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Sam Houston St. vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 60-73
33-23 27-50
Position#93
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#214
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
H10/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#523
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H26/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
37-40
30-38
40-47
33-31
34-39
33-42
45-36
44-26
42-42
41-25
37-36
25-38
36-40
55-29
35-41
23-31
37-38
24-22
39-40
146.4Avg total
73.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.771.4144.1+1.455%
Season at home (4)76.068.0144.0+8.075%
Season away (7)70.973.3144.1-2.443%
Last 10 (10)73.672.8146.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)70.468.0138.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.580.5152.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.572.0144.5+0.525%
vs Weaker (23)69.163.0132.1+6.178%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
54-93
54
93
-39
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
107-58
107
58
+49
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
33-30
34-38
32-33
40-31
35-34
22-45
32-48
27-25
45-37
20-26
28-33
25-28
42-46
32-27
41-39
26-36
32-41
36-24
71-34
136.7Avg total
67.8Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.969.4138.3-0.644%
Season at home (4)73.563.2136.8+10.250%
Season away (5)65.274.4139.6-9.240%
Last 10 (10)67.868.9136.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)70.666.8137.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)62.070.7132.7-8.718%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.564.3133.8+5.275%
vs Weaker (1)107.058.0165.0+49.0100%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
Sam Houston St.Texas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H10/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#523
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A30/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A10/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H13/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
33.5Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.829.862.5+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.426.261.6+9.186%-
Last 30 away (16)30.532.963.4-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)33.530.664.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.062.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.040.066.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.528.863.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker (23)33.229.262.4+4.070%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/12
NCAA
60.1Avg total
28.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.931.261.2-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.530.560.0-0.938%-
Last 30 away (17)30.231.862.1-1.635%-
Last 10 (10)28.731.460.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)27.828.256.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.433.862.1-5.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.728.259.9+3.467%-
vs Weaker (1)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sam Houston St. wins
0
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Texas State v Sam Houston St.62-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HLouisiana Monroe63-62
10/12/23AMissouri State60-69
03/12/23HLamar90-70
30/11/23AArizona State61-78
26/11/23HPaul Quinn78-61
22/11/23AGrambling St.86-68
21/11/23ATroy88-86 OT
18/11/23AOle Miss67-70
12/11/23AOklahoma State70-85
10/11/23HUtah Valley State73-79 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HJarvis Christian107-58
01/12/23ATexas58-77
25/11/23AUT Arlington73-66
22/11/23HSouthern Utah67-74
21/11/23HMcNeese State48-59
18/11/23HUTSA Roadrunners72-62
15/11/23AOklahoma54-93
11/11/23AMiami (Ohio)75-65
07/11/23AUALR66-71
06/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette58-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%75%43%
Points / game72.776.070.9
Allowed / game71.468.073.3
Point differential+1.4+8.0-2.4
Avg total144.1144.0144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %18%25%14%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game68.973.565.2
Allowed / game69.463.274.4
Point differential-0.6+10.2-9.2
Avg total138.3136.8139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech119282%76.361.1+15.2
2 Liberty118373%77.562.2+15.3
3 Western Kentucky118373%81.973.9+8.0
4 Kennesaw State107370%85.577.0+8.5
5 Delaware107370%77.070.0+7.0
6 Missouri State107370%73.768.1+5.6
7 UTEP106460%78.668.4+10.2
8 Sam Houston St.116555%72.771.4+1.4
9 Middle Tenn. St.115645%66.166.9-0.8
10 New Mexico State115645%72.274.4-2.2
11 Jacksonville State114736%66.762.7+4.0
12 Florida International113827%70.977.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison990100%94.175.2+18.9
2 Appalachian State108280%81.263.3+17.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette106460%78.571.4+7.1
4 South Alabama116555%73.675.3-1.6
5 Troy105550%85.869.9+15.9
6 Southern Miss105550%68.667.2+1.4
7 Georgia State94544%76.974.4+2.4
8 Texas State94544%68.969.4-0.6
9 Louisiana Monroe94544%71.973.1-1.2
10 Arkansas State114736%74.678.3-3.6
11 Coastal Carolina93633%80.478.3+2.1
12 Old Dominion93633%69.474.4-5.0
13 Marshall103730%75.180.8-5.7
14 Georgia Southern100100%66.881.5-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.332760
Texas State235073
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