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Liberty vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-66
41-33 41-33
Position#158
Record12-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game63.2
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#93
Record10-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liberty v Sam Houston St.
28 Jan 2027
LIBE v SAM
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LIBE79
SAM 72
08 Feb 2025
LIBE64
SAM 61
20 Jan 2024
LIBE82
SAM 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H09/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
99-26
99
26
+73
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
56-101
56
101
-45
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
32-37
34-35
40-17
52-14
47-12
46-34
33-29
27-48
29-53
48-23
40-23
33-34
35-36
21-26
30-35
37-30
32-39
36-29
42-40
137.0Avg total
73.3Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.263.2139.3+13.063%
Season at home (15)77.760.3138.0+17.573%
Season away (4)70.274.0144.2-3.825%
Last 10 (10)73.363.7137.0+9.650%
Last 5 (5)72.265.2137.4+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (7)65.777.1142.9-11.414%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.059.6139.6+20.386%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H13/12
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H16/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A29/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#566
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
55-29
35-41
23-31
37-38
24-22
39-40
33-23
27-50
29-39
35-37
29-48
31-48
55-25
38-28
43-40
38-37
36-30
42-44
23-25
37-26
141.0Avg total
70.9Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.071.4143.4+0.656%
Season at home (8)77.068.6145.6+8.475%
Season away (10)68.073.6141.6-5.640%
Last 10 (10)70.970.1141.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)74.470.2144.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.078.5150.5-6.550%
vs Similar (7)69.775.9145.6-6.129%
vs Weaker (17)67.261.9129.1+5.276%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
LibertySam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
52-14
52
14
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
36.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.429.966.3+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.628.264.9+8.471%-
Last 30 away (9)36.033.769.7+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)36.630.567.1+6.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.463.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (7)32.036.968.9-4.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.227.465.7+10.881%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A10/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H16/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#566
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A13/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
35.0Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.162.8+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.626.563.1+10.193%-
Last 30 away (16)29.333.362.6-4.038%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.266.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.670.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.039.870.8-8.825%-
vs Similar (7)33.730.964.6+2.971%-
vs Weaker (17)31.528.159.6+3.465%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
0
Sam Houston St. wins
No previous meetings.
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HFlorida International78-69
14/01/24ALouisiana Tech76-80 OT
11/01/24HJacksonville State51-61
06/01/24AWestern Kentucky68-70
01/01/24HBoyce88-46
30/12/23HAlabama56-101
21/12/23AUtah Valley State79-63
16/12/23HSt. Andrews99-26
14/12/23HTennessee State74-52
09/12/23HGrand Canyon64-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AMiddle Tenn. St.60-51
11/01/24HWestern Kentucky78-74
06/01/24HLouisiana Tech81-77
02/01/24HDallas Univ.93-53
29/12/23ATexas Tech60-96
21/12/23AGrand Canyon64-76
16/12/23HTexas State60-73
13/12/23HLouisiana Monroe63-62
10/12/23AMissouri State60-69
03/12/23HLamar90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW63%
HomeWLWLW73%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19154
Win %63%73%25%
Points / game76.277.770.2
Allowed / game63.260.374.0
Point differential+13.0+17.5-3.8
Avg total139.3138.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%25%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game72.077.068.0
Allowed / game71.468.673.6
Point differential+0.6+8.4-5.6
Avg total143.4145.6141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%12%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1813572%78.873.2+5.6
2 Louisiana Tech1913668%75.964.2+11.7
3 Kennesaw State1913668%84.377.7+6.5
4 Liberty1912763%76.263.2+13.0
5 Delaware1911858%75.571.2+4.4
6 UTEP1810856%74.668.9+5.7
7 Sam Houston St.1810856%72.071.4+0.6
8 Jacksonville State1910953%70.863.4+7.5
9 Missouri State1910953%70.169.6+0.5
10 New Mexico State1881044%70.371.8-1.5
11 Florida International1971237%76.375.7+0.6
12 Middle Tenn. St.1861233%62.466.2-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty414182
Sam Houston St.333366
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