 10 (10)65.668.7134.3-3.160%
Last 5 (5)63.072.8135.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)49.161.7110.8-12.629%
vs Similar ◀ (5)60.066.0126.0-6.020%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
Middle Tenn. St.New Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reinhardt
#651
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H13/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A19/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/02
NCAA
62.7Avg total
31.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.431.662.0-1.227%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.228.259.4+2.941%-
Last 30 away (13)29.435.965.3-6.58%-
Last 10 (10)31.631.162.7+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.868.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.631.761.4-2.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.632.162.8-1.525%-
vs Weaker (2)37.031.068.0+6.050%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H04/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A11/02
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)31.533.865.3-2.338%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.930.862.7+1.150%-
Last 30 away (10)30.938.068.9-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.563.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.266.2-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.836.466.1-6.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.530.061.5+1.575%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24New Mexico State v Middle Tenn. St.73-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AFlorida International68-66
09/02/24ALiberty53-88
04/02/24AWestern Kentucky65-88
27/01/24HFlorida International79-61
25/01/24HJacksonville State75-67
21/01/24ANew Mexico State62-73
19/01/24AUTEP59-73
13/01/24HSam Houston St.51-60
12/01/24HLouisiana Tech52-60
04/01/24HReinhardt84-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24AUTEP49-74
04/02/24HJacksonville State67-65
02/02/24HLiberty79-73 OT
27/01/24ALouisiana Tech53-73
26/01/24ASam Houston St.67-79
21/01/24HMiddle Tenn. St.73-62
19/01/24HWestern Kentucky72-70
12/01/24AFlorida International67-77
05/01/24HUTEP63-53
31/12/23HCalifornia Baptist66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %38%57%10%
Points / game63.668.656.6
Allowed / game68.162.975.3
Point differential-4.5+5.6-18.7
Avg total131.7131.5131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %12%21%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %46%79%0%
Points / game68.972.963.3
Allowed / game71.664.481.6
Point differential-2.7+8.4-18.3
Avg total140.5137.3144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)71% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %12%14%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky2518772%80.774.4+6.2
2 Louisiana Tech2517868%75.163.4+11.8
3 Liberty2516964%75.463.9+11.4
4 Delaware26161062%75.269.8+5.4
5 Sam Houston St.24131154%71.271.4-0.2
6 Kennesaw State26141254%83.680.3+3.3
7 Missouri State26141254%71.871.3+0.5
8 UTEP25131252%73.769.3+4.4
9 Jacksonville State26121446%69.964.9+5.0
10 New Mexico State24111346%68.971.6-2.7
11 Middle Tenn. St.2491538%63.668.1-4.5
12 Florida International2481633%74.576.8-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.245276
New Mexico State383169
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