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Minsk vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-89 (OT)
14-14 14-23 26-21 25-21 5-10
Position#14
Record0-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Astana 🏆
Russia
Position#13
Record6-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.5
RussiaVTB United League· Minsk-Arena (Minsk)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Minsk v Astana
27 Mar 2024
MIN60
AST58
07 Dec 2023
MIN84
AST89
26 Mar 2023
MIN84
AST69
25 Dec 2022
MIN65
AST76
13 Mar 2022
MIN66
AST60
21 Mar 2021
MIN78
AST80
02 Feb 2020
MIN96
AST77
13 Oct 2018
MIN86
AST93
22 Oct 2017
MIN75
AST66
19 Feb 2017
MIN70
AST80
05 Mar 2016
MIN87
AST83
05 Apr 2015
MIN94
AST86
17 Nov 2013
MIN82
AST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A22/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
84-112
84
112
-28
A25/10
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A02/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
73-101
73
101
-28
H07/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
54-84
54
84
-30
A12/11
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A15/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H18/11
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H22/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H26/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A01/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
19-27
23-9
7-22
23-29
26-30
15-24
20-29
15-20
14-16
18-19
6-16
20-29
22-29
11-23
20-20
7-16
18-20
11-21
18-27
18-15
20-15
15-21
21-27
16-20
19-22
16-22
11-20
27-21
16-21
23-24
10-25
18-24
17-17
24-22
27-27
24-25
18-19
21-19
16-27
159.3Avg total
71.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.987.8156.7-18.90%
Season at home (7)69.191.9161.0-22.70%
Season away (7)68.783.7152.4-15.00%
Last 10 (10)71.487.9159.3-16.50%
Last 5 (5)75.486.6162.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.084.5152.6-16.55%
vs Similar (1)84.069.0153.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker (9)94.365.0159.3+29.389%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
65-96
65
96
-31
A02/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
78-101
78
101
-23
A05/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H09/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H12/11
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H15/11
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A19/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A22/11
VTB United League
Samara
#7
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H27/11
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H30/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-112
78
112
-34
H03/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
25-31
14-22
14-20
19-35
20-24
18-27
21-15
20-24
15-23
26-4
17-17
31-23
15-15
13-15
21-19
15-18
15-20
21-15
27-21
15-23
18-19
13-20
18-20
24-24
28-27
29-21
11-24
20-16
17-16
24-13
22-21
21-13
26-19
14-27
21-23
18-27
19-35
24-28
17-22
164.6Avg total
78.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.783.5160.2-6.843%
Season at home (8)78.978.1157.0+0.862%
Season away (6)73.890.7164.5-16.817%
Last 10 (10)78.686.0164.6-7.440%
Last 5 (5)81.489.8171.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.484.6162.9-6.243%
vs Similar (4)81.579.5161.0+2.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.664.3145.9+17.283%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
MinskAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A25/10
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A02/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H07/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A12/11
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A15/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H18/11
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H22/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A01/12
VTB United League
81.6Avg total
38.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.979.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.741.180.8-1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.477.3+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.581.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.342.577.8-7.220%-
vs Similar (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (9)48.433.081.4+15.4100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A02/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A05/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H09/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H12/11
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H15/11
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A19/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A22/11
VTB United League
Samara
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/11
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H30/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
H03/12
VTB United League
84.8Avg total
39.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.981.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.537.478.9+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)41.743.284.8-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.584.8-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.885.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.443.684.0-3.150%-
vs Similar (4)43.840.284.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.235.577.8+6.867%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LLLLLLLLLL
Astana
LLWLLWWWLL
#14
League position
#13
-33.5
Net rating
-32.5
91.1
Offensive rating
82.8
124.7
Defensive rating
115.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
45.4%
62.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
26.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.9%
3-point %
30.4%
61.9%
Assist %
60.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Minsk   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minsk wins
5
Astana wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Astana v Minsk78-74
26/03/23Minsk v Astana84-69
01/02/23Astana v Minsk86-82
11/01/23Astana v Minsk77-48
25/12/22Minsk v Astana65-76
17/03/22Astana v Minsk64-65 OT
13/03/22Minsk v Astana66-60
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
21/03/21Minsk v Astana78-80
02/02/20Minsk v Astana96-77
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23ANizhny Novgorod79-90
26/11/23HLokomotiv Kuban86-90
22/11/23HSaratov76-91
18/11/23HZenit Petersburg62-84
15/11/23AAstana74-78
12/11/23AMBA Moscow54-84
07/11/23HUralmash Ekaterinburg73-101
02/11/23ARuna Moscow53-71
25/10/23ACSKA Moscow84-112
22/10/23AParma Perm73-78
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HCSKA Moscow78-112
30/11/23HRuna Moscow90-93 OT
27/11/23HSamara83-66
22/11/23AEnisey92-96
19/11/23AParma Perm64-82
15/11/23HMinsk78-74
12/11/23HUralmash Ekaterinburg80-72
09/11/23HLokomotiv Kuban78-68
05/11/23AMBA Moscow78-101
02/11/23AUnics Kazan65-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.969.168.7
Allowed / game87.891.983.7
Point differential-18.9-22.7-15.0
Avg total156.7161.0152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%62%17%
Points / game76.778.973.8
Allowed / game83.578.190.7
Point differential-6.8+0.8-16.8
Avg total160.2157.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1514193%86.174.4+11.7
2 Unics Kazan1410471%87.675.4+12.1
3 Zenit Petersburg1410471%78.671.6+7.0
4 Lokomotiv Kuban159660%81.978.3+3.7
5 Enisey159660%82.581.3+1.2
6 Uralmash Ekaterinburg147750%78.579.4-0.9
7 Runa Moscow147750%79.880.9-1.1
8 Samara147750%81.683.1-1.6
9 Parma Perm157847%76.476.5-0.1
10 Astana146843%76.783.5-6.8
11 Saratov156940%77.480.5-3.1
12 MBA Moscow1551033%78.778.5+0.2
13 Nizhny Novgorod1441029%74.178.6-4.6
14 Minsk140140%68.987.8-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minsk14142625584
Astana142321211089
← all games of the day
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