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Samara vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 91-57
21-18 20-14 27-14 23-11
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.2
Samara 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game92.9
RussiaVTB United League· Palace of Sport
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Samara v Astana
26 Mar 2025
SAM72
AST74
19 Oct 2024
SAM91
AST57
13 Mar 2024
SAM84
AST63
24 Jan 2024
SAM66
AST78
15 Feb 2023
SAM89
AST75
27 Oct 2022
SAM93
AST58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamara
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H20/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
A23/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
A25/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
no box
H28/04
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H22/09
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A26/09
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
A02/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
H06/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A12/10
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H15/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-18
15-20
22-19
16-17
18-23
16-24
23-19
17-17
16-26
10-17
21-17
20-24
22-20
14-20
11-26
21-22
23-27
18-25
17-18
12-19
15-18
21-25
22-24
22-23
20-17
24-20
20-19
12-21
33-6
20-13
18-25
22-22
18-14
15-14
9-26
21-16
25-23
21-27
20-23
157.2Avg total
75.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.281.2159.3-3.033%
Season at home (3)83.082.0165.0+1.033%
Season away (3)73.380.3153.7-7.033%
Last 10 (10)75.881.4157.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)78.079.0157.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.185.2158.3-12.118%
vs Similar (14)77.974.4152.2+3.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.478.4161.8+5.060%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Al-Riyadi
#1
L
69-101
69
101
-32
53avg 76
A26/05
WASL
Al Manama
#5
W
122-117 OT
122
117
+5
105avg 76
H27/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
89-103
89
103
-14
71avg 76
A29/05
WASL
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
62-90
62
90
-28
no box
H22/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
84-127
84
127
-43
no box
A25/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
no box
A29/09
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
H02/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
52-74
52
74
-22
no box
H06/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
H12/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
no box
A15/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
22-24
12-29
21-28
22-12
17-22
25-22
21-29
22-29
23-21
12-29
32-24
12-22
21-31
11-19
18-18
22-30
25-28
23-34
14-35
16-17
18-21
14-31
15-26
18-29
12-18
12-28
6-16
14-20
14-17
14-23
10-14
18-20
15-15
21-20
9-21
15-15
24-25
27-25
15-32
170.4Avg total
73.3Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.792.9157.6-28.10%
Season at home (4)56.282.8139.0-26.50%
Season away (3)76.0106.3182.3-30.30%
Last 10 (10)73.397.1170.4-23.810%
Last 5 (5)61.486.6148.0-25.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.288.2161.5-15.019%
vs Similar (2)68.088.0156.0-20.00%
vs Weaker (2)67.065.0132.0+2.050%
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -8.9-8.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -8.2-8.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -8.9-8.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -8.2-8.2
SamaraAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A25/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H28/04
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H22/09
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A26/09
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H06/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A12/10
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H15/10
VTB United League
79.4Avg total
40.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.6-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.241.182.3+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)37.140.577.6-3.541%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.379.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.875.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.842.080.8-3.236%-
vs Similar (14)38.640.278.8-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.839.679.4+0.260%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Riyadi
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A26/05
WASL
Al Manama
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A29/05
WASL
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H22/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A25/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/09
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H02/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H06/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A15/10
VTB United League
80.0Avg total
36.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.277.9-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.939.975.7-4.040%-
Last 30 away (15)37.542.580.1-5.013%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.680.0-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.472.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.841.278.0-4.327%-
vs Similar (2)32.046.578.5-14.50%-
vs Weaker (2)40.036.576.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.5
45.1%
-33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.3
30.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
-10.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Samara wins
3
Astana wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Astana v Samara94-92 OT
13/03/24Samara v Astana84-63
24/01/24Samara v Astana66-78
27/11/23Astana v Samara83-66
13/03/23Astana v Samara73-92
15/02/23Samara v Astana89-75
04/01/23Astana v Samara51-99
27/10/22Samara v Astana93-58
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HNizhny Novgorod87-89
12/10/24ALokomotiv Kuban64-76
06/10/24HEnisey83-65
02/10/24AMBA Moscow86-79
26/09/24AUnics Kazan70-86
22/09/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg79-92
28/04/24HUnics Kazan67-90
25/04/24AUnics Kazan64-77
23/04/24AUnics Kazan73-83
20/04/24HMBA Moscow85-77
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AUnics Kazan81-97
12/10/24HMBA Moscow63-76
06/10/24HSaratov52-74
02/10/24HCSKA Moscow48-91
29/09/24AParma Perm63-95
25/09/24ALokomotiv Kuban84-127
22/09/24HNizhny Novgorod62-90
29/05/24ASagesse Beirut89-103
27/05/24HAl Manama122-117 OT
26/05/24AAl-Riyadi69-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara
VTB United League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.283.073.3
Allowed / game81.282.080.3
Point differential-3.0+1.0-7.0
Avg total159.3165.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.756.276.0
Allowed / game92.982.8106.3
Point differential-28.1-26.5-30.3
Avg total157.6139.0182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban770100%92.176.9+15.3
2 CSKA Moscow65183%83.364.0+19.3
3 Zenit Petersburg75271%89.677.9+11.7
4 Unics Kazan75271%80.769.3+11.4
5 Nizhny Novgorod75271%81.674.1+7.4
6 Uralmash Ekaterinburg73443%77.079.9-2.9
7 Parma Perm73443%66.973.1-6.3
8 Samara62433%78.281.2-3.0
9 Saratov72529%72.477.1-4.7
10 Enisey72529%69.377.9-8.6
11 MBA Moscow72529%71.981.1-9.3
12 Astana7070%64.792.9-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara2120272391
Astana1814141157
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