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New Mexico State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-62
34-26 39-36
Position#285
Record8-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#271
Record6-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.4
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Mexico State v Middle Tenn. St.
10 Jan 2026
NEW 55
MIDD59
27 Feb 2025
NEW 66
MIDD71
20 Jan 2024
NEW 73
MIDD62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
62-106
62
106
-44
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-21
38-28
32-55
30-51
30-31
46-40
30-32
42-41
22-34
50-41
37-33
22-32
32-26
34-35
28-22
35-31
30-38
37-39
27-37
45-33
139.3Avg total
69.3Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.371.8142.1-1.544%
Season at home (11)72.863.8136.6+9.073%
Season away (7)66.384.3150.6-18.00%
Last 10 (10)69.370.0139.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)65.465.2130.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)51.464.5115.9-13.024%
vs Similar ◀ (5)61.868.6130.4-6.820%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#183
L
64-74 OT
64
74
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H10/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
34-71
34
71
-37
A20/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A23/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
54-75
54
75
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H13/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
35-34
32-27
34-39
30-38
35-37
16-33
18-38
37-31
26-38
31-35
23-40
47-21
37-26
24-25
28-35
25-23
26-37
25-34
34-39
128.0Avg total
60.3Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.466.2128.6-3.733%
Season at home (12)67.262.8129.9+4.450%
Season away (6)53.073.0126.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)60.367.7128.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)60.063.0123.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)61.568.7130.2-7.228%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.170.7137.9-3.643%
vs Weaker (4)77.861.8139.5+16.075%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -6.7-6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -6.7-6.7
New Mexico StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H19/01
NCAA
64.3Avg total
31.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.736.068.7-3.342%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.231.264.5+2.062%-
Last 30 away (11)32.041.673.6-9.618%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.964.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.831.262.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.039.270.2-8.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.531.865.2+1.875%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#183
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A20/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A23/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H13/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A19/01
NCAA
58.9Avg total
29.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.463.1-1.730%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.428.660.1+2.844%-
Last 30 away (12)29.638.067.6-8.48%-
Last 10 (10)29.429.558.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.427.658.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)28.432.360.7-3.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.032.965.9+0.143%-
vs Weaker (4)37.033.870.8+3.250%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HWestern Kentucky72-70
12/01/24AFlorida International67-77
05/01/24HUTEP63-53
31/12/23HCalifornia Baptist66-61
23/12/23ATulsa59-65
20/12/23AStephen F. Austin72-75
16/12/23HNew Mexico72-73
13/12/23HNorthern New Mexico76-71
03/12/23ANew Mexico62-106
29/11/23HSouthwest Mustangs84-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AUTEP59-73
13/01/24HSam Houston St.51-60
12/01/24HLouisiana Tech52-60
04/01/24HReinhardt84-47
30/12/23AMurray State54-75
23/12/23ASouthern Utah63-69
20/12/23ASt. Marys (CA)34-71
10/12/23HBelmont65-75
06/12/23HMissouri State77-73 OT
03/12/23HWofford64-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %44%73%0%
Points / game70.372.866.3
Allowed / game71.863.884.3
Point differential-1.5+9.0-18.0
Avg total142.1136.6150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %11%9%14%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game62.467.253.0
Allowed / game66.262.873.0
Point differential-3.7+4.4-20.0
Avg total128.6129.9126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1813572%78.873.2+5.6
2 Louisiana Tech1913668%75.964.2+11.7
3 Kennesaw State1913668%84.377.7+6.5
4 Liberty2013765%76.563.3+13.2
5 Delaware1911858%75.571.2+4.4
6 UTEP1810856%74.668.9+5.7
7 Jacksonville State1910953%70.863.4+7.5
8 Missouri State1910953%70.169.6+0.5
9 Sam Houston St.1910953%71.771.9-0.3
10 New Mexico State1881044%70.371.8-1.5
11 Florida International1971237%76.375.7+0.6
12 Middle Tenn. St.1861233%62.466.2-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State343973
Middle Tenn. St.263662
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