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Missouri State vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-60
31-23 38-37
Position#198
Record6-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#93
Record5-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Missouri State v Sam Houston St.
28 Jan 2026
MISS71
SAM 80
09 Dec 2023
MISS69
SAM 60
22 Dec 2022
MISS v SAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
21-29
30-24
29-43
39-27
45-42
42-29
28-32
33-27
23-25
45-37
42-32
44-32
48-42
44-30
46-48
25-36
32-38
27-32
39-34
139.4Avg total
71.9Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.269.0143.2+5.267%
Season at home (5)81.868.4150.2+13.4100%
Season away (4)64.869.8134.5-5.025%
Last 10 (10)71.967.5139.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)79.874.4154.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.762.2121.8-2.567%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.366.4135.6+2.957%
vs Weaker (10)73.365.7139.0+7.670%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#1
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A19/03
NIT
Pacific
#361
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A07/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
H10/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#523
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H26/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
19-38
0-0
36-37
0-0
25-25
0-0
39-32
0-0
27-24
0-0
37-40
0-0
30-38
0-0
40-47
0-0
33-31
0-0
34-39
0-0
33-42
0-0
45-36
0-0
44-26
0-0
42-42
0-0
41-25
0-0
37-36
0-0
25-38
0-0
36-40
0-0
55-29
0-0
35-41
146.1Avg total
73.2Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.272.7147.9+2.656%
Season at home (3)80.370.0150.3+10.367%
Season away (6)72.774.0146.7-1.350%
Last 10 (10)73.272.9146.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.672.6153.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.580.5152.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.773.0149.7+3.733%
vs Weaker (24)69.663.4133.0+6.275%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -0.9-0.9
Missouri StateSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A06/12
NCAA
65.8Avg total
35.9Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.865.0+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.630.467.0+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)31.531.362.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.929.965.8+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.470.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.531.059.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.131.768.8+5.471%-
vs Weaker (10)33.629.563.1+4.170%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#1
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A19/03
NIT
Pacific
#361
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H10/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#523
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A30/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H03/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
33.2Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.529.663.1+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.926.362.1+9.686%-
Last 30 away (16)31.432.563.9-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.664.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.071.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.040.066.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.328.066.3+10.3100%-
vs Weaker (24)33.729.162.8+4.671%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri State wins
0
Sam Houston St. wins
DateGameScore
18/11/21Sam Houston St. v Missouri State55-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.73-77 OT
02/12/23ADrake57-74
30/11/23HEvansville90-78
25/11/23HSouth Carolina St92-74
21/11/23HAbilene Christian87-69
20/11/23HKent State56-52
18/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast70-61
14/11/23HOral Roberts84-69
07/11/23AWest Virginia59-67
04/03/23ASouthern Illinois51-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HLamar90-70
30/11/23AArizona State61-78
26/11/23HPaul Quinn78-61
22/11/23AGrambling St.86-68
21/11/23ATroy88-86 OT
18/11/23AOle Miss67-70
12/11/23AOklahoma State70-85
10/11/23HUtah Valley State73-79 OT
07/11/23APacific64-57
19/03/23ANorth Texas55-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game74.281.864.8
Allowed / game69.068.469.8
Point differential+5.2+13.4-5.0
Avg total143.2150.2134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game75.280.372.7
Allowed / game72.770.074.0
Point differential+2.6+10.3-1.3
Avg total147.9150.3146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %22%33%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech108280%75.061.2+13.8
2 Liberty107370%77.863.2+14.6
3 Western Kentucky107370%81.072.9+8.1
4 UTEP96367%81.968.1+13.8
5 Kennesaw State96367%85.777.0+8.7
6 Delaware96367%77.470.1+7.3
7 Missouri State96367%74.269.0+5.2
8 Sam Houston St.95456%75.272.7+2.6
9 Middle Tenn. St.105550%66.266.1+0.1
10 Jacksonville State104640%67.461.5+5.9
11 New Mexico State104640%71.874.7-2.9
12 Florida International103730%72.075.6-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State313869
Sam Houston St.233760
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