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Sam Houston St. vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 83-73
50-27 33-46
Position#93
Record14-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#158
Record16-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Liberty
10 Jan 2026
SAM 74
LIBE82
09 Jan 2025
SAM 68
LIBE76
17 Feb 2024
SAM 83
LIBE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H26/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-40
38-37
36-30
42-44
23-25
37-26
33-41
33-41
38-37
41-30
28-28
32-28
38-42
41-35
36-26
25-42
23-40
45-39
39-29
31-27
138.9Avg total
70.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.270.8142.0+0.456%
Season at home (11)75.066.2141.2+8.882%
Season away (14)68.174.4142.6-6.336%
Last 10 (10)70.268.7138.9+1.570%
Last 5 (5)67.667.2134.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.879.2150.0-8.440%
vs Similar (10)69.574.3143.8-4.840%
vs Weaker (13)69.564.3133.8+5.269%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
35-36
21-26
30-35
37-30
32-39
36-29
42-40
41-33
41-33
31-33
31-40
37-35
32-34
37-29
30-36
40-31
48-22
22-29
43-33
138.8Avg total
71.0Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.463.9139.3+11.464%
Season at home (18)77.860.3138.1+17.678%
Season away (7)69.073.3142.3-4.329%
Last 10 (10)71.067.8138.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)71.066.4137.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (8)65.675.2140.9-9.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.059.6138.6+19.480%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
Sam Houston St.Liberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A13/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A02/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
33.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.464.7+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.627.665.1+10.093%-
Last 30 away (16)29.634.864.3-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.867.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.065.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.440.071.4-8.620%-
vs Similar (10)32.532.665.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker (13)33.228.161.3+5.269%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H11/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
33.5Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.230.666.7+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.929.266.1+7.667%-
Last 30 away (9)34.633.768.2+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)33.530.964.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.464.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)30.835.966.6-5.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.628.467.0+10.280%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sam Houston St. wins
1
Liberty wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Liberty v Sam Houston St.82-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24HFlorida International70-56
09/02/24AJacksonville State68-79
03/02/24AFlorida International61-68
02/02/24AWestern Kentucky79-77
27/01/24HUTEP60-56
26/01/24HNew Mexico State79-67
21/01/24ALiberty66-82
13/01/24AMiddle Tenn. St.60-51
11/01/24HWestern Kentucky78-74
06/01/24HLouisiana Tech81-77
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HLouisiana Tech65-62
09/02/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-53
04/02/24AUTEP67-65
02/02/24ANew Mexico State73-79 OT
27/01/24AJacksonville State62-73
21/01/24HSam Houston St.82-66
19/01/24HFlorida International78-69
14/01/24ALouisiana Tech76-80 OT
11/01/24HJacksonville State51-61
06/01/24AWestern Kentucky68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %56%82%36%
Points / game71.275.068.1
Allowed / game70.866.274.4
Point differential+0.4+8.8-6.3
Avg total142.0141.2142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%45%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%9%7%
Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25187
Win %64%78%29%
Points / game75.477.869.0
Allowed / game63.960.373.3
Point differential+11.4+17.6-4.3
Avg total139.3138.1142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky2619773%80.373.8+6.5
2 Louisiana Tech2618869%75.163.5+11.6
3 Liberty2516964%75.463.9+11.4
4 Delaware27171063%74.769.3+5.5
5 Sam Houston St.25141156%71.270.8+0.4
6 Missouri State27151256%72.271.4+0.7
7 Kennesaw State27141352%83.580.4+3.1
8 UTEP26131350%74.370.3+4.0
9 Jacksonville State26121446%69.964.9+5.0
10 New Mexico State26111542%68.571.8-3.3
11 Middle Tenn. St.26111542%65.369.0-3.7
12 Florida International2681831%73.576.5-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.503383
Liberty274673
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